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The Ascent Collection + The Dead Hand Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −1.57$

Invest at least 2.82$

Average return 1.25$

ROI −55.5%

Chance of profit 0%

With float: invest at least 2.82 $, profit at most −1.57 $

float premium: at least 1 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +0.40 $ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Share of fitting lots unknown: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈1, цена занижена

×2

P90 | Reef Grief

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1618

0.40 $

at 0.20

if this one runs out, you can take

MP9 | Cobalt Paisley (Field-Tested) — 0.21 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 1 670 · buy 0.1500–0.1753
P2000 | Royal Baroque (Field-Tested) — 0.22 $ +0.02 $ per item · on the market 875 · buy 0.1500–0.1618
FAMAS | Yeti Camo (Field-Tested) — 0.23 $ +0.03 $ per item · on the market 1 232 · buy 0.1500–0.1888

Steam

×3

Sawed-Off | Fusion

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3836

0.26 $

at 0.09

if this one runs out, you can take

UMP-45 | Fragment (Well-Worn) — 0.09 $ +0.00 $ per item · on the market 377 · buy 0.3800–0.3836
M4A4 | Zubastick (Well-Worn) — 0.10 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 1 212 · buy 0.3800–0.3836
Five-SeveN | Dark Polymer (Well-Worn) — 0.10 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 407 · buy 0.3800–0.3836

Steam

×5

PP-Bizon | RMX

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1618

0.55 $

at 0.11

if this one runs out, you can take

M4A4 | Zubastick (Field-Tested) — 0.11 $ +0.00 $ per item · on the market 1 877 · buy 0.1500–0.1618
UMP-45 | Fragment (Field-Tested) — 0.11 $ +0.00 $ per item · on the market 1 013 · buy 0.1500–0.1618
M249 | Bock Blocks (Field-Tested) — 0.12 $ +0.00 $ per item · on the market 943 · buy 0.1500–0.1618

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1.21 $ +0.05 (+4.0%)

Share of fitting lots unknown: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈2, цена занижена

×3

P90 | Reef Grief

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1726

0.59 $

at 0.20

if this one runs out, you can take

MP9 | Cobalt Paisley (Field-Tested) — 0.21 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 1 670 · buy 0.1500–0.1870
P2000 | Royal Baroque (Field-Tested) — 0.22 $ +0.02 $ per item · on the market 875 · buy 0.1500–0.1726
FAMAS | Yeti Camo (Field-Tested) — 0.23 $ +0.03 $ per item · on the market 1 232 · buy 0.1500–0.2013

Steam

×2

Sawed-Off | Fusion

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3868

0.17 $

at 0.09

if this one runs out, you can take

UMP-45 | Fragment (Well-Worn) — 0.09 $ +0.00 $ per item · on the market 377 · buy 0.3800–0.3868
M4A4 | Zubastick (Well-Worn) — 0.10 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 1 212 · buy 0.3800–0.3868
Five-SeveN | Dark Polymer (Well-Worn) — 0.10 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 407 · buy 0.3800–0.3868

Steam

×5

PP-Bizon | RMX

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1726

0.55 $

at 0.11

if this one runs out, you can take

M4A4 | Zubastick (Field-Tested) — 0.11 $ +0.00 $ per item · on the market 1 877 · buy 0.1500–0.1726
UMP-45 | Fragment (Field-Tested) — 0.11 $ +0.00 $ per item · on the market 1 013 · buy 0.1500–0.1726
M249 | Bock Blocks (Field-Tested) — 0.12 $ +0.00 $ per item · on the market 943 · buy 0.1500–0.1726

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1.32 $ +0.09 (+7.1%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 7 шт., годных ≈2, цена занижена

×7

P90 | Reef Grief

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1704

1.38 $

at 0.20

if this one runs out, you can take

MP9 | Cobalt Paisley (Field-Tested) — 0.21 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 1 670 · buy 0.1500–0.1846
P2000 | Royal Baroque (Field-Tested) — 0.22 $ +0.02 $ per item · on the market 875 · buy 0.1500–0.1704
FAMAS | Yeti Camo (Field-Tested) — 0.23 $ +0.03 $ per item · on the market 1 232 · buy 0.1500–0.1988

Steam

×3

PP-Bizon | RMX

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1704

0.33 $

at 0.11

if this one runs out, you can take

M4A4 | Zubastick (Field-Tested) — 0.11 $ +0.00 $ per item · on the market 1 877 · buy 0.1500–0.1704
UMP-45 | Fragment (Field-Tested) — 0.11 $ +0.00 $ per item · on the market 1 013 · buy 0.1500–0.1704
M249 | Bock Blocks (Field-Tested) — 0.12 $ +0.00 $ per item · on the market 943 · buy 0.1500–0.1704

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1.71 $ +0.32 (+18.7%)

Share of fitting lots unknown: на контракт не хватает: нужно 5 шт., годных ≈1, цена занижена

×5

P90 | Reef Grief

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1635

0.99 $

at 0.20

if this one runs out, you can take

MP9 | Cobalt Paisley (Field-Tested) — 0.21 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 1 670 · buy 0.1500–0.1772
P2000 | Royal Baroque (Field-Tested) — 0.22 $ +0.02 $ per item · on the market 875 · buy 0.1500–0.1635
FAMAS | Yeti Camo (Field-Tested) — 0.23 $ +0.03 $ per item · on the market 1 232 · buy 0.1500–0.1908

Steam

×1

Sawed-Off | Fusion

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4824

0.09 $

at 0.09

if this one runs out, you can take

M4A4 | Zubastick (Battle-Scarred) — 0.09 $ +0.00 $ per item · on the market 1 774 · buy 0.4500–0.4824
UMP-45 | Fragment (Well-Worn) — 0.09 $ +0.00 $ per item · on the market 377 · buy 0.3800–0.4500
Five-SeveN | Dark Polymer (Battle-Scarred) — 0.09 $ +0.00 $ per item · on the market 720 · buy 0.4500–0.4824

Steam

×4

PP-Bizon | RMX

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1635

0.44 $

at 0.11

if this one runs out, you can take

M4A4 | Zubastick (Field-Tested) — 0.11 $ +0.00 $ per item · on the market 1 877 · buy 0.1500–0.1635
UMP-45 | Fragment (Field-Tested) — 0.11 $ +0.00 $ per item · on the market 1 013 · buy 0.1500–0.1635
M249 | Bock Blocks (Field-Tested) — 0.12 $ +0.00 $ per item · on the market 943 · buy 0.1500–0.1635

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1.51 $ +0.21 (+13.8%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 8 шт., годных ≈1, цена занижена

×8

P90 | Reef Grief

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1630

1.58 $

at 0.20

if this one runs out, you can take

MP9 | Cobalt Paisley (Field-Tested) — 0.21 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 1 670 · buy 0.1500–0.1766
P2000 | Royal Baroque (Field-Tested) — 0.22 $ +0.02 $ per item · on the market 875 · buy 0.1500–0.1630
FAMAS | Yeti Camo (Field-Tested) — 0.23 $ +0.03 $ per item · on the market 1 232 · buy 0.1500–0.1902

Steam

×2

PP-Bizon | RMX

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1630

0.22 $

at 0.11

if this one runs out, you can take

M4A4 | Zubastick (Field-Tested) — 0.11 $ +0.00 $ per item · on the market 1 877 · buy 0.1500–0.1630
UMP-45 | Fragment (Field-Tested) — 0.11 $ +0.00 $ per item · on the market 1 013 · buy 0.1500–0.1630
M249 | Bock Blocks (Field-Tested) — 0.12 $ +0.00 $ per item · on the market 943 · buy 0.1500–0.1630

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1.80 $ +0.39 (+21.6%)

What you get 7 outcomes

Profitable outcome 20%
Losing outcome 64%
About break-even 16%

at a loss

Desert Eagle | Firebreathing

Field-Tested

float up to 0.249999

1.15 $ 16.00%

Steam

at a loss

Galil AR | Galigator

Field-Tested

float up to 0.249999

1.02 $ 16.00%

Steam

about break-even

M4A1-S | Electrum

Field-Tested

float up to 0.249999

1.32 $ 16.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

MP7 | Amberline

Field-Tested

float up to 0.249999

0.88 $ 16.00%

Steam

at a loss

MP9 | Urban Sovereign

Field-Tested

float up to 0.249999

1.04 $ 16.00%

Steam

in profit

best

AK-47 | Midnight Laminate

Field-Tested

float up to 0.187499

3.09 $ 10.00%

Steam

in profit

USP-S | Royal Guard

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

2.67 $ 10.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Ascent Collection + The Dead Hand Collection

Variant 2 The Safehouse Collection instead of The Ascent Collection Variant 3 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 4 The Chroma 3 Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 5 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 6 The Prisma 2 Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −0.09 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +0.01 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Ascent Collection and The Dead Hand Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Ascent Collection + The Dead Hand Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 7 outcomes

More

How to build