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Crafts · The Falchion Collection

prices updated 23.10 13:23 MSK

₴≈

The Falchion Collection + The Genesis Collection

StatTrak™ Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +71.21₴

Invest 148.50₴

Average return 219.70₴

ROI +48.0%

Chance of profit 22%

With float: invest at least 359.59 ₴, profit at most −139.88 ₴

float premium: at least 195 ₴

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈1, цена занижена

×1

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

33.75 ₴

at 33.75

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear) — 37.82 ₴ +4.07 ₴ per item · on the market 34 · buy 0.0700–0.1073
StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build (Minimal Wear) — 44.64 ₴ +10.90 ₴ per item · on the market 108 · buy 0.0700–0.1073
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Bunsen Burner (Minimal Wear) — 147.96 ₴ +114.21 ₴ per item · on the market 102 · buy 0.0700–0.0858

Steam

×8

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Caged

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1646

90.32 ₴

at 11.29

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P2000 | Red Wing (Field-Tested) — 11.64 ₴ +0.35 ₴ per item · on the market 146 · buy 0.1500–0.1646
StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Focus (Field-Tested) — 11.95 ₴ +0.66 ₴ per item · on the market 136 · buy 0.1500–0.1646
StatTrak™ MP9 | Broken Record (Field-Tested) — 11.95 ₴ +0.66 ₴ per item · on the market 105 · buy 0.1500–0.1646

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Caged

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

24.44 ₴

at 24.44

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P250 | Bullfrog (Minimal Wear) — 25.22 ₴ +0.78 ₴ per item · on the market 110 · buy 0.0700–0.0751
StatTrak™ MP9 | Broken Record (Minimal Wear) — 25.47 ₴ +1.03 ₴ per item · on the market 118 · buy 0.0700–0.0751
StatTrak™ P2000 | Red Wing (Minimal Wear) — 26.71 ₴ +2.28 ₴ per item · on the market 216 · buy 0.0700–0.0751

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 148.50 ₴ +71.21 (+48.0%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈1, цена занижена

×1

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

33.75 ₴

at 33.75

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear) — 37.82 ₴ +4.07 ₴ per item · on the market 34 · buy 0.0700–0.1073
StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build (Minimal Wear) — 44.64 ₴ +10.90 ₴ per item · on the market 108 · buy 0.0700–0.1073
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Bunsen Burner (Minimal Wear) — 147.96 ₴ +114.21 ₴ per item · on the market 102 · buy 0.0700–0.0858

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

37.82 ₴

at 37.82

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build (Minimal Wear) — 44.64 ₴ +6.82 ₴ per item · on the market 108 · buy 0.0700–0.0751
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New) — 61.84 ₴ +24.03 ₴ per item · on the market 58 · buy 0.0000–0.0525
StatTrak™ USP-S | Torque (Factory New) — 182.72 ₴ +144.91 ₴ per item · on the market 212 · buy 0.0000–0.0345

Steam

×8

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Caged

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1646

90.32 ₴

at 11.29

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P2000 | Red Wing (Field-Tested) — 11.64 ₴ +0.35 ₴ per item · on the market 146 · buy 0.1500–0.1646
StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Focus (Field-Tested) — 11.95 ₴ +0.66 ₴ per item · on the market 136 · buy 0.1500–0.1646
StatTrak™ MP9 | Broken Record (Field-Tested) — 11.95 ₴ +0.66 ₴ per item · on the market 105 · buy 0.1500–0.1646

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 161.88 ₴ +57.08 (+35.3%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×2

StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1646

50.05 ₴

at 25.02

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger (Field-Tested) — 26.98 ₴ +1.96 ₴ per item · on the market 29 · buy 0.1500–0.1646
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Minimal Wear) — 33.75 ₴ +8.72 ₴ per item · on the market 119 · buy 0.0700–0.1152
StatTrak™ Galil AR | Rocket Pop (Field-Tested) — 106.76 ₴ +81.74 ₴ per item · on the market 81 · buy 0.1500–0.1646

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

33.75 ₴

at 33.75

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear) — 37.82 ₴ +4.07 ₴ per item · on the market 34 · buy 0.0700–0.1073
StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build (Minimal Wear) — 44.64 ₴ +10.90 ₴ per item · on the market 108 · buy 0.0700–0.1073
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Bunsen Burner (Minimal Wear) — 147.96 ₴ +114.21 ₴ per item · on the market 102 · buy 0.0700–0.0858

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Caged

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1646

67.74 ₴

at 11.29

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P2000 | Red Wing (Field-Tested) — 11.64 ₴ +0.35 ₴ per item · on the market 146 · buy 0.1500–0.1646
StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Focus (Field-Tested) — 11.95 ₴ +0.66 ₴ per item · on the market 136 · buy 0.1500–0.1646
StatTrak™ MP9 | Broken Record (Field-Tested) — 11.95 ₴ +0.66 ₴ per item · on the market 105 · buy 0.1500–0.1646

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Caged

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

24.44 ₴

at 24.44

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P250 | Bullfrog (Minimal Wear) — 25.22 ₴ +0.78 ₴ per item · on the market 110 · buy 0.0700–0.0751
StatTrak™ MP9 | Broken Record (Minimal Wear) — 25.47 ₴ +1.03 ₴ per item · on the market 118 · buy 0.0700–0.0751
StatTrak™ P2000 | Red Wing (Minimal Wear) — 26.71 ₴ +2.28 ₴ per item · on the market 216 · buy 0.0700–0.0751

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 175.96 ₴ +42.26 (+24.0%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×3

StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1646

75.07 ₴

at 25.02

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger (Field-Tested) — 26.98 ₴ +1.96 ₴ per item · on the market 29 · buy 0.1500–0.1646
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Minimal Wear) — 33.75 ₴ +8.72 ₴ per item · on the market 119 · buy 0.0700–0.1152
StatTrak™ Galil AR | Rocket Pop (Field-Tested) — 106.76 ₴ +81.74 ₴ per item · on the market 81 · buy 0.1500–0.1646

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

33.75 ₴

at 33.75

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear) — 37.82 ₴ +4.07 ₴ per item · on the market 34 · buy 0.0700–0.1073
StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build (Minimal Wear) — 44.64 ₴ +10.90 ₴ per item · on the market 108 · buy 0.0700–0.1073
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Bunsen Burner (Minimal Wear) — 147.96 ₴ +114.21 ₴ per item · on the market 102 · buy 0.0700–0.0858

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Caged

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1646

56.45 ₴

at 11.29

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P2000 | Red Wing (Field-Tested) — 11.64 ₴ +0.35 ₴ per item · on the market 146 · buy 0.1500–0.1646
StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Focus (Field-Tested) — 11.95 ₴ +0.66 ₴ per item · on the market 136 · buy 0.1500–0.1646
StatTrak™ MP9 | Broken Record (Field-Tested) — 11.95 ₴ +0.66 ₴ per item · on the market 105 · buy 0.1500–0.1646

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Caged

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

24.44 ₴

at 24.44

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P250 | Bullfrog (Minimal Wear) — 25.22 ₴ +0.78 ₴ per item · on the market 110 · buy 0.0700–0.0751
StatTrak™ MP9 | Broken Record (Minimal Wear) — 25.47 ₴ +1.03 ₴ per item · on the market 118 · buy 0.0700–0.0751
StatTrak™ P2000 | Red Wing (Minimal Wear) — 26.71 ₴ +2.28 ₴ per item · on the market 216 · buy 0.0700–0.0751

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 189.70 ₴ +27.79 (+14.7%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×4

StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1646

100.09 ₴

at 25.02

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger (Field-Tested) — 26.98 ₴ +1.96 ₴ per item · on the market 29 · buy 0.1500–0.1646
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Minimal Wear) — 33.75 ₴ +8.72 ₴ per item · on the market 119 · buy 0.0700–0.1152
StatTrak™ Galil AR | Rocket Pop (Field-Tested) — 106.76 ₴ +81.74 ₴ per item · on the market 81 · buy 0.1500–0.1646

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

33.75 ₴

at 33.75

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear) — 37.82 ₴ +4.07 ₴ per item · on the market 34 · buy 0.0700–0.1073
StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build (Minimal Wear) — 44.64 ₴ +10.90 ₴ per item · on the market 108 · buy 0.0700–0.1073
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Bunsen Burner (Minimal Wear) — 147.96 ₴ +114.21 ₴ per item · on the market 102 · buy 0.0700–0.0858

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Caged

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1646

45.16 ₴

at 11.29

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P2000 | Red Wing (Field-Tested) — 11.64 ₴ +0.35 ₴ per item · on the market 146 · buy 0.1500–0.1646
StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Focus (Field-Tested) — 11.95 ₴ +0.66 ₴ per item · on the market 136 · buy 0.1500–0.1646
StatTrak™ MP9 | Broken Record (Field-Tested) — 11.95 ₴ +0.66 ₴ per item · on the market 105 · buy 0.1500–0.1646

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Caged

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

24.44 ₴

at 24.44

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P250 | Bullfrog (Minimal Wear) — 25.22 ₴ +0.78 ₴ per item · on the market 110 · buy 0.0700–0.0751
StatTrak™ MP9 | Broken Record (Minimal Wear) — 25.47 ₴ +1.03 ₴ per item · on the market 118 · buy 0.0700–0.0751
StatTrak™ P2000 | Red Wing (Minimal Wear) — 26.71 ₴ +2.28 ₴ per item · on the market 216 · buy 0.0700–0.0751

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 203.43 ₴ +13.32 (+6.5%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 22%
Losing outcome 76%
About break-even 2%

at a loss

StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Angel Eyes

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

151.47 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Liquidation

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

687.37 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Cat Fight

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

158.65 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ Nova | Ocular

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

135.61 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Continuum

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

134.44 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Neural Net

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.089999

150.53 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

about break-even

StatTrak™ P2000 | Handgun

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

164.99 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Evil Daimyo

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.077999

607.54 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.074999

197.86 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

float up to 0.216499

104.16 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Genesis Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Genesis Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 4 The Prisma Collection instead of The Genesis Collection Variant 5 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Genesis Collection Variant 6 The Phoenix Collection instead of The Falchion Collection

More

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +37.07 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +61.40 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Genesis Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3305938 · The Genesis Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 73.60₴ · invest 145.31₴
rare inputs

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Survivalist (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Minimal Wear)

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

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