The 2021 Train Collection — craft

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

Nova | Red Quartz

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0750

7.20 $

at 7.20

if this one runs out, you can take

CZ75-Auto | Syndicate (Minimal Wear) — 7.67 $ +0.47 $ per item · on the market 66 · buy 0.0700–0.1313
AWP | POP AWP (Minimal Wear) — 8.63 $ +1.43 $ per item · on the market 166 · buy 0.0700–0.0825
P2000 | Space Race (Minimal Wear) — 9.37 $ +2.17 $ per item · on the market 29 · buy 0.0700–0.1125

Steam

×9

FAMAS | Sergeant

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1645

25.68 $

at 2.85

if this one runs out, you can take

USP-S | Guardian (Factory New) — 5.21 $ +2.36 $ per item · on the market 480 · buy 0.0000–0.0272
MAC-10 | Heat (Minimal Wear) — 5.89 $ +3.04 $ per item · on the market 71 · buy 0.0700–0.0717
SG 553 | Pulse (Minimal Wear) — 6.72 $ +3.87 $ per item · on the market 103 · buy 0.1000–0.1358

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 32.88 $ +16.38 (+49.8%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×2

CZ75-Auto | Syndicate

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0766

15.34 $

at 7.67

if this one runs out, you can take

Nova | Red Quartz (Factory New) — 10.11 $ +2.44 $ per item · on the market 60 · buy 0.0000–0.0437
MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly (Factory New) — 17.88 $ +10.21 $ per item · on the market 40 · buy 0.0000–0.0635
P2000 | Space Race (Factory New) — 20.87 $ +13.19 $ per item · on the market 50 · buy 0.0000–0.0656

Steam

×8

FAMAS | Sergeant

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1691

22.82 $

at 2.85

if this one runs out, you can take

USP-S | Guardian (Factory New) — 5.21 $ +2.36 $ per item · on the market 480 · buy 0.0000–0.0291
MAC-10 | Heat (Minimal Wear) — 5.89 $ +3.04 $ per item · on the market 71 · buy 0.0700–0.0767
SG 553 | Pulse (Minimal Wear) — 6.72 $ +3.87 $ per item · on the market 103 · buy 0.1000–0.1383

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 38.17 $ +12.99 (+34.0%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −2 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×3

CZ75-Auto | Syndicate

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0754

23.01 $

at 7.67

if this one runs out, you can take

Nova | Red Quartz (Factory New) — 10.11 $ +2.44 $ per item · on the market 60 · buy 0.0000–0.0430
MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly (Factory New) — 17.88 $ +10.21 $ per item · on the market 40 · buy 0.0000–0.0624
P2000 | Space Race (Factory New) — 20.87 $ +13.19 $ per item · on the market 50 · buy 0.0000–0.0646

Steam

×7

FAMAS | Sergeant

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1655

19.97 $

at 2.85

if this one runs out, you can take

USP-S | Guardian (Factory New) — 5.21 $ +2.36 $ per item · on the market 480 · buy 0.0000–0.0276
MAC-10 | Heat (Minimal Wear) — 5.89 $ +3.04 $ per item · on the market 71 · buy 0.0700–0.0728
SG 553 | Pulse (Minimal Wear) — 6.72 $ +3.87 $ per item · on the market 103 · buy 0.1000–0.1364

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 42.98 $ +10.08 (+23.4%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −19 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 5 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×5

CZ75-Auto | Syndicate

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0749

38.35 $

at 7.67

if this one runs out, you can take

Nova | Red Quartz (Factory New) — 10.11 $ +2.44 $ per item · on the market 60 · buy 0.0000–0.0428
MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly (Factory New) — 17.88 $ +10.21 $ per item · on the market 40 · buy 0.0000–0.0621
P2000 | Space Race (Factory New) — 20.87 $ +13.19 $ per item · on the market 50 · buy 0.0000–0.0642

Steam

×4

FAMAS | Sergeant

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1643

11.41 $

at 2.85

if this one runs out, you can take

USP-S | Guardian (Factory New) — 5.21 $ +2.36 $ per item · on the market 480 · buy 0.0000–0.0271
MAC-10 | Heat (Minimal Wear) — 5.89 $ +3.04 $ per item · on the market 71 · buy 0.0700–0.0715
SG 553 | Pulse (Minimal Wear) — 6.72 $ +3.87 $ per item · on the market 103 · buy 0.1000–0.1357

Steam

×1

USP-S | Guardian

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0043

5.21 $

at 5.21

if this one runs out, you can take

SG 553 | Pulse (Minimal Wear) — 6.72 $ +1.51 $ per item · on the market 103 · buy 0.1000–0.1057
FAMAS | Sergeant (Minimal Wear) — 10.04 $ +4.83 $ per item · on the market 56 · buy 0.1000–0.1103
MAC-10 | Heat (Factory New) — 12.53 $ +7.32 $ per item · on the market 65 · buy 0.0000–0.0115

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 54.97 $ +1.89 (+3.4%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −9 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×4

CZ75-Auto | Syndicate

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0740

30.68 $

at 7.67

if this one runs out, you can take

Nova | Red Quartz (Factory New) — 10.11 $ +2.44 $ per item · on the market 60 · buy 0.0000–0.0422
MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly (Factory New) — 17.88 $ +10.21 $ per item · on the market 40 · buy 0.0000–0.0613
P2000 | Space Race (Factory New) — 20.87 $ +13.19 $ per item · on the market 50 · buy 0.0000–0.0634

Steam

×6

FAMAS | Sergeant

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1615

17.12 $

at 2.85

if this one runs out, you can take

USP-S | Guardian (Factory New) — 5.21 $ +2.36 $ per item · on the market 480 · buy 0.0000–0.0259
SG 553 | Pulse (Minimal Wear) — 6.72 $ +3.87 $ per item · on the market 103 · buy 0.1000–0.1341
MAC-10 | Heat (Factory New) — 12.53 $ +9.67 $ per item · on the market 65 · buy 0.0000–0.0683

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 47.80 $ +7.16 (+15.0%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 40%
Losing outcome 60%

in profit

best

AK-47 | Redline

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

140.00 $ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

Nova | Antique

Factory New

float up to 0.024999

12.87 $ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

P90 | Trigon

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.135833

10.51 $ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

FAMAS | Meltdown

Factory New

float up to 0.033333

64.24 $ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

MAC-10 | Propaganda

Factory New

float up to 0.051666

77.02 $ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

USP-S | Whiteout

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121666

87.70 $ 3.33%

Steam

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +10.40 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +14.48 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Train Collection and The Phoenix Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 3 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3287581 · The Anubis Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 16.97$ · invest 35.94$
rare inputs

Souvenir Nova | Sobek's Bite (Minimal Wear) instead of Nova | Red Quartz (Minimal Wear); FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162562 instead of 0.164566
Craft 3282617 · The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 16.24$ · invest 29.32$
rare inputs

P250 | Vino Primo (Minimal Wear) instead of Nova | Red Quartz (Minimal Wear); FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162562 instead of 0.164566
Craft 3311618 · The Phoenix Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection · profit 15.46$ · invest 31.30$
rare inputs

Nova | Rising Skull (Minimal Wear) instead of Nova | Red Quartz (Minimal Wear); FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested): float at most 0.168075 instead of 0.164566

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Train Collection + The Phoenix Collection

How to build

What you get 6 outcomes

Craft variants

More

The 2021 Train Collection + The Phoenix Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 6 outcomes

More

How to build