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The Danger Zone Collection + The Snakebite Collection

Classified → Covert

Average profit +59.72$

Invest 97.30$

Average return 157.03$

ROI +61.4%

Chance of profit 40%

With float: invest at least 241.45 $, profit at most −84.43 $

float premium: at least 137 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +64.65 $ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

MP5-SD | Phosphor

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0741

7.31 $

at 7.31

if this one runs out, you can take

UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New) — 11.25 $ +3.94 $ per item · on the market 131 · buy 0.0000–0.0463
Desert Eagle | Mecha Industries (Factory New) — 30.17 $ +22.86 $ per item · on the market 187 · buy 0.0000–0.0555

Steam

×7

UMP-45 | Momentum

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0035

78.76 $

at 11.25

if this one runs out, you can take

MP5-SD | Phosphor (Factory New) — 14.55 $ +3.30 $ per item · on the market 41 · buy 0.0000–0.0057
Desert Eagle | Mecha Industries (Factory New) — 30.17 $ +18.92 $ per item · on the market 187 · buy 0.0000–0.0043

Steam

×2

XM1014 | XOXO

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0741

11.23 $

at 5.61

if this one runs out, you can take

MP9 | Food Chain (Minimal Wear) — 7.27 $ +1.66 $ per item · on the market 162 · buy 0.0700–0.0823
Galil AR | Chromatic Aberration (Minimal Wear) — 8.19 $ +2.57 $ per item · on the market 226 · buy 0.0700–0.0823

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 97.30 $ +59.72 (+61.4%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈1, цена занижена

×3

UMP-45 | Momentum

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0052

33.76 $

at 11.25

if this one runs out, you can take

MP5-SD | Phosphor (Factory New) — 14.55 $ +3.30 $ per item · on the market 41 · buy 0.0000–0.0083
Desert Eagle | Mecha Industries (Factory New) — 30.17 $ +18.92 $ per item · on the market 187 · buy 0.0000–0.0062

Steam

×3

XM1014 | XOXO

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0759

16.84 $

at 5.61

if this one runs out, you can take

MP9 | Food Chain (Minimal Wear) — 7.27 $ +1.66 $ per item · on the market 162 · buy 0.0700–0.0844
Galil AR | Chromatic Aberration (Minimal Wear) — 8.19 $ +2.57 $ per item · on the market 226 · buy 0.0700–0.0844

Steam

×4

XM1014 | XOXO

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0052

58.85 $

at 14.71

if this one runs out, you can take

MP9 | Food Chain (Factory New) — 17.16 $ +2.45 $ per item · on the market 59 · buy 0.0000–0.0057
Galil AR | Chromatic Aberration (Factory New) — 20.06 $ +5.34 $ per item · on the market 86 · buy 0.0000–0.0057

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 109.45 $ +3.26 (+3.0%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈1, цена занижена

×4

UMP-45 | Momentum

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0049

45.01 $

at 11.25

if this one runs out, you can take

MP5-SD | Phosphor (Factory New) — 14.55 $ +3.30 $ per item · on the market 41 · buy 0.0000–0.0078
Desert Eagle | Mecha Industries (Factory New) — 30.17 $ +18.92 $ per item · on the market 187 · buy 0.0000–0.0058

Steam

×3

XM1014 | XOXO

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0756

16.84 $

at 5.61

if this one runs out, you can take

MP9 | Food Chain (Minimal Wear) — 7.27 $ +1.66 $ per item · on the market 162 · buy 0.0700–0.0840
Galil AR | Chromatic Aberration (Minimal Wear) — 8.19 $ +2.57 $ per item · on the market 226 · buy 0.0700–0.0840

Steam

×3

XM1014 | XOXO

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0049

44.14 $

at 14.71

if this one runs out, you can take

MP9 | Food Chain (Factory New) — 17.16 $ +2.45 $ per item · on the market 59 · buy 0.0000–0.0054
Galil AR | Chromatic Aberration (Factory New) — 20.06 $ +5.34 $ per item · on the market 86 · buy 0.0000–0.0054

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 105.99 $ +15.58 (+14.7%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 5 шт., годных ≈1, цена занижена

×5

UMP-45 | Momentum

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0046

56.26 $

at 11.25

if this one runs out, you can take

MP5-SD | Phosphor (Factory New) — 14.55 $ +3.30 $ per item · on the market 41 · buy 0.0000–0.0074
Desert Eagle | Mecha Industries (Factory New) — 30.17 $ +18.92 $ per item · on the market 187 · buy 0.0000–0.0055

Steam

×3

XM1014 | XOXO

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0753

16.84 $

at 5.61

if this one runs out, you can take

MP9 | Food Chain (Minimal Wear) — 7.27 $ +1.66 $ per item · on the market 162 · buy 0.0700–0.0836
Galil AR | Chromatic Aberration (Minimal Wear) — 8.19 $ +2.57 $ per item · on the market 226 · buy 0.0700–0.0836

Steam

×2

XM1014 | XOXO

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0046

29.43 $

at 14.71

if this one runs out, you can take

MP9 | Food Chain (Factory New) — 17.16 $ +2.45 $ per item · on the market 59 · buy 0.0000–0.0051
Galil AR | Chromatic Aberration (Factory New) — 20.06 $ +5.34 $ per item · on the market 86 · buy 0.0000–0.0051

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 102.52 $ +27.91 (+27.2%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

UMP-45 | Momentum

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0752

5.61 $

at 5.61

if this one runs out, you can take

MP5-SD | Phosphor (Minimal Wear) — 7.31 $ +1.71 $ per item · on the market 125 · buy 0.0700–0.1204
Desert Eagle | Mecha Industries (Minimal Wear) — 9.51 $ +3.90 $ per item · on the market 306 · buy 0.0700–0.0903

Steam

×8

UMP-45 | Momentum

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0045

90.01 $

at 11.25

if this one runs out, you can take

MP5-SD | Phosphor (Factory New) — 14.55 $ +3.30 $ per item · on the market 41 · buy 0.0000–0.0073
Desert Eagle | Mecha Industries (Factory New) — 30.17 $ +18.92 $ per item · on the market 187 · buy 0.0000–0.0055

Steam

×1

XM1014 | XOXO

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0752

5.61 $

at 5.61

if this one runs out, you can take

MP9 | Food Chain (Minimal Wear) — 7.27 $ +1.66 $ per item · on the market 162 · buy 0.0700–0.0836
Galil AR | Chromatic Aberration (Minimal Wear) — 8.19 $ +2.57 $ per item · on the market 226 · buy 0.0700–0.0836

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 101.24 $ +64.65 (+63.9%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 40%
Losing outcome 50%
About break-even 10%

in profit

best

AK-47 | Asiimov

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

337.36 $ 40.00%

rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

worst

AWP | Neo-Noir

Factory New

float up to 0.015384

64.57 $ 40.00%

Steam

at a loss

M4A4 | In Living Color

Factory New

float up to 0.024307

87.33 $ 10.00%

Steam

about break-even

USP-S | The Traitor

Factory New

float up to 0.030769

110.73 $ 10.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Danger Zone Collection + The Snakebite Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Snakebite Collection Variant 3 The Graphic Design Collection instead of The Snakebite Collection Variant 4 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Snakebite Collection Variant 5 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Snakebite Collection Variant 6 The Overpass 2024 Collection instead of The Snakebite Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +29.83 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +49.66 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Danger Zone Collection and The Snakebite Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 5 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3297914 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Fever Collection · profit 63.61$ · invest 99.56$
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Minimal Wear) instead of XM1014 | XOXO (Minimal Wear); MP5-SD | Phosphor (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075173 instead of 0.074111; UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New): float at most 0.004526 instead of 0.003597
Craft 3298401 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Prisma 2 Collection · profit 63.26$ · invest 101.10$
sells slowly rare inputs

MAG-7 | Justice (Minimal Wear) instead of XM1014 | XOXO (Minimal Wear); MP5-SD | Phosphor (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075173 instead of 0.074111; UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New): float at most 0.004526 instead of 0.003597
Craft 3298565 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Revolver Case Collection · profit 63.26$ · invest 102.74$
sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

G3SG1 | The Executioner (Field-Tested) instead of XM1014 | XOXO (Minimal Wear); MP5-SD | Phosphor (Minimal Wear): 2 pcs instead of 1; MP5-SD | Phosphor (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074953 instead of 0.074111; UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New): 6 pcs instead of 7; UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New): float at most 0.004334 instead of 0.003597
Craft 3297825 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection · profit 58.83$ · invest 100.83$
sells slowly rare inputs

FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement (Minimal Wear) instead of XM1014 | XOXO (Minimal Wear); MP5-SD | Phosphor (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075173 instead of 0.074111; UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New): float at most 0.004526 instead of 0.003597
Craft 3292178 · The CS20 Collection + The Danger Zone Collection · profit 56.53$ · invest 101.78$
sells slowly rare inputs

AUG | Death by Puppy (Factory New) instead of XM1014 | XOXO (Minimal Wear); MP5-SD | Phosphor (Minimal Wear): 2 pcs instead of 1; MP5-SD | Phosphor (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077636 instead of 0.074111; UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New): 6 pcs instead of 7; UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New): float at most 0.006682 instead of 0.003597

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Danger Zone Collection + The Snakebite Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

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How to build