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The Clutch Collection + The Shadow Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −2.51$

Invest at least 9.92$

Average return 7.42$

ROI −25.3%

Chance of profit 20%

With float: invest at least 9.92 $, profit at most −2.51 $

float premium: at least 6 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +3.22 $ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 5 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×2

SG 553 | Aloha

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0036

0.72 $

at 0.36

if this one runs out, you can take

XM1014 | Oxide Blaze (Factory New) — 0.37 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 426 · buy 0.0000–0.0047
PP-Bizon | Night Riot (Factory New) — 0.44 $ +0.08 $ per item · on the market 272 · buy 0.0000–0.0053
Five-SeveN | Flame Test (Factory New) — 0.61 $ +0.25 $ per item · on the market 359 · buy 0.0000–0.0043

Steam

×5

SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0742

1.95 $

at 0.39

if this one runs out, you can take

XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear) — 0.52 $ +0.13 $ per item · on the market 95 · buy 0.0700–0.0927
MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New) — 0.92 $ +0.53 $ per item · on the market 271 · buy 0.0000–0.0463
Dual Berettas | Dualing Dragons (Minimal Wear) — 0.96 $ +0.57 $ per item · on the market 188 · buy 0.0700–0.0927

Steam

×3

XM1014 | Scumbria

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0742

1.55 $

at 0.52

if this one runs out, you can take

MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New) — 0.92 $ +0.40 $ per item · on the market 271 · buy 0.0000–0.0371
Dual Berettas | Dualing Dragons (Minimal Wear) — 0.96 $ +0.44 $ per item · on the market 188 · buy 0.0700–0.0742
MAG-7 | Cobalt Core (Factory New) — 1.03 $ +0.51 $ per item · on the market 303 · buy 0.0000–0.0371

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 4.23 $ +3.19 (+75.5%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 5 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×5

MP9 | Black Sand

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0773

1.26 $

at 0.25

if this one runs out, you can take

P2000 | Urban Hazard (Minimal Wear) — 0.26 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 143 · buy 0.0700–0.0773
R8 Revolver | Grip (Minimal Wear) — 0.30 $ +0.04 $ per item · on the market 389 · buy 0.0700–0.0773
SG 553 | Aloha (Factory New) — 0.36 $ +0.11 $ per item · on the market 858 · buy 0.0000–0.0425

Steam

×2

SG 553 | Aloha

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0064

0.72 $

at 0.36

if this one runs out, you can take

XM1014 | Oxide Blaze (Factory New) — 0.37 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 426 · buy 0.0000–0.0081
PP-Bizon | Night Riot (Factory New) — 0.44 $ +0.08 $ per item · on the market 272 · buy 0.0000–0.0093
Five-SeveN | Flame Test (Factory New) — 0.61 $ +0.25 $ per item · on the market 359 · buy 0.0000–0.0075

Steam

×3

SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0773

1.17 $

at 0.39

if this one runs out, you can take

XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear) — 0.52 $ +0.13 $ per item · on the market 95 · buy 0.0700–0.0966
MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New) — 0.92 $ +0.53 $ per item · on the market 271 · buy 0.0000–0.0483
Dual Berettas | Dualing Dragons (Minimal Wear) — 0.96 $ +0.57 $ per item · on the market 188 · buy 0.0700–0.0966

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 3.16 $ +0.80 (+25.4%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈16, цена занижена

×3

SG 553 | Aloha

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0056

1.08 $

at 0.36

if this one runs out, you can take

XM1014 | Oxide Blaze (Factory New) — 0.37 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 426 · buy 0.0000–0.0072
PP-Bizon | Night Riot (Factory New) — 0.44 $ +0.08 $ per item · on the market 272 · buy 0.0000–0.0082
Five-SeveN | Flame Test (Factory New) — 0.61 $ +0.25 $ per item · on the market 359 · buy 0.0000–0.0066

Steam

×7

SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0764

2.74 $

at 0.39

if this one runs out, you can take

XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear) — 0.52 $ +0.13 $ per item · on the market 95 · buy 0.0700–0.0955
MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New) — 0.92 $ +0.53 $ per item · on the market 271 · buy 0.0000–0.0477
Dual Berettas | Dualing Dragons (Minimal Wear) — 0.96 $ +0.57 $ per item · on the market 188 · buy 0.0700–0.0955

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 3.81 $ +2.91 (+76.3%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×4

MP9 | Black Sand

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0757

1.01 $

at 0.25

if this one runs out, you can take

P2000 | Urban Hazard (Minimal Wear) — 0.26 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 143 · buy 0.0700–0.0757
R8 Revolver | Grip (Minimal Wear) — 0.30 $ +0.04 $ per item · on the market 389 · buy 0.0700–0.0757
SG 553 | Aloha (Factory New) — 0.36 $ +0.11 $ per item · on the market 858 · buy 0.0000–0.0416

Steam

×2

SG 553 | Aloha

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0050

0.72 $

at 0.36

if this one runs out, you can take

XM1014 | Oxide Blaze (Factory New) — 0.37 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 426 · buy 0.0000–0.0063
PP-Bizon | Night Riot (Factory New) — 0.44 $ +0.08 $ per item · on the market 272 · buy 0.0000–0.0073
Five-SeveN | Flame Test (Factory New) — 0.61 $ +0.25 $ per item · on the market 359 · buy 0.0000–0.0059

Steam

×4

SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0757

1.56 $

at 0.39

if this one runs out, you can take

XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear) — 0.52 $ +0.13 $ per item · on the market 95 · buy 0.0700–0.0946
MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New) — 0.92 $ +0.53 $ per item · on the market 271 · buy 0.0000–0.0473
Dual Berettas | Dualing Dragons (Minimal Wear) — 0.96 $ +0.57 $ per item · on the market 188 · buy 0.0700–0.0946

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 3.29 $ +1.36 (+41.2%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

XM1014 | Oxide Blaze

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0754

0.22 $

at 0.22

if this one runs out, you can take

PP-Bizon | Night Riot (Minimal Wear) — 0.24 $ +0.02 $ per item · on the market 130 · buy 0.0700–0.0862
Five-SeveN | Flame Test (Minimal Wear) — 0.25 $ +0.03 $ per item · on the market 398 · buy 0.070000–0.070082
MP9 | Black Sand (Minimal Wear) — 0.25 $ +0.03 $ per item · on the market 121 · buy 0.0700–0.1078

Steam

×3

SG 553 | Aloha

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0047

1.08 $

at 0.36

if this one runs out, you can take

XM1014 | Oxide Blaze (Factory New) — 0.37 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 426 · buy 0.0000–0.0060
PP-Bizon | Night Riot (Factory New) — 0.44 $ +0.08 $ per item · on the market 272 · buy 0.0000–0.0069
Five-SeveN | Flame Test (Factory New) — 0.61 $ +0.25 $ per item · on the market 359 · buy 0.0000–0.0056

Steam

×6

SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0754

2.35 $

at 0.39

if this one runs out, you can take

XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear) — 0.52 $ +0.13 $ per item · on the market 95 · buy 0.0700–0.0943
MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New) — 0.92 $ +0.53 $ per item · on the market 271 · buy 0.0000–0.0471
Dual Berettas | Dualing Dragons (Minimal Wear) — 0.96 $ +0.57 $ per item · on the market 188 · buy 0.0700–0.0943

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 3.64 $ +2.39 (+65.6%)

What you get 9 outcomes

Profitable outcome 80%
Losing outcome 20%

in profit

best

Galil AR | Stone Cold

Factory New

float up to 0.062999

21.94 $ 20.00%

Steam

in profit

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

7.15 $ 20.00%

Steam

in profit

MP7 | Special Delivery

Factory New

float up to 0.043399

5.41 $ 20.00%

Steam

in profit

P250 | Wingshot

Factory New

float up to 0.062999

5.98 $ 20.00%

Steam

at a loss

Glock-18 | Moonrise

Factory New

float up to 0.045499

2.68 $ 4.00%

Steam

at a loss

MAG-7 | SWAG-7

Factory New

float up to 0.064399

3.33 $ 4.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Negev | Lionfish

Factory New

float up to 0.038499

1.35 $ 4.00%

Steam

at a loss

Nova | Wild Six

Factory New

float up to 0.055999

1.59 $ 4.00%

Steam

at a loss

UMP-45 | Arctic Wolf

Factory New

float up to 0.055999

1.88 $ 4.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Clutch Collection + The Shadow Collection

Variant 2 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 3 The Glove Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 4 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Clutch Collection Variant 5 The Prisma Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 6 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Shadow Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +1.91 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +2.78 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Clutch Collection and The Shadow Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 13 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3313491 · The Revolver Case Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 3.91$ · invest 4.51$
sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Outbreak (Factory New) instead of SG 553 | Aloha (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074117 instead of 0.074222; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074117 instead of 0.074222
Craft 3295548 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 3.71$ · invest 4.53$
sells slowly rare inputs

M249 | Spectre (Factory New) instead of SG 553 | Aloha (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074117 instead of 0.074222; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074117 instead of 0.074222
Craft 3311806 · The Prisma 2 Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 3.56$ · invest 4.31$
sells slowly rare inputs

R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New) instead of SG 553 | Aloha (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074314 instead of 0.074222; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074314 instead of 0.074222
Craft 3308194 · The Horizon Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 3.51$ · invest 5.29$
sells slowly rare inputs

Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New) instead of SG 553 | Aloha (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074117 instead of 0.074222; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074117 instead of 0.074222
Craft 3296337 · The Chroma Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 3.42$ · invest 5.46$
sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Grotto (Factory New) instead of SG 553 | Aloha (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074117 instead of 0.074222; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074117 instead of 0.074222
Craft 3305616 · The Gamma Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 3.41$ · invest 4.49$
sells slowly rare inputs

Nova | Exo (Factory New) instead of SG 553 | Aloha (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074117 instead of 0.074222; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074117 instead of 0.074222
Craft 3292805 · The CS20 Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 3.39$ · invest 4.63$
sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Assault (Factory New) instead of SG 553 | Aloha (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074348 instead of 0.074222; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074348 instead of 0.074222
Craft 3310969 · The Overpass 2024 Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 3.32$ · invest 4.86$
sells slowly rare inputs

Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New) instead of SG 553 | Aloha (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074117 instead of 0.074222; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074117 instead of 0.074222
Craft 3314004 · The Shadow Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 3.28$ · invest 4.28$
sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of SG 553 | Aloha (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074117 instead of 0.074222; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074117 instead of 0.074222
Craft 3314037 · The Shadow Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 3.20$ · invest 4.57$
sells slowly rare inputs

PP-Bizon | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of SG 553 | Aloha (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074117 instead of 0.074222; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074117 instead of 0.074222
Craft 3301761 · The Falchion Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 3.11$ · invest 5.27$
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New) instead of SG 553 | Aloha (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074468 instead of 0.074222; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074468 instead of 0.074222
Craft 3291854 · The Breakout Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 3.04$ · invest 4.71$
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Factory New) instead of SG 553 | Aloha (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): 4 pcs instead of 5; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075233 instead of 0.074222; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): 4 pcs instead of 3; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075233 instead of 0.074222
Craft 3298588 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 3.03$ · invest 3.93$
sells slowly rare inputs

Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested) instead of SG 553 | Aloha (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074793 instead of 0.074222; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): 2 pcs instead of 3; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074793 instead of 0.074222

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Clutch Collection + The Shadow Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 9 outcomes

More

How to build