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The 2018 Inferno Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +1 338.35₸

Invest 4 023.49₸

Average return 5 361.84₸

ROI +33.3%

Chance of profit 96%

With float: invest at least 9 883.83 ₸, profit at most −4 521.99 ₸

float premium: at least 6 121 ₸

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

SSG 08 | Hand Brake

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1623

254.93 ₸

at 254.93

if this one runs out, you can take

Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New) — 346.83 ₸ +91.89 ₸ per item · on the market 1 276 · buy 0.0000–0.0129
USP-S | Check Engine (Minimal Wear) — 411.46 ₸ +156.52 ₸ per item · on the market 505 · buy 0.0700–0.0973
M4A4 | Converter (Factory New) — 812.04 ₸ +557.11 ₸ per item · on the market 1 236 · buy 0.0000–0.0649

Steam

×8

Sawed-Off | Brake Light

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0037

2 774.61 ₸

at 346.83

if this one runs out, you can take

USP-S | Check Engine (Factory New) — 700.33 ₸ +353.50 ₸ per item · on the market 733 · buy 0.0000–0.0281
M4A4 | Converter (Factory New) — 812.04 ₸ +465.21 ₸ per item · on the market 1 236 · buy 0.0000–0.0187
SSG 08 | Hand Brake (Factory New) — 1 175.26 ₸ +828.43 ₸ per item · on the market 135 · buy 0.0000–0.0469

Steam

×1

Negev | Bratatat

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1623

993.95 ₸

at 993.95

if this one runs out, you can take

MAC-10 | Ultraviolet (Field-Tested) — 1 434.94 ₸ +440.98 ₸ per item · on the market 98 · buy 0.1500–0.1801
XM1014 | Red Python (Minimal Wear) — 1 600.57 ₸ +606.61 ₸ per item · on the market 35 · buy 0.0800–0.1481
CZ75-Auto | Hexane (Factory New) — 2 025.66 ₸ +1 031.70 ₸ per item · on the market 56 · buy 0.0000–0.0649

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 4 023.49 ₸ +1 338.35 (+33.3%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 8 шт., годных ≈16, цена занижена

×8

Sawed-Off | Brake Light

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0037

2 774.61 ₸

at 346.83

if this one runs out, you can take

USP-S | Check Engine (Factory New) — 700.33 ₸ +353.50 ₸ per item · on the market 733 · buy 0.0000–0.0281
M4A4 | Converter (Factory New) — 812.04 ₸ +465.21 ₸ per item · on the market 1 236 · buy 0.0000–0.0187
SSG 08 | Hand Brake (Factory New) — 1 175.26 ₸ +828.43 ₸ per item · on the market 135 · buy 0.0000–0.0469

Steam

×2

Negev | Bratatat

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1623

1 987.90 ₸

at 993.95

if this one runs out, you can take

MAC-10 | Ultraviolet (Field-Tested) — 1 434.94 ₸ +440.98 ₸ per item · on the market 98 · buy 0.1500–0.1801
XM1014 | Red Python (Minimal Wear) — 1 600.57 ₸ +606.61 ₸ per item · on the market 35 · buy 0.0800–0.1481
CZ75-Auto | Hexane (Factory New) — 2 025.66 ₸ +1 031.70 ₸ per item · on the market 56 · buy 0.0000–0.0649

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 4 762.51 ₸ +893.83 (+18.8%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 96%
Losing outcome 4%

in profit

AK-47 | Safety Net

Factory New

float up to 0.041999

5 703.48 ₸ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

MP7 | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.017499

6 156.39 ₸ 30.00%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

P250 | Vino Primo

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

5 622.46 ₸ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

PP-Bizon | Blue Streak

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

2 324.69 ₸ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

Desert Eagle | Crimson Web

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

17 606.95 ₸ 2.00%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

best

Glock-18 | Steel Disruption

Factory New

float up to 0.013999

19 302.83 ₸ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

MP7 | Ocean Foam

Factory New

float up to 0.005599

5 086.77 ₸ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

P90 | Virus

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

1 749.75 ₸ 2.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2018 Inferno Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

Variant 2 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 3 The Vanguard Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 4 The Glove Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 5 The 2018 Nuke Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 6 The Overpass Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +164.91 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +742.33 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2018 Inferno Collection and The eSports 2014 Summer Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3282106 · The 2018 Inferno Collection + The 2021 Mirage Collection · profit 1 448.75₸ · invest 4 339.25₸
rare inputs pricier variants exist

Souvenir MP9 | Music Box (Minimal Wear) instead of Negev | Bratatat (Field-Tested); SSG 08 | Hand Brake (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163182 instead of 0.162332; Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New): float at most 0.004012 instead of 0.003753
Craft 3282513 · The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Huntsman Collection · profit 1 328.36₸ · invest 3 603.32₸
rare inputs pricier variants exist

CZ75-Auto | Twist (Field-Tested) instead of Negev | Bratatat (Field-Tested)

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2018 Inferno Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

How to build i Ways to build 2 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

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How to build