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Crafts · The Fever Collection

prices updated 23.10 13:23 MSK

₴≈

The Fever Collection + The Snakebite Collection

StatTrak™ Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −71.11₴

Invest at least 317.24₴

Average return 246.13₴

ROI −22.4%

Chance of profit 4%

With float: invest at least 317.24 ₴, profit at most −71.11 ₴

float premium: at least 174 ₴

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +231.29 ₴ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×3

StatTrak™ P2000 | Sure Grip

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0742

27.77 ₴

at 9.26

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Mockingbird (Minimal Wear) — 9.89 ₴ +0.63 ₴ per item · on the market 371 · buy 0.0700–0.0824
StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Resupply (Minimal Wear) — 9.92 ₴ +0.67 ₴ per item · on the market 169 · buy 0.0700–0.0824
StatTrak™ MP9 | Nexus (Minimal Wear) — 21.67 ₴ +12.41 ₴ per item · on the market 141 · buy 0.0700–0.0824

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Mockingbird

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0742

59.32 ₴

at 9.89

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Resupply (Minimal Wear) — 9.92 ₴ +0.03 ₴ per item · on the market 169 · buy 0.0700–0.0742
StatTrak™ MP9 | Nexus (Minimal Wear) — 21.67 ₴ +11.78 ₴ per item · on the market 141 · buy 0.0700–0.0742
StatTrak™ M4A4 | Choppa (Minimal Wear) — 30.30 ₴ +20.41 ₴ per item · on the market 585 · buy 0.0700–0.0742

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Oscillator

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0036

48.88 ₴

at 48.88

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Nova | Windblown (Factory New) — 57.70 ₴ +8.82 ₴ per item · on the market 92 · buy 0.0000–0.0036
StatTrak™ M249 | O.S.I.P.R. (Factory New) — 64.20 ₴ +15.32 ₴ per item · on the market 82 · buy 0.0000–0.0051
StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Circaetus (Factory New) — 108.64 ₴ +59.76 ₴ per item · on the market 33 · buy 0.0000–0.0066

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 135.97 ₴ +110.16 (+81.0%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

StatTrak™ P2000 | Sure Grip

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0757

9.26 ₴

at 9.26

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Mockingbird (Minimal Wear) — 9.89 ₴ +0.63 ₴ per item · on the market 371 · buy 0.0700–0.0841
StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Resupply (Minimal Wear) — 9.92 ₴ +0.67 ₴ per item · on the market 169 · buy 0.0700–0.0841
StatTrak™ MP9 | Nexus (Minimal Wear) — 21.67 ₴ +12.41 ₴ per item · on the market 141 · buy 0.0700–0.0841

Steam

×8

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Junk Yard

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0757

269.39 ₴

at 33.67

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Heavy Metal (Minimal Wear) — 36.72 ₴ +3.05 ₴ per item · on the market 63 · buy 0.0700–0.0757
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New) — 48.88 ₴ +15.21 ₴ per item · on the market 52 · buy 0.0000–0.0378
StatTrak™ Nova | Windblown (Factory New) — 57.70 ₴ +24.03 ₴ per item · on the market 92 · buy 0.0000–0.0378

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Oscillator

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0050

48.88 ₴

at 48.88

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Nova | Windblown (Factory New) — 57.70 ₴ +8.82 ₴ per item · on the market 92 · buy 0.0000–0.0050
StatTrak™ M249 | O.S.I.P.R. (Factory New) — 64.20 ₴ +15.32 ₴ per item · on the market 82 · buy 0.0000–0.0070
StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Circaetus (Factory New) — 108.64 ₴ +59.76 ₴ per item · on the market 33 · buy 0.0000–0.0090

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 327.53 ₴ +231.29 (+70.6%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×2

StatTrak™ P2000 | Sure Grip

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0749

18.51 ₴

at 9.26

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Mockingbird (Minimal Wear) — 9.89 ₴ +0.63 ₴ per item · on the market 371 · buy 0.0700–0.0832
StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Resupply (Minimal Wear) — 9.92 ₴ +0.67 ₴ per item · on the market 169 · buy 0.0700–0.0832
StatTrak™ MP9 | Nexus (Minimal Wear) — 21.67 ₴ +12.41 ₴ per item · on the market 141 · buy 0.0700–0.0832

Steam

×7

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Junk Yard

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0749

235.72 ₴

at 33.67

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Heavy Metal (Minimal Wear) — 36.72 ₴ +3.05 ₴ per item · on the market 63 · buy 0.0700–0.0749
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New) — 48.88 ₴ +15.21 ₴ per item · on the market 52 · buy 0.0000–0.0374
StatTrak™ Nova | Windblown (Factory New) — 57.70 ₴ +24.03 ₴ per item · on the market 92 · buy 0.0000–0.0374

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Oscillator

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0043

48.88 ₴

at 48.88

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Nova | Windblown (Factory New) — 57.70 ₴ +8.82 ₴ per item · on the market 92 · buy 0.0000–0.0043
StatTrak™ M249 | O.S.I.P.R. (Factory New) — 64.20 ₴ +15.32 ₴ per item · on the market 82 · buy 0.0000–0.0060
StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Circaetus (Factory New) — 108.64 ₴ +59.76 ₴ per item · on the market 33 · buy 0.0000–0.0078

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 303.11 ₴ +216.62 (+71.5%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×3

StatTrak™ P2000 | Sure Grip

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0742

27.77 ₴

at 9.26

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Mockingbird (Minimal Wear) — 9.89 ₴ +0.63 ₴ per item · on the market 371 · buy 0.0700–0.0824
StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Resupply (Minimal Wear) — 9.92 ₴ +0.67 ₴ per item · on the market 169 · buy 0.0700–0.0824
StatTrak™ MP9 | Nexus (Minimal Wear) — 21.67 ₴ +12.41 ₴ per item · on the market 141 · buy 0.0700–0.0824

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Junk Yard

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0742

202.04 ₴

at 33.67

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Heavy Metal (Minimal Wear) — 36.72 ₴ +3.05 ₴ per item · on the market 63 · buy 0.0700–0.0742
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New) — 48.88 ₴ +15.21 ₴ per item · on the market 52 · buy 0.0000–0.0371
StatTrak™ Nova | Windblown (Factory New) — 57.70 ₴ +24.03 ₴ per item · on the market 92 · buy 0.0000–0.0371

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Oscillator

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0036

48.88 ₴

at 48.88

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Nova | Windblown (Factory New) — 57.70 ₴ +8.82 ₴ per item · on the market 92 · buy 0.0000–0.0036
StatTrak™ M249 | O.S.I.P.R. (Factory New) — 64.20 ₴ +15.32 ₴ per item · on the market 82 · buy 0.0000–0.0051
StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Circaetus (Factory New) — 108.64 ₴ +59.76 ₴ per item · on the market 33 · buy 0.0000–0.0066

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 278.69 ₴ +201.95 (+72.5%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×3

StatTrak™ P2000 | Sure Grip

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0742

27.77 ₴

at 9.26

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Mockingbird (Minimal Wear) — 9.89 ₴ +0.63 ₴ per item · on the market 371 · buy 0.0700–0.0824
StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Resupply (Minimal Wear) — 9.92 ₴ +0.67 ₴ per item · on the market 169 · buy 0.0700–0.0824
StatTrak™ MP9 | Nexus (Minimal Wear) — 21.67 ₴ +12.41 ₴ per item · on the market 141 · buy 0.0700–0.0824

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Mockingbird

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0742

9.89 ₴

at 9.89

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Resupply (Minimal Wear) — 9.92 ₴ +0.03 ₴ per item · on the market 169 · buy 0.0700–0.0742
StatTrak™ MP9 | Nexus (Minimal Wear) — 21.67 ₴ +11.78 ₴ per item · on the market 141 · buy 0.0700–0.0742
StatTrak™ M4A4 | Choppa (Minimal Wear) — 30.30 ₴ +20.41 ₴ per item · on the market 585 · buy 0.0700–0.0742

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Junk Yard

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0742

168.37 ₴

at 33.67

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Heavy Metal (Minimal Wear) — 36.72 ₴ +3.05 ₴ per item · on the market 63 · buy 0.0700–0.0742
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New) — 48.88 ₴ +15.21 ₴ per item · on the market 52 · buy 0.0000–0.0371
StatTrak™ Nova | Windblown (Factory New) — 57.70 ₴ +24.03 ₴ per item · on the market 92 · buy 0.0000–0.0371

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Oscillator

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0036

48.88 ₴

at 48.88

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Nova | Windblown (Factory New) — 57.70 ₴ +8.82 ₴ per item · on the market 92 · buy 0.0000–0.0036
StatTrak™ M249 | O.S.I.P.R. (Factory New) — 64.20 ₴ +15.32 ₴ per item · on the market 82 · buy 0.0000–0.0051
StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Circaetus (Factory New) — 108.64 ₴ +59.76 ₴ per item · on the market 33 · buy 0.0000–0.0066

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 254.91 ₴ +186.65 (+73.2%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 100%
Losing outcome 0%

in profit

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Serpent Strike

Factory New

float up to 0.039899

193.98 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Galil AR | Control

Factory New

float up to 0.055929

224.21 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Nova | Rising Sun

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

352.88 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ P90 | Wave Breaker

Factory New

float up to 0.066538

253.73 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

worst

StatTrak™ Zeus x27 | Tosai

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

165.71 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Slate

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

2 339.37 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Trigger Discipline

Factory New

float up to 0.067899

533.20 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Button Masher

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

179.33 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Negev | dev_texture

Factory New

float up to 0.045499

174.48 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ P250 | Cyber Shell

Factory New

float up to 0.059499

211.55 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Fever Collection + The Snakebite Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Snakebite Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Fever Collection Variant 4 The Wildfire Collection instead of The Fever Collection Variant 5 only The Snakebite Collection Variant 6 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Fever Collection

More

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +70.51 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +102.82 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Fever Collection and The Snakebite Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 4 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3302608 · The Fever Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 103.34₴ · invest 148.28₴
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New)
Craft 3302180 · The Fever Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 102.47₴ · invest 141.21₴
rare inputs

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Sonar (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New); StatTrak™ P2000 | Sure Grip (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074137 instead of 0.074210; StatTrak™ XM1014 | Mockingbird (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074137 instead of 0.074210
Craft 3302236 · The Fever Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 99.37₴ · invest 138.55₴
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ AUG | Amber Slipstream (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New); StatTrak™ P2000 | Sure Grip (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074271 instead of 0.074210; StatTrak™ XM1014 | Mockingbird (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074271 instead of 0.074210
Craft 3294900 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Fever Collection · profit 99.24₴ · invest 132.15₴
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Orange Crash (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New); StatTrak™ P2000 | Sure Grip (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074236 instead of 0.074210; StatTrak™ XM1014 | Mockingbird (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074236 instead of 0.074210

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

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