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The Falchion Collection + The Gallery Collection

StatTrak™ Classified → Covert

Average profit +17.34$

Invest 91.08$

Average return 108.43$

ROI +19.0%

Chance of profit 45%

With float: invest at least 234.74 $, profit at most −126.31 $

float premium: at least 133 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Cyrex

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1676

10.24 $

at 10.24

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Field-Tested) — 13.00 $ +2.76 $ per item · on the market 7 · buy 0.1500–0.1676
StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New) — 27.43 $ +17.19 $ per item · on the market 14 · buy 0.0000–0.0536

Steam

×9

StatTrak™ P250 | Epicenter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1676

80.84 $

at 8.98

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) — 11.30 $ +2.32 $ per item · on the market 19 · buy 0.1500–0.2095
StatTrak™ AK-47 | The Outsiders (Field-Tested) — 18.20 $ +9.22 $ per item · on the market 59 · buy 0.1500–0.1885

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 91.08 $ +17.34 (+19.0%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −7 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×3

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Cyrex

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1747

30.73 $

at 10.24

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Field-Tested) — 13.00 $ +2.76 $ per item · on the market 7 · buy 0.1500–0.1747
StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New) — 27.43 $ +17.19 $ per item · on the market 14 · buy 0.0000–0.0559

Steam

×7

StatTrak™ P250 | Epicenter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1747

62.88 $

at 8.98

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) — 11.30 $ +2.32 $ per item · on the market 19 · buy 0.1500–0.2184
StatTrak™ AK-47 | The Outsiders (Field-Tested) — 18.20 $ +9.22 $ per item · on the market 59 · buy 0.1500–0.1966

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 93.61 $ +4.86 (+5.2%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×2

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Cyrex

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1711

20.49 $

at 10.24

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Field-Tested) — 13.00 $ +2.76 $ per item · on the market 7 · buy 0.1500–0.1711
StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New) — 27.43 $ +17.19 $ per item · on the market 14 · buy 0.0000–0.0547

Steam

×8

StatTrak™ P250 | Epicenter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1711

71.86 $

at 8.98

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) — 11.30 $ +2.32 $ per item · on the market 19 · buy 0.1500–0.2138
StatTrak™ AK-47 | The Outsiders (Field-Tested) — 18.20 $ +9.22 $ per item · on the market 59 · buy 0.1500–0.1925

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 92.35 $ +11.10 (+12.0%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 45%
Losing outcome 55%

at a loss

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Gold Toof

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

80.83 $ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Vaporwave

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.122653

180.00 $ 45.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge

Field-Tested

float up to 0.205339

88.85 $ 5.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast

Field-Tested

float up to 0.205339

57.50 $ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Gallery Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Gallery Collection Variant 4 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Gallery Collection Variant 5 only The Gallery Collection Variant 6 The Spectrum 2 Collection instead of The Falchion Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −6.65 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +9.22 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Gallery Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 3 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3304507 · The Gallery Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection · profit 19.20$ · invest 110.54$
profit on prices without salesat least −8 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ P250 | Mehndi (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ SG 553 | Cyrex (Field-Tested)
Craft 3293971 · The Chroma 2 Collection + The Gallery Collection · profit 18.42$ · invest 95.55$
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Djinn (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ SG 553 | Cyrex (Field-Tested)
Craft 3304001 · The Gallery Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 18.39$ · invest 96.61$
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ P90 | Trigon (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ SG 553 | Cyrex (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ P250 | Epicenter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.170515 instead of 0.167624

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Gallery Collection

How to build i Ways to build 3 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build