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The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Italy Collection

Consumer Grade → Industrial Grade

Average profit +4.42₸

Invest 189.25₸

Average return 193.67₸

ROI +2.3%

Chance of profit 60%

With float: invest at least 433.42 ₸, profit at most −239.75 ₸

float premium: at least 220 ₸

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +36.59 ₸ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈6, цена занижена

×3

Souvenir PP-Bizon | Anolis

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1619

66.23 ₸

at 22.08

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask (Field-Tested) — 22.90 ₸ +0.83 ₸ per item · on the market 3 785 · buy 0.1500–0.1943
Souvenir SSG 08 | Prey (Field-Tested) — 24.28 ₸ +2.21 ₸ per item · on the market 3 381 · buy 0.1500–0.1555
Souvenir MAG-7 | Navy Sheen (Field-Tested) — 24.45 ₸ +2.37 ₸ per item · on the market 3 621 · buy 0.1500–0.1781

souvenirSteam

×3

Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1619

68.71 ₸

at 22.90

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir P250 | Drought (Minimal Wear) — 26.49 ₸ +3.59 ₸ per item · on the market 1 873 · buy 0.0700–0.1187
Souvenir PP-Bizon | Anolis (Minimal Wear) — 28.98 ₸ +6.07 ₸ per item · on the market 1 228 · buy 0.0700–0.1349
Souvenir SSG 08 | Prey (Minimal Wear) — 30.36 ₸ +7.45 ₸ per item · on the market 1 507 · buy 0.0700–0.1295

souvenirSteam

×4

PP-Bizon | Sand Dashed

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1619

54.31 ₸

at 13.58

if this one runs out, you can take

Nova | Sand Dune (Field-Tested) — 13.58 ₸ · on the market 2 372 · buy 0.1500–0.1619
Tec-9 | Groundwater (Field-Tested) — 13.58 ₸ · on the market 2 872 · buy 0.1500–0.1619
FAMAS | Colony (Field-Tested) — 13.74 ₸ +0.17 ₸ per item · on the market 4 469 · buy 0.1500–0.1619

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 189.25 ₸ +4.42 (+2.3%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 6 шт., годных ≈8, цена занижена

×6

Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1670

137.43 ₸

at 22.90

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir MAG-7 | Navy Sheen (Field-Tested) — 24.45 ₸ +1.55 ₸ per item · on the market 3 621 · buy 0.1500–0.1531
Souvenir P250 | Drought (Minimal Wear) — 26.49 ₸ +3.59 ₸ per item · on the market 1 873 · buy 0.0700–0.1225
Souvenir PP-Bizon | Anolis (Minimal Wear) — 28.98 ₸ +6.07 ₸ per item · on the market 1 228 · buy 0.0700–0.1392

souvenirSteam

×3

Souvenir P250 | Drought

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0759

79.48 ₸

at 26.49

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir PP-Bizon | Anolis (Minimal Wear) — 28.98 ₸ +2.48 ₸ per item · on the market 1 228 · buy 0.0700–0.0862
Souvenir SSG 08 | Prey (Minimal Wear) — 30.36 ₸ +3.86 ₸ per item · on the market 1 507 · buy 0.0700–0.0828
Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask (Minimal Wear) — 34.33 ₸ +7.84 ₸ per item · on the market 1 442 · buy 0.0700–0.1035

souvenirSteam

×1

PP-Bizon | Sand Dashed

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1670

13.58 ₸

at 13.58

if this one runs out, you can take

Nova | Sand Dune (Field-Tested) — 13.58 ₸ · on the market 2 372 · buy 0.1500–0.1670
Tec-9 | Groundwater (Field-Tested) — 13.58 ₸ · on the market 2 872 · buy 0.1500–0.1670
FAMAS | Colony (Field-Tested) — 13.74 ₸ +0.17 ₸ per item · on the market 4 469 · buy 0.1500–0.1670

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 230.48 ₸ +36.59 (+15.9%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 7 шт., годных ≈6, цена занижена

×7

Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1638

160.33 ₸

at 22.90

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir MAG-7 | Navy Sheen (Field-Tested) — 24.45 ₸ +1.55 ₸ per item · on the market 3 621 · buy 0.1500–0.1502
Souvenir P250 | Drought (Minimal Wear) — 26.49 ₸ +3.59 ₸ per item · on the market 1 873 · buy 0.0700–0.1201
Souvenir PP-Bizon | Anolis (Minimal Wear) — 28.98 ₸ +6.07 ₸ per item · on the market 1 228 · buy 0.0700–0.1365

souvenirSteam

×3

PP-Bizon | Sand Dashed

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1638

40.73 ₸

at 13.58

if this one runs out, you can take

Nova | Sand Dune (Field-Tested) — 13.58 ₸ · on the market 2 372 · buy 0.1500–0.1638
Tec-9 | Groundwater (Field-Tested) — 13.58 ₸ · on the market 2 872 · buy 0.1500–0.1638
FAMAS | Colony (Field-Tested) — 13.74 ₸ +0.17 ₸ per item · on the market 4 469 · buy 0.1500–0.1638

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 201.06 ₸ +17.05 (+8.5%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 7 шт., годных ≈5, цена занижена

×7

Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1619

160.33 ₸

at 22.90

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir P250 | Drought (Minimal Wear) — 26.49 ₸ +3.59 ₸ per item · on the market 1 873 · buy 0.0700–0.1187
Souvenir PP-Bizon | Anolis (Minimal Wear) — 28.98 ₸ +6.07 ₸ per item · on the market 1 228 · buy 0.0700–0.1349
Souvenir SSG 08 | Prey (Minimal Wear) — 30.36 ₸ +7.45 ₸ per item · on the market 1 507 · buy 0.0700–0.1295

souvenirSteam

×1

Souvenir P250 | Drought

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0741

26.49 ₸

at 26.49

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir PP-Bizon | Anolis (Minimal Wear) — 28.98 ₸ +2.48 ₸ per item · on the market 1 228 · buy 0.0700–0.0842
Souvenir SSG 08 | Prey (Minimal Wear) — 30.36 ₸ +3.86 ₸ per item · on the market 1 507 · buy 0.0700–0.0808
Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask (Minimal Wear) — 34.33 ₸ +7.84 ₸ per item · on the market 1 442 · buy 0.0700–0.1011

souvenirSteam

×2

PP-Bizon | Sand Dashed

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1619

27.15 ₸

at 13.58

if this one runs out, you can take

Nova | Sand Dune (Field-Tested) — 13.58 ₸ · on the market 2 372 · buy 0.1500–0.1619
Tec-9 | Groundwater (Field-Tested) — 13.58 ₸ · on the market 2 872 · buy 0.1500–0.1619
FAMAS | Colony (Field-Tested) — 13.74 ₸ +0.17 ₸ per item · on the market 4 469 · buy 0.1500–0.1619

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 213.98 ₸ +28.64 (+13.4%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 60%
Losing outcome 40%

in profit

CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.116666

303.22 ₸ 15.00%

Steam

in profit

Dual Berettas | Drift Wood

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.139999

346.66 ₸ 15.00%

Steam

in profit

best

FAMAS | CaliCamo

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.139999

360.13 ₸ 15.00%

Steam

in profit

P90 | Verdant Growth

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.109666

331.15 ₸ 15.00%

Steam

at a loss

Dual Berettas | Stained

Field-Tested

float up to 0.233333

37.03 ₸ 6.67%

Steam

at a loss

worst

P2000 | Granite Marbleized

Field-Tested

float up to 0.232666

31.79 ₸ 6.67%

Steam

at a loss

M4A1-S | Boreal Forest

Field-Tested

float up to 0.232666

62.04 ₸ 6.67%

Steam

at a loss

Nova | Candy Apple

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

112.59 ₸ 6.67%

Steam

at a loss

UMP-45 | Gunsmoke

Field-Tested

float up to 0.232666

38.97 ₸ 6.67%

Steam

at a loss

XM1014 | CaliCamo

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.139999

40.35 ₸ 6.67%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Italy Collection

Variant 2 The Overpass Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 3 The Overpass Collection instead of The Italy Collection Variant 4 The Safehouse Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 5 The Train Collection instead of The Italy Collection Variant 6 The Lake Collection instead of The Italy Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −40.90 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −8.78 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Mirage Collection and The Italy Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Italy Collection

How to build i Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 10 outcomes

More

How to build