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The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Shadow Collection

Classified → Covert

Average profit +430.66₸

Invest 27 496.41₸

Average return 27 927.07₸

ROI +1.6%

Chance of profit 45%

With float: invest 28 338.64 ₸, profit −411.57 ₸

float premium: none: float doesn't matter

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Share of fitting lots unknown: not enough for a contract: 1 items needed, market lots unknown

×9

MP7 | Abyssal Apparition

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.9999

24 229.88 ₸

at 2 692.21

if this one runs out, you can take

Dual Berettas | Melondrama (Battle-Scarred) — 2 706.39 ₸ +14.18 ₸ per item · on the market 262 · buy 0.4500–0.9999
FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement (Battle-Scarred) — 2 711.53 ₸ +19.32 ₸ per item · on the market 249 · buy 0.4500–0.9999

Steam

×1

G3SG1 | Flux

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.8999

3 266.54 ₸

at 3 266.54

if this one runs out, you can take

SSG 08 | Big Iron (Battle-Scarred) — 4 249.78 ₸ +983.24 ₸ per item · on the market 28 · buy 0.4500–0.6399
AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Battle-Scarred) — 7 555.78 ₸ +4 289.24 ₸ per item · on the market 117 · buy 0.4500–0.8699

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 27 496.41 ₸ +430.66 (+1.6%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 45%
Losing outcome 10%
About break-even 45%

about break-even

AK-47 | Nightwish

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.999999

31 022.40 ₸ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

best

MP9 | Starlight Protector

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.799999

34 569.70 ₸ 45.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

M4A1-S | Golden Coil

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.999999

23 180.90 ₸ 5.00%

Steam

at a loss

USP-S | Kill Confirmed

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.999999

28 812.13 ₸ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Shadow Collection

Variant 2 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 3 The Revolution Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 4 The Genesis Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 5 The Recoil Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 6 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Shadow Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −2 725.71 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −497.06 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dreams & Nightmares Collection and The Shadow Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Shadow Collection

How to build i Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build