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The Ancient Collection + The Phoenix Collection

Classified → Covert

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −19 490.99₴

Invest at least 34 960.62₴

Average return 15 469.63₴

ROI −55.8%

Chance of profit 20%

With float: invest at least 34 960.62 ₴, profit at most −19 490.99 ₴

float premium: at least 19 198 ₴

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +423.04 ₴ по средним

Sell on CSFloat: without them the profit is −11 720.35 ₴

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Share of fitting lots unknown: not enough for a contract: 1 items needed, market lots unknown, price understated

×1

Souvenir P90 | Run and Hide

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3854

5 061.07 ₴

at 5 061.07

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir AK-47 | Panthera onca (Well-Worn) — 5 395.49 ₴ +334.42 ₴ per item · on the market 7 · buy 0.3800–0.3854

souvenirSteam

×1

Souvenir P90 | Run and Hide

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1680

5 542.16 ₴

at 5 542.16

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir AK-47 | Panthera onca (Field-Tested) — 7 995.17 ₴ +2 453.02 ₴ per item · on the market 12 · buy 0.1500–0.1680

souvenirSteam

×8

Nova | Antique

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0054

4 655.46 ₴

at 581.93

if this one runs out, you can take

P90 | Trigon (Minimal Wear) — 633.05 ₴ +51.12 ₴ per item · on the market 61 · buy 0.0800–0.0922
AK-47 | Redline (Minimal Wear) — 6 648.51 ₴ +6 066.58 ₴ per item · on the market 70 · buy 0.1000–0.1109

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 15 258.69 ₴ +210.94 (+1.4%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×3

Souvenir P90 | Run and Hide

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1637

16 626.48 ₴

at 5 542.16

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir AK-47 | Panthera onca (Field-Tested) — 7 995.17 ₴ +2 453.02 ₴ per item · on the market 12 · buy 0.1500–0.1637

souvenirSteam

×1

P90 | Trigon

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1637

451.86 ₴

at 451.86

if this one runs out, you can take

Nova | Antique (Factory New) — 581.93 ₴ +130.07 ₴ per item · on the market 55 · buy 0.0000–0.0375
AK-47 | Redline (Field-Tested) — 1 492.42 ₴ +1 040.56 ₴ per item · on the market 1 255 · buy 0.1500–0.1750

Steam

×6

Nova | Antique

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0041

3 491.59 ₴

at 581.93

if this one runs out, you can take

P90 | Trigon (Minimal Wear) — 633.05 ₴ +51.12 ₴ per item · on the market 61 · buy 0.0800–0.0893
AK-47 | Redline (Minimal Wear) — 6 648.51 ₴ +6 066.58 ₴ per item · on the market 70 · buy 0.1000–0.1083

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 20 569.94 ₴ +423.04 (+2.1%)

What you get 3 outcomes

Profitable outcome 20%
Losing outcome 80%

at a loss

worst

AUG | Chameleon

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

4 593.05 ₴ 40.00%

Steam

at a loss

AWP | Asiimov

Field-Tested

float up to 0.237399

5 579.67 ₴ 40.00%

Steam

in profit

best

M4A1-S | Welcome to the Jungle

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

60 873.93 ₴ 20.00%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Ancient Collection + The Phoenix Collection

Variant 2 The Danger Zone Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection Variant 3 The Overpass 2024 Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection Variant 4 The Fever Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection Variant 5 The Kilowatt Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection Variant 6 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Ancient Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −107.75 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +132.88 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Ancient Collection and The Phoenix Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Ancient Collection + The Phoenix Collection

How to build i Ways to build 2 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 3 outcomes

More

How to build