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Crafts · The Operation Broken Fang Collection

prices updated 23.10 13:23 MSK

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The Operation Broken Fang Collection + The Revolver Case Collection

StatTrak™ Classified → Covert

Average profit +104.59$

Invest 126.26$

Average return 230.85$

ROI +82.8%

Chance of profit 55%

With float: invest at least 318.48 $, profit at most −87.62 $

float premium: at least 180 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +106.28 $ по средним

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −126 $

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Share of fitting lots unknown: not enough for a contract: 1 items needed, market lots unknown, price understated

×1

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Cyber Security

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3843

28.90 $

at 28.90

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ USP-S | Monster Mashup (Field-Tested) — 34.12 $ +5.22 $ per item · on the market 16 · buy 0.1500–0.2745
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fairy Tale (Field-Tested) — 40.92 $ +12.02 $ per item · on the market 21 · buy 0.1500–0.3651

Steam

×9

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | The Executioner

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1642

97.36 $

at 10.82

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P90 | Shapewood (Factory New) — 69.25 $ +58.44 $ per item · on the market 7 · buy 0.0000–0.0342
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Point Disarray (Factory New) — 111.07 $ +100.25 $ per item · on the market 24 · buy 0.0000–0.0229

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 126.26 $ +104.59 (+82.8%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −161 $

0% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

StatTrak™ USP-S | Monster Mashup

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1660

34.12 $

at 34.12

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Cyber Security (Field-Tested) — 40.01 $ +5.89 $ per item · on the market 14 · buy 0.1500–0.2324
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fairy Tale (Field-Tested) — 40.92 $ +6.80 $ per item · on the market 21 · buy 0.1500–0.2287

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Cyber Security

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1660

40.01 $

at 40.01

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fairy Tale (Field-Tested) — 40.92 $ +0.91 $ per item · on the market 21 · buy 0.1500–0.1690
StatTrak™ USP-S | Monster Mashup (Minimal Wear) — 67.97 $ +27.96 $ per item · on the market 10 · buy 0.0700–0.1185

Steam

×8

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | The Executioner

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1660

86.54 $

at 10.82

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P90 | Shapewood (Factory New) — 69.25 $ +58.44 $ per item · on the market 7 · buy 0.0000–0.0366
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Point Disarray (Factory New) — 111.07 $ +100.25 $ per item · on the market 24 · buy 0.0000–0.0245

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 160.67 $ +106.28 (+66.2%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −388 $

0% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Cyber Security

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1658

40.01 $

at 40.01

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fairy Tale (Field-Tested) — 40.92 $ +0.91 $ per item · on the market 21 · buy 0.1500–0.1689
StatTrak™ USP-S | Monster Mashup (Minimal Wear) — 67.97 $ +27.96 $ per item · on the market 10 · buy 0.0700–0.1184

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Cyber Security

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0755

305.04 $

at 61.01

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fairy Tale (Minimal Wear) — 81.88 $ +20.87 $ per item · on the market 11 · buy 0.0700–0.0878
StatTrak™ USP-S | Monster Mashup (Factory New) — 149.50 $ +88.49 $ per item · on the market 7 · buy 0.0000–0.0539

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | The Executioner

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1658

43.27 $

at 10.82

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P90 | Shapewood (Factory New) — 69.25 $ +58.44 $ per item · on the market 7 · buy 0.0000–0.0363
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Point Disarray (Factory New) — 111.07 $ +100.25 $ per item · on the market 24 · buy 0.0000–0.0243

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 388.32 $ +23.04 (+5.9%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −267 $

0% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×2

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Cyber Security

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1648

80.02 $

at 40.01

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fairy Tale (Field-Tested) — 40.92 $ +0.91 $ per item · on the market 21 · buy 0.1500–0.1680
StatTrak™ USP-S | Monster Mashup (Minimal Wear) — 67.97 $ +27.96 $ per item · on the market 10 · buy 0.0700–0.1177

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Cyber Security

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

122.02 $

at 61.01

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fairy Tale (Minimal Wear) — 81.88 $ +20.87 $ per item · on the market 11 · buy 0.0700–0.0875
StatTrak™ USP-S | Monster Mashup (Factory New) — 149.50 $ +88.49 $ per item · on the market 7 · buy 0.0000–0.0536

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | The Executioner

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1648

64.91 $

at 10.82

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P90 | Shapewood (Factory New) — 69.25 $ +58.44 $ per item · on the market 7 · buy 0.0000–0.0350
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Point Disarray (Factory New) — 111.07 $ +100.25 $ per item · on the market 24 · buy 0.0000–0.0234

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 266.94 $ +72.21 (+27.1%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −198 $

0% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Cyber Security

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1616

40.01 $

at 40.01

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fairy Tale (Field-Tested) — 40.92 $ +0.91 $ per item · on the market 21 · buy 0.1500–0.1651
StatTrak™ USP-S | Monster Mashup (Minimal Wear) — 67.97 $ +27.96 $ per item · on the market 10 · buy 0.0700–0.1154

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fairy Tale

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1616

81.83 $

at 40.92

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Cyber Security (Field-Tested) — 40.01 $ cheaper by 0.91 $ · on the market 14 · buy 0.1500–0.1577
StatTrak™ USP-S | Monster Mashup (Minimal Wear) — 67.97 $ +27.05 $ per item · on the market 10 · buy 0.0700–0.1126

Steam

×7

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | The Executioner

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1616

75.72 $

at 10.82

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P90 | Shapewood (Factory New) — 69.25 $ +58.44 $ per item · on the market 7 · buy 0.0000–0.0304
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Point Disarray (Factory New) — 111.07 $ +100.25 $ per item · on the market 24 · buy 0.0000–0.0204

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 197.57 $ +105.49 (+53.4%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 55%
Losing outcome 45%

in profit

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Royal Paladin

Factory New

float up to 0.055999

321.52 $ 45.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.027999

126.41 $ 45.00%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Neo-Noir

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

215.39 $ 5.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Printstream

Factory New

float up to 0.055999

1 062.86 $ 5.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Operation Broken Fang Collection + The Revolver Case Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Revolver Case Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Operation Broken Fang Collection Variant 4 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Revolver Case Collection Variant 5 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Operation Broken Fang Collection Variant 6 The Prisma Collection instead of The Revolver Case Collection

More

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +80.06 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +101.30 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Operation Broken Fang Collection and The Revolver Case Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 3 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3310165 · The Operation Broken Fang Collection + The Revolver Case Collection · profit 102.29$ · invest 123.74$
profit on prices without salesat least −124 $ rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Cyber Security (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ M4A4 | Cyber Security (Well-Worn); StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Neo-Noir: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; StatTrak™ G3SG1 | The Executioner (Field-Tested): float at most 0.169235 instead of 0.164282
Craft 3313678 · The Revolver Case Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 98.97$ · invest 122.72$
profit on prices without salesat least −123 $ rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ AWP | Elite Build (Well-Worn) instead of StatTrak™ M4A4 | Cyber Security (Well-Worn); StatTrak™ G3SG1 | The Executioner (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164886 instead of 0.164282
Craft 3308631 · The Huntsman Collection + The Revolver Case Collection · profit 97.83$ · invest 141.28$
profit on prices without salesat least −81 $ marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Atomic Alloy (Well-Worn) instead of StatTrak™ M4A4 | Cyber Security (Well-Worn); StatTrak™ G3SG1 | The Executioner (Field-Tested): float at most 0.167580 instead of 0.164282

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

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