Skip to content

Crafts · The Falchion Collection

prices updated 23.10 13:23 MSK

$≈

The Falchion Collection + The Vanguard Collection

StatTrak™ Classified → Covert

Average profit +130.54$

Invest 270.05$

Average return 400.58$

ROI +48.3%

Chance of profit 50%

With float: invest at least 666.00 $, profit at most −265.41 $

float premium: at least 369 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +166.79 $ по средним

Sell on CSFloat: without them the profit is −71.29 $

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

0% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 7 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×7

StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0038

192.04 $

at 27.43

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Factory New) — 49.96 $ +22.53 $ per item · on the market 10 · buy 0.0000–0.0120
StatTrak™ SG 553 | Cyrex (Factory New) — 76.00 $ +48.57 $ per item · on the market 4 · buy 0.0000–0.0120

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

78.01 $

at 26.00

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P250 | Cartel (Factory New) — 76.15 $ +50.15 $ per item · on the market 8 · buy 0.0000–0.0558
StatTrak™ XM1014 | Tranquility (Factory New) — 100.01 $ +74.00 $ per item · on the market 13 · buy 0.0000–0.0372

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 270.05 $ +130.54 (+48.3%)

0% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0077

27.43 $

at 27.43

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Factory New) — 49.96 $ +22.53 $ per item · on the market 10 · buy 0.0000–0.0243
StatTrak™ SG 553 | Cyrex (Factory New) — 76.00 $ +48.57 $ per item · on the market 4 · buy 0.0000–0.0243

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0788

78.01 $

at 26.00

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P250 | Cartel (Factory New) — 76.15 $ +50.15 $ per item · on the market 8 · buy 0.0000–0.0591
StatTrak™ XM1014 | Tranquility (Factory New) — 100.01 $ +74.00 $ per item · on the market 13 · buy 0.0000–0.0394

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0077

429.94 $

at 71.66

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P250 | Cartel (Factory New) — 76.15 $ +4.50 $ per item · on the market 8 · buy 0.0000–0.0058
StatTrak™ XM1014 | Tranquility (Factory New) — 100.01 $ +28.35 $ per item · on the market 13 · buy 0.0000–0.0038

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 535.38 $ +166.79 (+31.1%)

0% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×2

StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0066

54.87 $

at 27.43

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Factory New) — 49.96 $ +22.53 $ per item · on the market 10 · buy 0.0000–0.0207
StatTrak™ SG 553 | Cyrex (Factory New) — 76.00 $ +48.57 $ per item · on the market 4 · buy 0.0000–0.0207

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0776

78.01 $

at 26.00

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P250 | Cartel (Factory New) — 76.15 $ +50.15 $ per item · on the market 8 · buy 0.0000–0.0582
StatTrak™ XM1014 | Tranquility (Factory New) — 100.01 $ +74.00 $ per item · on the market 13 · buy 0.0000–0.0388

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0066

358.28 $

at 71.66

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P250 | Cartel (Factory New) — 76.15 $ +4.50 $ per item · on the market 8 · buy 0.0000–0.0049
StatTrak™ XM1014 | Tranquility (Factory New) — 100.01 $ +28.35 $ per item · on the market 13 · buy 0.0000–0.0033

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 491.16 $ +160.75 (+32.7%)

0% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×3

StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0058

82.30 $

at 27.43

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Factory New) — 49.96 $ +22.53 $ per item · on the market 10 · buy 0.0000–0.0181
StatTrak™ SG 553 | Cyrex (Factory New) — 76.00 $ +48.57 $ per item · on the market 4 · buy 0.0000–0.0181

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0766

78.01 $

at 26.00

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P250 | Cartel (Factory New) — 76.15 $ +50.15 $ per item · on the market 8 · buy 0.0000–0.0574
StatTrak™ XM1014 | Tranquility (Factory New) — 100.01 $ +74.00 $ per item · on the market 13 · buy 0.0000–0.0383

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0058

286.63 $

at 71.66

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P250 | Cartel (Factory New) — 76.15 $ +4.50 $ per item · on the market 8 · buy 0.0000–0.0043
StatTrak™ XM1014 | Tranquility (Factory New) — 100.01 $ +28.35 $ per item · on the market 13 · buy 0.0000–0.0029

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 446.93 $ +154.71 (+34.6%)

0% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×4

StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0051

109.74 $

at 27.43

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Factory New) — 49.96 $ +22.53 $ per item · on the market 10 · buy 0.0000–0.0161
StatTrak™ SG 553 | Cyrex (Factory New) — 76.00 $ +48.57 $ per item · on the market 4 · buy 0.0000–0.0161

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0758

78.01 $

at 26.00

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P250 | Cartel (Factory New) — 76.15 $ +50.15 $ per item · on the market 8 · buy 0.0000–0.0569
StatTrak™ XM1014 | Tranquility (Factory New) — 100.01 $ +74.00 $ per item · on the market 13 · buy 0.0000–0.0379

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0051

214.97 $

at 71.66

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P250 | Cartel (Factory New) — 76.15 $ +4.50 $ per item · on the market 8 · buy 0.0000–0.0038
StatTrak™ XM1014 | Tranquility (Factory New) — 100.01 $ +28.35 $ per item · on the market 13 · buy 0.0000–0.0025

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 402.71 $ +148.66 (+36.9%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 15%
Losing outcome 50%
About break-even 35%

about break-even

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge

Factory New

float up to 0.030769

312.44 $ 35.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast

Factory New

float up to 0.030769

262.07 $ 35.00%

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Wasteland Rebel

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 372.99 $ 15.00%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ P2000 | Fire Elemental

Factory New

float up to 0.018461

183.24 $ 15.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection Variant 4 only The Vanguard Collection Variant 5 The Wildfire Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 6 The eSports 2013 Winter Collection instead of The Falchion Collection

More

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +94.01 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +120.58 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Vanguard Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 7 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3309506 · The Kilowatt Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 156.12$ · invest 216.63$
profit on prices without salesat least −15 $ marketplace price rare inputs

StatTrak™ Zeus x27 | Olympus (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New); StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.078045 instead of 0.074412
Craft 3314325 · The Shattered Web Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 141.88$ · invest 544.65$
profit on prices without salesat least −74 $ marketplace price rare inputs

StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Bloodshot (Field-Tested), StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New); StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): 2 pcs instead of 3; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074078 instead of 0.074412
Craft 3292965 · The CS20 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 140.27$ · invest 193.76$
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ AUG | Death by Puppy (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New); StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075334 instead of 0.074412
Craft 3295764 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 139.93$ · invest 247.06$
profit on prices without salesat least −45 $ marketplace price rare inputs

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Primal Saber (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New); StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.078917 instead of 0.074412
Craft 3313039 · The Recoil Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 135.34$ · invest 185.63$
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ P250 | Visions (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New); StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.078314 instead of 0.074412
Craft 3297450 · The Clutch Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 128.51$ · invest 164.45$
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ AUG | Stymphalian (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New); StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077678 instead of 0.074412
Craft 3302796 · The Fever Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 121.92$ · invest 258.18$
profit on prices without salesat least −56 $ marketplace price rare inputs

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New); StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.080705 instead of 0.074412

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

Home Crafts Knives and gloves Chains Calculator Pretty floats Interesting Market Price table Cases Favorites From inventory Proven in practice How crafts work