The Falchion Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection

StatTrak™ Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Average profit −10 936.02₴

Invest 18 925.25₴

Average return 7 989.23₴

ROI −57.8%

Chance of profit 8%

With float: invest 19 656.97 ₴, profit −11 667.75 ₴

float premium: none: float doesn't matter

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: −10 905.16 ₴ по средним

The gain is understated: 2 outcomes have no price, that is 5.9% of the chance

Sell on CSFloat / Market.CSGO: without them the profit is −14 669.49 ₴

Check:

To calculator I have items

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Share of fitting lots unknown: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈16

×3

StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.9999

9 087.19 ₴

at 3 029.06

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge (Battle-Scarred) — 3 274.94 ₴ +245.87 ₴ per item · on the market 10 · buy 0.4500–0.9999

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ AK-47 | The Empress

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.9999

9 838.06 ₴

at 4 919.03

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P250 | See Ya Later (Minimal Wear) — 5 167.80 ₴ +248.77 ₴ per item · on the market 28 · buy 0.0700–0.1500

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 18 925.25 ₴ −10 936.02 (−57.8%)

The gain is understated: 2 outcomes have no price, that is 5.1% of the chance

Share of fitting lots unknown: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈16

×2

StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.9999

6 058.13 ₴

at 3 029.06

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge (Battle-Scarred) — 3 274.94 ₴ +245.87 ₴ per item · on the market 10 · buy 0.4500–0.9999

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ AK-47 | The Empress

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.9999

14 757.09 ₴

at 4 919.03

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P250 | See Ya Later (Minimal Wear) — 5 167.80 ₴ +248.77 ₴ per item · on the market 28 · buy 0.0700–0.1500

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 20 815.21 ₴ −10 905.16 (−52.4%)

The gain is understated: 2 outcomes have no price, that is 6.8% of the chance

Share of fitting lots unknown: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈16

×4

StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.9999

12 116.25 ₴

at 3 029.06

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge (Battle-Scarred) — 3 274.94 ₴ +245.87 ₴ per item · on the market 10 · buy 0.4500–0.9999

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ AK-47 | The Empress

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.9999

4 919.03 ₴

at 4 919.03

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P250 | See Ya Later (Minimal Wear) — 5 167.80 ₴ +248.77 ₴ per item · on the market 28 · buy 0.0700–0.1500

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 17 035.28 ₴ −10 966.88 (−64.4%)

What you get 43 outcomes

Profitable outcome 8%
Losing outcome 86%
Above the Steam cap 6%

Order

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Fade

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.079999

not on Steam: above the cap 4.62%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Slaughter

Field-Tested

float up to 0.259999

10 091.38 ₴ 4.62%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Blue Steel

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.999999

5 964.66 ₴ 4.62%

price without deals price cut rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Stained

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.999999

3 997.69 ₴ 4.62%

price without deals price cut rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Case Hardened

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.999999

7 339.05 ₴ 4.62%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Forest DDPAT

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.799999

2 702.36 ₴ 4.62%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Boreal Forest

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.799999

3 471.91 ₴ 4.62%

price without deals price cut rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Crimson Web

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.799999

6 820.40 ₴ 4.62%

price without deals price cut rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Night

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.799999

4 664.74 ₴ 4.62%

sell on Market.CSGO price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Scorched

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.799999

2 933.88 ₴ 4.62%

rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Safari Mesh

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.799999

3 323.51 ₴ 4.62%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Urban Masked

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.799999

3 587.67 ₴ 4.62%

rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife

no wear

6 677.61 ₴ 4.62%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

best

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Doppler

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.079999

92 563.23 ₴ 1.33%

sell on CSFloat price cut pricier variants exist lots by number 7 phases, price averaged

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Marble Fade

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.079999

56 495.56 ₴ 1.33%

sell on CSFloat price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Tiger Tooth

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.079999

57 845.41 ₴ 1.33%

sell on Market.CSGO price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Damascus Steel

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.499999

30 132.02 ₴ 1.33%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Rust Coat

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.999999

28 001.18 ₴ 1.33%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Ultraviolet

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.799999

23 883.64 ₴ 1.33%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Doppler

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.079999

17 729.78 ₴ 1.33%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number 7 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Marble Fade

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.079999

9 808.85 ₴ 1.33%

price without deals price cut rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Tiger Tooth

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.079999

8 079.53 ₴ 1.33%

price without deals price cut rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Damascus Steel

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.499999

3 498.94 ₴ 1.33%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Rust Coat

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.999999

3 589.76 ₴ 1.33%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Ultraviolet

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.799999

3 595.83 ₴ 1.33%

price without deals price cut rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Doppler

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.079999

6 071.76 ₴ 1.33%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number 7 phases, price averaged

Steam

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Marble Fade

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.079999

not on Steam: above the cap 1.33%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Tiger Tooth

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.079999

4 807.27 ₴ 1.33%

price without deals price cut rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Damascus Steel

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.499999

3 069.54 ₴ 1.33%

price without deals price cut rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Rust Coat

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.999999

2 771.08 ₴ 1.33%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Ultraviolet

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.799999

2 756.47 ₴ 1.33%

rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Doppler

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.079999

13 911.09 ₴ 1.33%

price without deals price cut rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number 7 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Marble Fade

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.079999

10 025.08 ₴ 1.33%

price without deals price cut rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Tiger Tooth

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.079999

8 127.65 ₴ 1.33%

sell on Market.CSGO price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Damascus Steel

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.499999

3 665.70 ₴ 1.33%

price without deals price cut rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Rust Coat

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.999999

2 845.89 ₴ 1.33%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Ultraviolet

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.799999

4 197.60 ₴ 1.33%

price without deals price cut rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Doppler

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.079999

16 820.50 ₴ 1.33%

sell on CSFloat price cut pricier variants exist lots by number 7 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Marble Fade

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.079999

10 425.92 ₴ 1.33%

sell on Market.CSGO price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Tiger Tooth

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.079999

7 322.22 ₴ 1.33%

price without deals price cut rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Damascus Steel

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.499999

3 640.20 ₴ 1.33%

price without deals price cut rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Rust Coat

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.999999

3 326.43 ₴ 1.33%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Ultraviolet

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.799999

3 465.05 ₴ 1.33%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

float markup by input how many times more the lots with the needed float cost

StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred) × 3 100% of the wear range fits ×1.04 9 087.19 → 9 471.58 ₴

StatTrak™ AK-47 | The Empress (Battle-Scarred) × 2 100% of the wear range fits ×1.04 9 838.06 → 10 185.34 ₴

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Average float of the set

average normalized 0.999999900

outcomes come out up to 0.079999, 0.259999, 0.999999, 0.999999, 0.999999, 0.799999, 0.799999, 0.799999, 0.799999, 0.799999, 0.799999, 0.799999, 0.000000, 0.079999, 0.079999, 0.079999, 0.499999, 0.999999, 0.799999, 0.079999, 0.079999, 0.079999, 0.499999, 0.999999, 0.799999, 0.079999, 0.079999, 0.079999, 0.499999, 0.999999, 0.799999, 0.079999, 0.079999, 0.079999, 0.499999, 0.999999, 0.799999, 0.079999, 0.079999, 0.079999, 0.499999, 0.999999, 0.799999

How to read float

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

I already have items

No other variants in this recount

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −11 424.25 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −11 016.56 ₴ historical median

1% of outcomes (by probability) have less than two weeks of price history, their price is taken as of today.

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Spectrum 2 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 3 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 43 outcomes

More

How to build