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The Falchion Collection + The Snakebite Collection

StatTrak™ Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −302.30₴

Invest at least 885.01₴

Average return 582.70₴

ROI −34.2%

Chance of profit 20%

With float: invest at least 885.01 ₴, profit at most −302.30 ₴

float premium: at least 514 ₴

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0765

37.82 ₴

at 37.82

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build (Minimal Wear) — 44.64 ₴ +6.82 ₴ per item · on the market 108 · buy 0.0700–0.0765
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New) — 61.84 ₴ +24.03 ₴ per item · on the market 58 · buy 0.0000–0.0535
StatTrak™ USP-S | Torque (Factory New) — 182.72 ₴ +144.91 ₴ per item · on the market 212 · buy 0.0000–0.0351

Steam

×8

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Junk Yard

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0765

269.39 ₴

at 33.67

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Heavy Metal (Minimal Wear) — 36.72 ₴ +3.05 ₴ per item · on the market 63 · buy 0.0700–0.0765
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New) — 48.88 ₴ +15.21 ₴ per item · on the market 52 · buy 0.0000–0.0382
StatTrak™ Nova | Windblown (Factory New) — 57.70 ₴ +24.03 ₴ per item · on the market 92 · buy 0.0000–0.0382

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Oscillator

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0056

48.88 ₴

at 48.88

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Nova | Windblown (Factory New) — 57.70 ₴ +8.82 ₴ per item · on the market 92 · buy 0.0000–0.0056
StatTrak™ M249 | O.S.I.P.R. (Factory New) — 64.20 ₴ +15.32 ₴ per item · on the market 82 · buy 0.0000–0.0079
StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Circaetus (Factory New) — 108.64 ₴ +59.76 ₴ per item · on the market 33 · buy 0.0000–0.0102

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 356.09 ₴ +226.61 (+63.6%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×2

StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0765

75.64 ₴

at 37.82

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build (Minimal Wear) — 44.64 ₴ +6.82 ₴ per item · on the market 108 · buy 0.0700–0.0765
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New) — 61.84 ₴ +24.03 ₴ per item · on the market 58 · buy 0.0000–0.0535
StatTrak™ USP-S | Torque (Factory New) — 182.72 ₴ +144.91 ₴ per item · on the market 212 · buy 0.0000–0.0351

Steam

×7

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Junk Yard

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0765

235.72 ₴

at 33.67

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Heavy Metal (Minimal Wear) — 36.72 ₴ +3.05 ₴ per item · on the market 63 · buy 0.0700–0.0765
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New) — 48.88 ₴ +15.21 ₴ per item · on the market 52 · buy 0.0000–0.0382
StatTrak™ Nova | Windblown (Factory New) — 57.70 ₴ +24.03 ₴ per item · on the market 92 · buy 0.0000–0.0382

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Oscillator

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0056

48.88 ₴

at 48.88

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Nova | Windblown (Factory New) — 57.70 ₴ +8.82 ₴ per item · on the market 92 · buy 0.0000–0.0056
StatTrak™ M249 | O.S.I.P.R. (Factory New) — 64.20 ₴ +15.32 ₴ per item · on the market 82 · buy 0.0000–0.0079
StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Circaetus (Factory New) — 108.64 ₴ +59.76 ₴ per item · on the market 33 · buy 0.0000–0.0102

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 360.24 ₴ +207.27 (+57.5%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×3

StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0765

113.46 ₴

at 37.82

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build (Minimal Wear) — 44.64 ₴ +6.82 ₴ per item · on the market 108 · buy 0.0700–0.0765
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New) — 61.84 ₴ +24.03 ₴ per item · on the market 58 · buy 0.0000–0.0535
StatTrak™ USP-S | Torque (Factory New) — 182.72 ₴ +144.91 ₴ per item · on the market 212 · buy 0.0000–0.0351

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Junk Yard

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0765

202.04 ₴

at 33.67

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Heavy Metal (Minimal Wear) — 36.72 ₴ +3.05 ₴ per item · on the market 63 · buy 0.0700–0.0765
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New) — 48.88 ₴ +15.21 ₴ per item · on the market 52 · buy 0.0000–0.0382
StatTrak™ Nova | Windblown (Factory New) — 57.70 ₴ +24.03 ₴ per item · on the market 92 · buy 0.0000–0.0382

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Oscillator

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0056

48.88 ₴

at 48.88

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Nova | Windblown (Factory New) — 57.70 ₴ +8.82 ₴ per item · on the market 92 · buy 0.0000–0.0056
StatTrak™ M249 | O.S.I.P.R. (Factory New) — 64.20 ₴ +15.32 ₴ per item · on the market 82 · buy 0.0000–0.0079
StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Circaetus (Factory New) — 108.64 ₴ +59.76 ₴ per item · on the market 33 · buy 0.0000–0.0102

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 364.39 ₴ +187.92 (+51.6%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −61 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 6 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×6

StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0765

226.92 ₴

at 37.82

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build (Minimal Wear) — 44.64 ₴ +6.82 ₴ per item · on the market 108 · buy 0.0700–0.0765
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New) — 61.84 ₴ +24.03 ₴ per item · on the market 58 · buy 0.0000–0.0535
StatTrak™ USP-S | Torque (Factory New) — 182.72 ₴ +144.91 ₴ per item · on the market 212 · buy 0.0000–0.0351

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Junk Yard

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0765

101.02 ₴

at 33.67

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Heavy Metal (Minimal Wear) — 36.72 ₴ +3.05 ₴ per item · on the market 63 · buy 0.0700–0.0765
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New) — 48.88 ₴ +15.21 ₴ per item · on the market 52 · buy 0.0000–0.0382
StatTrak™ Nova | Windblown (Factory New) — 57.70 ₴ +24.03 ₴ per item · on the market 92 · buy 0.0000–0.0382

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Oscillator

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0056

48.88 ₴

at 48.88

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Nova | Windblown (Factory New) — 57.70 ₴ +8.82 ₴ per item · on the market 92 · buy 0.0000–0.0056
StatTrak™ M249 | O.S.I.P.R. (Factory New) — 64.20 ₴ +15.32 ₴ per item · on the market 82 · buy 0.0000–0.0079
StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Circaetus (Factory New) — 108.64 ₴ +59.76 ₴ per item · on the market 33 · buy 0.0000–0.0102

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 376.82 ₴ +129.89 (+34.5%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −214 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 9 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×9

StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0765

340.38 ₴

at 37.82

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build (Minimal Wear) — 44.64 ₴ +6.82 ₴ per item · on the market 108 · buy 0.0700–0.0765
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New) — 61.84 ₴ +24.03 ₴ per item · on the market 58 · buy 0.0000–0.0535
StatTrak™ USP-S | Torque (Factory New) — 182.72 ₴ +144.91 ₴ per item · on the market 212 · buy 0.0000–0.0351

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Oscillator

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0056

48.88 ₴

at 48.88

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Nova | Windblown (Factory New) — 57.70 ₴ +8.82 ₴ per item · on the market 92 · buy 0.0000–0.0056
StatTrak™ M249 | O.S.I.P.R. (Factory New) — 64.20 ₴ +15.32 ₴ per item · on the market 82 · buy 0.0000–0.0079
StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Circaetus (Factory New) — 108.64 ₴ +59.76 ₴ per item · on the market 33 · buy 0.0000–0.0102

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 389.26 ₴ +71.86 (+18.5%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 40%
Losing outcome 60%

in profit

best

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Slate

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

2 339.37 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Trigger Discipline

Factory New

float up to 0.067899

533.20 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Button Masher

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

179.33 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ Negev | dev_texture

Factory New

float up to 0.045499

174.48 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ P250 | Cyber Shell

Factory New

float up to 0.059499

211.55 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Neural Net

Factory New

float up to 0.041999

247.26 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ P2000 | Handgun

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

773.70 ₴ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Evil Daimyo

Factory New

float up to 0.036399

1 051.09 ₴ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

387.84 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

float up to 0.175699

104.16 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Snakebite Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Snakebite Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 4 The Prisma Collection instead of The Snakebite Collection Variant 5 The Wildfire Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 6 only The Snakebite Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +141.72 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +209.71 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Snakebite Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3313980 · The Shadow Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 244.83₴ · invest 358.56₴
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Junk Yard (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074772 instead of 0.076511; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New): float at most 0.004176 instead of 0.005697

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Snakebite Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 10 outcomes

More

How to build