The Wildfire Collection + The Kilowatt Collection

StatTrak™ Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Average profit −9 147.12₽

Invest 15 656.13₽

Average return 6 509.01₽

ROI −58.4%

Chance of profit 8%

With float: invest 16 270.24 ₽, profit −9 761.23 ₽

float premium: 342 ₽ (2.1%)

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

The gain is understated: 2 outcomes have no price, that is 6.2% of the chance

Sell on CSFloat: without them the profit is −9 308.88 ₽

Check:

To calculator I have items

Buy on Sell on

How to build

59% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈14

×2

StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.3330

7 822.00 ₽

at 3 911.00

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Fuel Injector (Battle-Scarred) — 17 994.35 ₽ +14 083.35 ₽ per item · on the market 6 · buy 0.4500–0.5204

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ AWP | Chrome Cannon

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.4357

5 209.10 ₽

at 2 604.55

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Inheritance (Field-Tested) — 6 483.82 ₽ +3 879.27 ₽ per item · on the market 83 · buy 0.1500–0.3474

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ AWP | Chrome Cannon

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.8877

2 625.03 ₽

at 2 625.03

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Inheritance (Battle-Scarred) — 5 141.88 ₽ +2 516.85 ₽ per item · on the market 22 · buy 0.4500–0.7078

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 15 656.13 ₽ −9 147.12 (−58.4%)

The gain is understated: 2 outcomes have no price, that is 12.3% of the chance

97% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈14

×4

StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.3761

15 644.00 ₽

at 3 911.00

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Fuel Injector (Battle-Scarred) — 17 994.35 ₽ +14 083.35 ₽ per item · on the market 6 · buy 0.4500–0.5877

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ AWP | Chrome Cannon

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.4488

2 604.55 ₽

at 2 604.55

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Inheritance (Field-Tested) — 6 483.82 ₽ +3 879.27 ₽ per item · on the market 83 · buy 0.1500–0.3578

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 18 248.55 ₽ −11 410.28 (−62.5%)

What you get 26 outcomes

Profitable outcome 3%
Losing outcome 86%
About break-even 5%
Above the Steam cap 6%

Order

about break-even

★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.044799

18 261.79 ₽ 4.62%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Slaughter

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

10 039.42 ₽ 4.62%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Blue Steel

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.559999

6 272.26 ₽ 4.62%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Stained

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.559999

5 816.67 ₽ 4.62%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Case Hardened

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.559999

9 794.25 ₽ 4.62%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Forest DDPAT

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.474399

4 239.42 ₽ 4.62%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Boreal Forest

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.474399

3 680.63 ₽ 4.62%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Crimson Web

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.474399

7 262.25 ₽ 4.62%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Scorched

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.474399

4 531.19 ₽ 4.62%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Safari Mesh

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.474399

3 979.40 ₽ 4.62%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Night Stripe

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.474399

4 395.36 ₽ 4.62%

price without deals price cut rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Urban Masked

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.474399

4 896.53 ₽ 4.62%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife

no wear

9 218.10 ₽ 4.62%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

best

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.044799

21 811.21 ₽ 3.08%

rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Slaughter

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

16 031.25 ₽ 3.08%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Blue Steel

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.559999

8 477.55 ₽ 3.08%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Stained

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.559999

6 885.65 ₽ 3.08%

price without deals price cut rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Case Hardened

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.559999

15 495.71 ₽ 3.08%

price without deals price cut rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Forest DDPAT

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.474399

4 600.86 ₽ 3.08%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Boreal Forest

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.474399

not on Steam: above the cap 3.08%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Crimson Web

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.474399

9 467.66 ₽ 3.08%

price without deals price cut rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Night

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.474399

not on Steam: above the cap 3.08%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Scorched

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.474399

4 836.43 ₽ 3.08%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Safari Mesh

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.474399

3 679.77 ₽ 3.08%

price without deals price cut rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Urban Masked

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.474399

5 364.61 ₽ 3.08%

sell on CSFloat price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife

no wear

7 361.38 ₽ 3.08%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

float markup by input how many times more the lots with the needed float cost

StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Field-Tested) × 2 80% of the wear range fits ×1.04 7 822.00 → 8 150.52 ₽

StatTrak™ AWP | Chrome Cannon (Well-Worn) × 2 80% of the wear range fits ×1.05 5 209.10 → 5 464.87 ₽

StatTrak™ AWP | Chrome Cannon (Battle-Scarred) × 1 80% of the wear range fits ×1.01 2 625.03 → 2 654.43 ₽

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Average float of the set

average normalized 0.559999900

outcomes come out up to 0.044799, 0.149999, 0.559999, 0.559999, 0.559999, 0.474399, 0.474399, 0.474399, 0.474399, 0.474399, 0.474399, 0.474399, 0.000000, 0.044799, 0.149999, 0.559999, 0.559999, 0.559999, 0.474399, 0.474399, 0.474399, 0.474399, 0.474399, 0.474399, 0.474399, 0.000000

How to read float

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

I already have items

No other variants in this recount

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −10 296.91 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −9 401.62 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Kilowatt Collection and The Wildfire Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3279797 · The Wildfire Collection + The Kilowatt Collection · profit −9 165.36₽ · invest 15 656.13₽
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Slaughter: Field-Tested instead of Minimal Wear; ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Slaughter: Field-Tested instead of Minimal Wear; StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Field-Tested): float at most 0.380000 instead of 0.333061; StatTrak™ AWP | Chrome Cannon (Well-Worn): float at most 0.450000 instead of 0.435714; StatTrak™ AWP | Chrome Cannon (Battle-Scarred): float at most 1.000000 instead of 0.887754

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Wildfire Collection + The Kilowatt Collection

How to build i Ways to build 3 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 26 outcomes

More

How to build