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The Danger Zone Collection + The Phoenix Collection

StatTrak™ Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +2.14$

Invest 3.57$

Average return 5.71$

ROI +59.8%

Chance of profit 52%

With float: invest at least 8.65 $, profit at most −2.94 $

float premium: at least 5 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +3.50 $ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

0% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Black Sand

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1637

0.20 $

at 0.20

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Danger Close (Field-Tested) — 0.24 $ +0.04 $ per item · on the market 438 · buy 0.1500–0.1618
StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested) — 0.32 $ +0.13 $ per item · on the market 311 · buy 0.1500–0.2964
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Oxide Blaze (Field-Tested) — 0.34 $ +0.15 $ per item · on the market 738 · buy 0.1500–0.1546

Steam

×7

StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Fubar

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1637

2.25 $

at 0.32

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Nova | Wood Fired (Factory New) — 0.92 $ +0.60 $ per item · on the market 125 · buy 0.0000–0.0206
StatTrak™ MP9 | Modest Threat (Factory New) — 1.07 $ +0.75 $ per item · on the market 75 · buy 0.0000–0.0206
StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Black Sand (Factory New) — 1.13 $ +0.81 $ per item · on the market 24 · buy 0.0000–0.0248

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Corporal

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1637

1.13 $

at 0.57

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Sandstorm (Field-Tested) — 0.76 $ +0.19 $ per item · on the market 273 · buy 0.1500–0.1974
StatTrak™ Negev | Terrain (Minimal Wear) — 1.01 $ +0.44 $ per item · on the market 53 · buy 0.0700–0.0731
StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New) — 1.30 $ +0.74 $ per item · on the market 110 · buy 0.0000–0.0649

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 3.57 $ +2.14 (+59.8%)

0% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×4

StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Fubar

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1654

1.28 $

at 0.32

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Nova | Wood Fired (Factory New) — 0.92 $ +0.60 $ per item · on the market 125 · buy 0.0000–0.0221
StatTrak™ MP9 | Modest Threat (Factory New) — 1.07 $ +0.75 $ per item · on the market 75 · buy 0.0000–0.0221
StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Black Sand (Factory New) — 1.13 $ +0.81 $ per item · on the market 24 · buy 0.0000–0.0266

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Sandstorm

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1654

3.80 $

at 0.76

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear) — 1.03 $ +0.27 $ per item · on the market 104 · buy 0.0700–0.1263
StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New) — 1.30 $ +0.54 $ per item · on the market 110 · buy 0.0000–0.0436
StatTrak™ Negev | Terrain (Factory New) — 1.37 $ +0.61 $ per item · on the market 87 · buy 0.0000–0.0490

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Corporal

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0753

1.03 $

at 1.03

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New) — 1.30 $ +0.28 $ per item · on the market 110 · buy 0.0000–0.0144
StatTrak™ Negev | Terrain (Factory New) — 1.37 $ +0.35 $ per item · on the market 87 · buy 0.0000–0.0163
StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Sandstorm (Minimal Wear) — 6.57 $ +5.54 $ per item · on the market 37 · buy 0.1000–0.1217

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 6.10 $ +3.04 (+49.8%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 7 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×7

StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Fubar

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1652

2.25 $

at 0.32

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Nova | Wood Fired (Factory New) — 0.92 $ +0.60 $ per item · on the market 125 · buy 0.0000–0.0220
StatTrak™ MP9 | Modest Threat (Factory New) — 1.07 $ +0.75 $ per item · on the market 75 · buy 0.0000–0.0220
StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Black Sand (Factory New) — 1.13 $ +0.81 $ per item · on the market 24 · buy 0.0000–0.0264

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Corporal

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1652

1.70 $

at 0.57

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Sandstorm (Field-Tested) — 0.76 $ +0.19 $ per item · on the market 273 · buy 0.1500–0.1988
StatTrak™ Negev | Terrain (Minimal Wear) — 1.01 $ +0.44 $ per item · on the market 53 · buy 0.0700–0.0741
StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New) — 1.30 $ +0.74 $ per item · on the market 110 · buy 0.0000–0.0658

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 3.95 $ +2.63 (+66.5%)

0% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×3

StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Fubar

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1649

0.96 $

at 0.32

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Nova | Wood Fired (Factory New) — 0.92 $ +0.60 $ per item · on the market 125 · buy 0.0000–0.0217
StatTrak™ MP9 | Modest Threat (Factory New) — 1.07 $ +0.75 $ per item · on the market 75 · buy 0.0000–0.0217
StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Black Sand (Factory New) — 1.13 $ +0.81 $ per item · on the market 24 · buy 0.0000–0.0260

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Sandstorm

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1649

3.80 $

at 0.76

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear) — 1.03 $ +0.27 $ per item · on the market 104 · buy 0.0700–0.1257
StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New) — 1.30 $ +0.54 $ per item · on the market 110 · buy 0.0000–0.0432
StatTrak™ Negev | Terrain (Factory New) — 1.37 $ +0.61 $ per item · on the market 87 · buy 0.0000–0.0486

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Corporal

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

2.05 $

at 1.03

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New) — 1.30 $ +0.28 $ per item · on the market 110 · buy 0.0000–0.0143
StatTrak™ Negev | Terrain (Factory New) — 1.37 $ +0.35 $ per item · on the market 87 · buy 0.0000–0.0161
StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Sandstorm (Minimal Wear) — 6.57 $ +5.54 $ per item · on the market 37 · buy 0.1000–0.1215

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 6.81 $ +3.19 (+46.9%)

0% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×2

StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Fubar

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1643

0.64 $

at 0.32

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Nova | Wood Fired (Factory New) — 0.92 $ +0.60 $ per item · on the market 125 · buy 0.0000–0.0212
StatTrak™ MP9 | Modest Threat (Factory New) — 1.07 $ +0.75 $ per item · on the market 75 · buy 0.0000–0.0212
StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Black Sand (Factory New) — 1.13 $ +0.81 $ per item · on the market 24 · buy 0.0000–0.0254

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Sandstorm

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1643

3.80 $

at 0.76

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear) — 1.03 $ +0.27 $ per item · on the market 104 · buy 0.0700–0.1250
StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New) — 1.30 $ +0.54 $ per item · on the market 110 · buy 0.0000–0.0429
StatTrak™ Negev | Terrain (Factory New) — 1.37 $ +0.61 $ per item · on the market 87 · buy 0.0000–0.0482

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Corporal

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0749

3.08 $

at 1.03

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New) — 1.30 $ +0.28 $ per item · on the market 110 · buy 0.0000–0.0142
StatTrak™ Negev | Terrain (Factory New) — 1.37 $ +0.35 $ per item · on the market 87 · buy 0.0000–0.0160
StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Sandstorm (Minimal Wear) — 6.57 $ +5.54 $ per item · on the market 37 · buy 0.1000–0.1214

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 7.51 $ +3.35 (+44.5%)

What you get 9 outcomes

Profitable outcome 52%
Losing outcome 32%
About break-even 16%

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Scavenger

Factory New

float up to 0.045499

2.88 $ 16.00%

price without deals

Steam

about break-even

StatTrak™ Galil AR | Signal

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

3.96 $ 16.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Pipe Down

Factory New

float up to 0.062999

7.77 $ 16.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ P250 | Nevermore

Factory New

float up to 0.027999

4.55 $ 16.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ USP-S | Flashback

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

3.82 $ 16.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Sergeant

Field-Tested

float up to 0.162999

5.93 $ 5.00%

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Heat

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

24.71 $ 5.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Pulse

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.134999

15.63 $ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ USP-S | Guardian

Factory New

float up to 0.026599

11.58 $ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Danger Zone Collection + The Phoenix Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Danger Zone Collection Variant 4 The Prisma Collection instead of The Danger Zone Collection Variant 5 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Danger Zone Collection Variant 6 The Gallery Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +1.24 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +1.92 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Danger Zone Collection and The Phoenix Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Danger Zone Collection + The Phoenix Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 9 outcomes

More

How to build