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The Recoil Collection + The Shattered Web Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +102.57₴

Invest 174.50₴

Average return 277.07₴

ROI +58.8%

Chance of profit 20%

With float: invest at least 400.72 ₴, profit at most −123.65 ₴

float premium: at least 218 ₴

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +192.07 ₴ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×4

Negev | Drop Me

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

32.63 ₴

at 8.16

if this one runs out, you can take

M4A4 | Poly Mag (Minimal Wear) — 8.41 ₴ +0.25 ₴ per item · on the market 1 086 · buy 0.0700–0.0746
UMP-45 | Roadblock (Minimal Wear) — 8.44 ₴ +0.28 ₴ per item · on the market 470 · buy 0.0700–0.0746
MAC-10 | Monkeyflage (Minimal Wear) — 8.88 ₴ +0.73 ₴ per item · on the market 961 · buy 0.0700–0.0746

Steam

×4

Galil AR | Destroyer

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0040

64.62 ₴

at 16.16

if this one runs out, you can take

Negev | Drop Me (Factory New) — 27.52 ₴ +11.36 ₴ per item · on the market 187 · buy 0.0000–0.0058
UMP-45 | Roadblock (Factory New) — 29.11 ₴ +12.95 ₴ per item · on the market 154 · buy 0.0000–0.0058
MAC-10 | Monkeyflage (Factory New) — 29.23 ₴ +13.08 ₴ per item · on the market 294 · buy 0.0000–0.0058

Steam

×2

M249 | Warbird

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1634

77.25 ₴

at 38.62

if this one runs out, you can take

Nova | Plume (Field-Tested) — 37.64 ₴ cheaper by 0.98 ₴ · on the market 85 · buy 0.1500–0.1512
G3SG1 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) — 39.88 ₴ +1.26 ₴ per item · on the market 81 · buy 0.1500–0.1512
SCAR-20 | Torn (Minimal Wear) — 53.20 ₴ +14.58 ₴ per item · on the market 42 · buy 0.0700–0.0850

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 174.50 ₴ +102.57 (+58.8%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 6 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×6

Negev | Drop Me

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0769

48.95 ₴

at 8.16

if this one runs out, you can take

M4A4 | Poly Mag (Minimal Wear) — 8.41 ₴ +0.25 ₴ per item · on the market 1 086 · buy 0.0700–0.0769
UMP-45 | Roadblock (Minimal Wear) — 8.44 ₴ +0.28 ₴ per item · on the market 470 · buy 0.0700–0.0769
MAC-10 | Monkeyflage (Minimal Wear) — 8.88 ₴ +0.73 ₴ per item · on the market 961 · buy 0.0700–0.0769

Steam

×3

Galil AR | Destroyer

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0060

48.47 ₴

at 16.16

if this one runs out, you can take

Negev | Drop Me (Factory New) — 27.52 ₴ +11.36 ₴ per item · on the market 187 · buy 0.0000–0.0086
UMP-45 | Roadblock (Factory New) — 29.11 ₴ +12.95 ₴ per item · on the market 154 · buy 0.0000–0.0086
MAC-10 | Monkeyflage (Factory New) — 29.23 ₴ +13.08 ₴ per item · on the market 294 · buy 0.0000–0.0086

Steam

×1

Nova | Plume

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1699

37.64 ₴

at 37.64

if this one runs out, you can take

M249 | Warbird (Field-Tested) — 38.62 ₴ +0.98 ₴ per item · on the market 137 · buy 0.1500–0.1774
G3SG1 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) — 39.88 ₴ +2.24 ₴ per item · on the market 81 · buy 0.1500–0.1699
SCAR-20 | Torn (Minimal Wear) — 53.20 ₴ +15.56 ₴ per item · on the market 42 · buy 0.0700–0.0955

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 135.06 ₴ +47.87 (+35.4%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 5 шт., годных ≈14, цена занижена

×5

Galil AR | Destroyer

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0048

80.78 ₴

at 16.16

if this one runs out, you can take

Negev | Drop Me (Factory New) — 27.52 ₴ +11.36 ₴ per item · on the market 187 · buy 0.0000–0.0069
UMP-45 | Roadblock (Factory New) — 29.11 ₴ +12.95 ₴ per item · on the market 154 · buy 0.0000–0.0069
MAC-10 | Monkeyflage (Factory New) — 29.23 ₴ +13.08 ₴ per item · on the market 294 · buy 0.0000–0.0069

Steam

×3

M249 | Warbird

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1659

115.87 ₴

at 38.62

if this one runs out, you can take

Nova | Plume (Field-Tested) — 37.64 ₴ cheaper by 0.98 ₴ · on the market 85 · buy 0.1500–0.1546
G3SG1 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) — 39.88 ₴ +1.26 ₴ per item · on the market 81 · buy 0.1500–0.1546
SCAR-20 | Torn (Minimal Wear) — 53.20 ₴ +14.58 ₴ per item · on the market 42 · buy 0.0700–0.0869

Steam

×2

M249 | Warbird

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0755

187.39 ₴

at 93.70

if this one runs out, you can take

SCAR-20 | Torn (Factory New) — 106.49 ₴ +12.79 ₴ per item · on the market 49 · buy 0.0000–0.0191
Nova | Plume (Factory New) — 135.67 ₴ +41.98 ₴ per item · on the market 42 · buy 0.0000–0.0340
MP5-SD | Acid Wash (Factory New) — 145.48 ₴ +51.79 ₴ per item · on the market 57 · buy 0.0000–0.0289

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 384.04 ₴ +175.46 (+45.7%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 6 шт., годных ≈12, цена занижена

×6

Galil AR | Destroyer

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0042

96.93 ₴

at 16.16

if this one runs out, you can take

Negev | Drop Me (Factory New) — 27.52 ₴ +11.36 ₴ per item · on the market 187 · buy 0.0000–0.0060
UMP-45 | Roadblock (Factory New) — 29.11 ₴ +12.95 ₴ per item · on the market 154 · buy 0.0000–0.0060
MAC-10 | Monkeyflage (Factory New) — 29.23 ₴ +13.08 ₴ per item · on the market 294 · buy 0.0000–0.0060

Steam

×3

M249 | Warbird

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1639

115.87 ₴

at 38.62

if this one runs out, you can take

Nova | Plume (Field-Tested) — 37.64 ₴ cheaper by 0.98 ₴ · on the market 85 · buy 0.1500–0.1519
G3SG1 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) — 39.88 ₴ +1.26 ₴ per item · on the market 81 · buy 0.1500–0.1519
SCAR-20 | Torn (Minimal Wear) — 53.20 ₴ +14.58 ₴ per item · on the market 42 · buy 0.0700–0.0854

Steam

×1

Nova | Plume

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

77.31 ₴

at 77.31

if this one runs out, you can take

M249 | Warbird (Minimal Wear) — 93.70 ₴ +16.39 ₴ per item · on the market 45 · buy 0.0700–0.1061
G3SG1 | Black Sand (Minimal Wear) — 93.83 ₴ +16.53 ₴ per item · on the market 43 · buy 0.0700–0.0748
SCAR-20 | Torn (Factory New) — 106.49 ₴ +29.18 ₴ per item · on the market 49 · buy 0.0000–0.0421

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 290.11 ₴ +175.25 (+60.4%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −97 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

Galil AR | Destroyer

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0039

16.16 ₴

at 16.16

if this one runs out, you can take

Negev | Drop Me (Factory New) — 27.52 ₴ +11.36 ₴ per item · on the market 187 · buy 0.0000–0.0056
UMP-45 | Roadblock (Factory New) — 29.11 ₴ +12.95 ₴ per item · on the market 154 · buy 0.0000–0.0056
MAC-10 | Monkeyflage (Factory New) — 29.23 ₴ +13.08 ₴ per item · on the market 294 · buy 0.0000–0.0056

Steam

×2

Nova | Plume

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1631

75.28 ₴

at 37.64

if this one runs out, you can take

M249 | Warbird (Field-Tested) — 38.62 ₴ +0.98 ₴ per item · on the market 137 · buy 0.1500–0.1723
G3SG1 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) — 39.88 ₴ +2.24 ₴ per item · on the market 81 · buy 0.1500–0.1631
SCAR-20 | Torn (Minimal Wear) — 53.20 ₴ +15.56 ₴ per item · on the market 42 · buy 0.0700–0.0917

Steam

×7

M249 | Warbird

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

655.87 ₴

at 93.70

if this one runs out, you can take

SCAR-20 | Torn (Factory New) — 106.49 ₴ +12.79 ₴ per item · on the market 49 · buy 0.0000–0.0184
Nova | Plume (Factory New) — 135.67 ₴ +41.98 ₴ per item · on the market 42 · buy 0.0000–0.0327
MP5-SD | Acid Wash (Factory New) — 145.48 ₴ +51.79 ₴ per item · on the market 57 · buy 0.0000–0.0278

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 747.31 ₴ +188.78 (+25.3%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 20%
Losing outcome 80%

at a loss

Dual Berettas | Flora Carnivora

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

152.34 ₴ 16.00%

Steam

at a loss

M249 | Downtown

Factory New

float up to 0.045499

69.83 ₴ 16.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

P90 | Vent Rush

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

66.00 ₴ 16.00%

Steam

at a loss

R8 Revolver | Crazy 8

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

154.21 ₴ 16.00%

Steam

at a loss

SG 553 | Dragon Tech

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

68.10 ₴ 16.00%

Steam

in profit

best

AK-47 | Rat Rod

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

3 706.63 ₴ 4.00%

Steam

in profit

AUG | Arctic Wolf

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

388.29 ₴ 4.00%

Steam

in profit

PP-Bizon | Embargo

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

476.05 ₴ 4.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

P2000 | Obsidian

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

803.61 ₴ 4.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

MP7 | Neon Ply

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

549.24 ₴ 4.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Recoil Collection + The Shattered Web Collection

Variant 2 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Recoil Collection Variant 3 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Shattered Web Collection Variant 4 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Recoil Collection Variant 5 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Recoil Collection Variant 6 The Wildfire Collection instead of The Recoil Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +48.87 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +83.42 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Recoil Collection and The Shattered Web Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Recoil Collection + The Shattered Web Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 10 outcomes

More

How to build