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The Danger Zone Collection + The Shadow Collection

StatTrak™ Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −101.39₴

Invest at least 423.68₴

Average return 322.28₴

ROI −23.9%

Chance of profit 22%

With float: invest at least 423.68 ₴, profit at most −101.39 ₴

float premium: at least 257 ₴

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +186.70 ₴ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 7 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×7

StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Fubar

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1615

101.53 ₴

at 14.50

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Nova | Wood Fired (Factory New) — 41.57 ₴ +27.06 ₴ per item · on the market 125 · buy 0.0000–0.0187
StatTrak™ MP9 | Modest Threat (Factory New) — 48.47 ₴ +33.97 ₴ per item · on the market 75 · buy 0.0000–0.0187
StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Black Sand (Factory New) — 51.20 ₴ +36.70 ₴ per item · on the market 24 · buy 0.0000–0.0225

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1615

17.46 ₴

at 17.46

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Scumbria (Field-Tested) — 28.75 ₴ +11.28 ₴ per item · on the market 20 · buy 0.1500–0.2018
StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Rangeen (Minimal Wear) — 35.90 ₴ +18.43 ₴ per item · on the market 68 · buy 0.0700–0.1009
StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Dualing Dragons (Field-Tested) — 38.24 ₴ +20.78 ₴ per item · on the market 72 · buy 0.1500–0.2018

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Scumbria

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1615

57.49 ₴

at 28.75

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Rangeen (Minimal Wear) — 35.90 ₴ +7.15 ₴ per item · on the market 68 · buy 0.0700–0.0807
StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Dualing Dragons (Field-Tested) — 38.24 ₴ +9.49 ₴ per item · on the market 72 · buy 0.1500–0.1615
StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear) — 40.28 ₴ +11.53 ₴ per item · on the market 29 · buy 0.0700–0.1292

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 176.48 ₴ +145.80 (+82.6%)

0% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Black Sand

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1716

8.84 ₴

at 8.84

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Danger Close (Field-Tested) — 10.81 ₴ +1.97 ₴ per item · on the market 438 · buy 0.1500–0.1687
StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested) — 14.50 ₴ +5.66 ₴ per item · on the market 311 · buy 0.1500–0.3040
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Oxide Blaze (Field-Tested) — 15.59 ₴ +6.75 ₴ per item · on the market 738 · buy 0.1500–0.1621

Steam

×8

StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Fubar

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1716

116.03 ₴

at 14.50

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Nova | Wood Fired (Factory New) — 41.57 ₴ +27.06 ₴ per item · on the market 125 · buy 0.0000–0.0276
StatTrak™ MP9 | Modest Threat (Factory New) — 48.47 ₴ +33.97 ₴ per item · on the market 75 · buy 0.0000–0.0276
StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Black Sand (Factory New) — 51.20 ₴ +36.70 ₴ per item · on the market 24 · buy 0.0000–0.0331

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1716

17.46 ₴

at 17.46

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Scumbria (Field-Tested) — 28.75 ₴ +11.28 ₴ per item · on the market 20 · buy 0.1500–0.2145
StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Rangeen (Minimal Wear) — 35.90 ₴ +18.43 ₴ per item · on the market 68 · buy 0.0700–0.1072
StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Dualing Dragons (Field-Tested) — 38.24 ₴ +20.78 ₴ per item · on the market 72 · buy 0.1500–0.2145

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 142.33 ₴ +85.53 (+60.1%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −42 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×3

StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Fubar

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1708

43.51 ₴

at 14.50

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Nova | Wood Fired (Factory New) — 41.57 ₴ +27.06 ₴ per item · on the market 125 · buy 0.0000–0.0269
StatTrak™ MP9 | Modest Threat (Factory New) — 48.47 ₴ +33.97 ₴ per item · on the market 75 · buy 0.0000–0.0269
StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Black Sand (Factory New) — 51.20 ₴ +36.70 ₴ per item · on the market 24 · buy 0.0000–0.0323

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0772

241.68 ₴

at 40.28

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New) — 61.19 ₴ +20.91 ₴ per item · on the market 64 · buy 0.0000–0.0482
StatTrak™ XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear) — 70.89 ₴ +30.61 ₴ per item · on the market 15 · buy 0.0700–0.0965
StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Dualing Dragons (Minimal Wear) — 80.71 ₴ +40.43 ₴ per item · on the market 53 · buy 0.0700–0.0965

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Rangeen

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0063

61.19 ₴

at 61.19

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Cobalt Core (Factory New) — 90.07 ₴ +28.87 ₴ per item · on the market 44 · buy 0.0000–0.0063
StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Factory New) — 90.97 ₴ +29.78 ₴ per item · on the market 53 · buy 0.0000–0.0101
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Survivor Z (Factory New) — 122.79 ₴ +61.60 ₴ per item · on the market 68 · buy 0.0000–0.0076

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 346.38 ₴ +164.75 (+47.6%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 8 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×8

StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Fubar

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1696

116.03 ₴

at 14.50

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Nova | Wood Fired (Factory New) — 41.57 ₴ +27.06 ₴ per item · on the market 125 · buy 0.0000–0.0258
StatTrak™ MP9 | Modest Threat (Factory New) — 48.47 ₴ +33.97 ₴ per item · on the market 75 · buy 0.0000–0.0258
StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Black Sand (Factory New) — 51.20 ₴ +36.70 ₴ per item · on the market 24 · buy 0.0000–0.0310

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1696

34.93 ₴

at 17.46

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Scumbria (Field-Tested) — 28.75 ₴ +11.28 ₴ per item · on the market 20 · buy 0.1500–0.2120
StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Rangeen (Minimal Wear) — 35.90 ₴ +18.43 ₴ per item · on the market 68 · buy 0.0700–0.1060
StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Dualing Dragons (Field-Tested) — 38.24 ₴ +20.78 ₴ per item · on the market 72 · buy 0.1500–0.2120

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 150.96 ₴ +124.12 (+82.2%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −16 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×4

StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Fubar

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1676

58.02 ₴

at 14.50

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Nova | Wood Fired (Factory New) — 41.57 ₴ +27.06 ₴ per item · on the market 125 · buy 0.0000–0.0241
StatTrak™ MP9 | Modest Threat (Factory New) — 48.47 ₴ +33.97 ₴ per item · on the market 75 · buy 0.0000–0.0241
StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Black Sand (Factory New) — 51.20 ₴ +36.70 ₴ per item · on the market 24 · buy 0.0000–0.0289

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0761

241.68 ₴

at 40.28

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New) — 61.19 ₴ +20.91 ₴ per item · on the market 64 · buy 0.0000–0.0475
StatTrak™ XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear) — 70.89 ₴ +30.61 ₴ per item · on the market 15 · buy 0.0700–0.0951
StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Dualing Dragons (Minimal Wear) — 80.71 ₴ +40.43 ₴ per item · on the market 53 · buy 0.0700–0.0951

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 299.70 ₴ +164.22 (+54.8%)

What you get 9 outcomes

Profitable outcome 44%
Losing outcome 42%
About break-even 14%

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Scavenger

Factory New

float up to 0.045499

130.12 ₴ 14.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ Galil AR | Signal

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

179.00 ₴ 14.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Pipe Down

Factory New

float up to 0.062999

351.23 ₴ 14.00%

Steam

about break-even

StatTrak™ P250 | Nevermore

Factory New

float up to 0.027999

205.71 ₴ 14.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ USP-S | Flashback

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

172.68 ₴ 14.00%

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ Galil AR | Stone Cold

Factory New

float up to 0.062999

1 449.88 ₴ 7.50%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ M249 | Nebula Crusader

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

687.21 ₴ 7.50%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ MP7 | Special Delivery

Factory New

float up to 0.043399

240.48 ₴ 7.50%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ P250 | Wingshot

Factory New

float up to 0.062999

625.16 ₴ 7.50%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Danger Zone Collection + The Shadow Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Danger Zone Collection Variant 4 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Danger Zone Collection Variant 5 The Gallery Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 6 The Prisma Collection instead of The Shadow Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +91.86 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +136.23 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Danger Zone Collection and The Shadow Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3294440 · The Chroma 2 Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 136.62₴ · invest 261.10₴
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ Negev | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161506 instead of 0.161510; StatTrak™ XM1014 | Scumbria (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161506 instead of 0.161510

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Danger Zone Collection + The Shadow Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 9 outcomes

More

How to build