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The 2021 Train Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −1 842.97₸

Invest at least 13 309.48₸

Average return 11 466.46₸

ROI −13.8%

Chance of profit 38%

With float: invest at least 13 309.48 ₸, profit at most −1 842.97 ₸

float premium: at least 8 089 ₸

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

≈1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈1, цена занижена

×1

UMP-45 | Full Stop

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0049

1 444.26 ₸

at 1 444.26

if this one runs out, you can take

R8 Revolver | Blaze (Factory New) — 1 351.10 ₸ cheaper by 93.16 ₸ · on the market 551 · buy 0.0000–0.0006
AUG | Amber Fade (Factory New) — 1 615.69 ₸ +171.43 ₸ per item · on the market 226 · buy 0.0000–0.0032
SSG 08 | Spring Twilly (Factory New) — 2 008.55 ₸ +564.28 ₸ per item · on the market 219 · buy 0.0000–0.0045

Steam

×9

G3SG1 | Ventilator

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0049

3 874.48 ₸

at 430.50

if this one runs out, you can take

XM1014 | Slipstream (Factory New) — 435.74 ₸ +5.24 ₸ per item · on the market 195 · buy 0.0000–0.0054
P90 | Grim (Factory New) — 585.31 ₸ +154.81 ₸ per item · on the market 135 · buy 0.0000–0.0087
UMP-45 | Briefing (Factory New) — 819.88 ₸ +389.38 ₸ per item · on the market 126 · buy 0.0000–0.0109

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 5 318.74 ₸ +6 147.72 (+115.6%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −3 148 ₸

≈1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 5 шт., годных ≈1, цена занижена

×5

UMP-45 | Full Stop

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0054

7 221.32 ₸

at 1 444.26

if this one runs out, you can take

R8 Revolver | Blaze (Factory New) — 1 351.10 ₸ cheaper by 93.16 ₸ · on the market 551 · buy 0.0000–0.0007
AUG | Amber Fade (Factory New) — 1 615.69 ₸ +171.43 ₸ per item · on the market 226 · buy 0.0000–0.0036
SSG 08 | Spring Twilly (Factory New) — 2 008.55 ₸ +564.28 ₸ per item · on the market 219 · buy 0.0000–0.0050

Steam

×5

G3SG1 | Ventilator

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0054

2 152.49 ₸

at 430.50

if this one runs out, you can take

XM1014 | Slipstream (Factory New) — 435.74 ₸ +5.24 ₸ per item · on the market 195 · buy 0.0000–0.0060
P90 | Grim (Factory New) — 585.31 ₸ +154.81 ₸ per item · on the market 135 · buy 0.0000–0.0097
UMP-45 | Briefing (Factory New) — 819.88 ₸ +389.38 ₸ per item · on the market 126 · buy 0.0000–0.0121

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 9 373.80 ₸ +581.39 (+6.2%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −1 043 ₸

≈1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈1, цена занижена

×4

UMP-45 | Full Stop

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0053

5 777.05 ₸

at 1 444.26

if this one runs out, you can take

R8 Revolver | Blaze (Factory New) — 1 351.10 ₸ cheaper by 93.16 ₸ · on the market 551 · buy 0.0000–0.0007
AUG | Amber Fade (Factory New) — 1 615.69 ₸ +171.43 ₸ per item · on the market 226 · buy 0.0000–0.0035
SSG 08 | Spring Twilly (Factory New) — 2 008.55 ₸ +564.28 ₸ per item · on the market 219 · buy 0.0000–0.0048

Steam

×6

G3SG1 | Ventilator

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0053

2 582.98 ₸

at 430.50

if this one runs out, you can take

XM1014 | Slipstream (Factory New) — 435.74 ₸ +5.24 ₸ per item · on the market 195 · buy 0.0000–0.0059
P90 | Grim (Factory New) — 585.31 ₸ +154.81 ₸ per item · on the market 135 · buy 0.0000–0.0094
UMP-45 | Briefing (Factory New) — 819.88 ₸ +389.38 ₸ per item · on the market 126 · buy 0.0000–0.0118

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 8 360.04 ₸ +1 972.95 (+23.6%)

≈1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈1, цена занижена

×3

UMP-45 | Full Stop

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0051

4 332.79 ₸

at 1 444.26

if this one runs out, you can take

R8 Revolver | Blaze (Factory New) — 1 351.10 ₸ cheaper by 93.16 ₸ · on the market 551 · buy 0.0000–0.0006
AUG | Amber Fade (Factory New) — 1 615.69 ₸ +171.43 ₸ per item · on the market 226 · buy 0.0000–0.0034
SSG 08 | Spring Twilly (Factory New) — 2 008.55 ₸ +564.28 ₸ per item · on the market 219 · buy 0.0000–0.0047

Steam

×7

G3SG1 | Ventilator

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0051

3 013.48 ₸

at 430.50

if this one runs out, you can take

XM1014 | Slipstream (Factory New) — 435.74 ₸ +5.24 ₸ per item · on the market 195 · buy 0.0000–0.0057
P90 | Grim (Factory New) — 585.31 ₸ +154.81 ₸ per item · on the market 135 · buy 0.0000–0.0092
UMP-45 | Briefing (Factory New) — 819.88 ₸ +389.38 ₸ per item · on the market 126 · buy 0.0000–0.0115

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 7 346.27 ₸ +3 364.56 (+45.8%)

≈1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈1, цена занижена

×2

UMP-45 | Full Stop

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0050

2 888.53 ₸

at 1 444.26

if this one runs out, you can take

R8 Revolver | Blaze (Factory New) — 1 351.10 ₸ cheaper by 93.16 ₸ · on the market 551 · buy 0.0000–0.0006
AUG | Amber Fade (Factory New) — 1 615.69 ₸ +171.43 ₸ per item · on the market 226 · buy 0.0000–0.0033
SSG 08 | Spring Twilly (Factory New) — 2 008.55 ₸ +564.28 ₸ per item · on the market 219 · buy 0.0000–0.0046

Steam

×8

G3SG1 | Ventilator

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0050

3 443.98 ₸

at 430.50

if this one runs out, you can take

XM1014 | Slipstream (Factory New) — 435.74 ₸ +5.24 ₸ per item · on the market 195 · buy 0.0000–0.0055
P90 | Grim (Factory New) — 585.31 ₸ +154.81 ₸ per item · on the market 135 · buy 0.0000–0.0089
UMP-45 | Briefing (Factory New) — 819.88 ₸ +389.38 ₸ per item · on the market 126 · buy 0.0000–0.0111

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 6 332.50 ₸ +4 756.17 (+75.1%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 44%
Losing outcome 56%

in profit

best

Desert Eagle | Directive

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

45 345.05 ₸ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

Glock-18 | Weasel

Factory New

float up to 0.010638

18 348.34 ₸ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

MAG-7 | Petroglyph

Factory New

float up to 0.004680

927.17 ₸ 18.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

SCAR-20 | Powercore

Factory New

float up to 0.010638

1 899.65 ₸ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

SG 553 | Triarch

Factory New

float up to 0.010638

1 584.56 ₸ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

AWP | POP AWP

Factory New

float up to 0.004680

16 833.55 ₸ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

CZ75-Auto | Syndicate

Factory New

float up to 0.007446

7 832.46 ₸ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

P2000 | Space Race

Factory New

float up to 0.006382

9 248.13 ₸ 2.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly

Factory New

float up to 0.006170

8 049.58 ₸ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

Nova | Red Quartz

Factory New

float up to 0.004255

4 416.02 ₸ 2.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Train Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection

Variant 2 The Overpass Collection instead of The 2021 Train Collection Variant 3 only The Gamma 2 Collection Variant 4 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The 2021 Train Collection Variant 5 The Safehouse Collection instead of The 2021 Train Collection Variant 6 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The 2021 Train Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +2 717.87 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +5 734.39 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Train Collection and The Gamma 2 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 4 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3304755 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The Operation Riptide Collection · profit 6 584.46₸ · invest 5 033.56₸
sells slowly rare inputs

AUG | Plague (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Full Stop (Factory New); G3SG1 | Ventilator (Factory New): float at most 0.004990 instead of 0.004909
Craft 3287413 · The Anubis Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection · profit 6 313.92₸ · invest 5 660.38₸
sells slowly rare inputs

MAG-7 | Copper Coated (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Full Stop (Factory New); G3SG1 | Ventilator (Factory New): float at most 0.005065 instead of 0.004909
Craft 3305165 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The eSports 2013 Winter Collection · profit 6 210.07₸ · invest 5 188.04₸
sells slowly rare inputs

Nova | Ghost Camo (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Full Stop (Factory New); G3SG1 | Ventilator (Factory New): float at most 0.004728 instead of 0.004909
Craft 3304612 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 6 193.65₸ · invest 6 007.15₸
sells slowly

MAG-7 | Sonar (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Full Stop (Factory New); G3SG1 | Ventilator (Factory New): float at most 0.004787 instead of 0.004909

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Train Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 10 outcomes

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How to build