The Vanguard Collection — craft

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×2

MP9 | Dart

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

1 084.30 ₸

at 542.15

if this one runs out, you can take

UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear) — 683.66 ₸ +141.51 ₸ per item · on the market 124 · buy 0.0700–0.1070
MAG-7 | Firestarter (Minimal Wear) — 1 130.06 ₸ +587.90 ₸ per item · on the market 102 · buy 0.0700–0.1297
G3SG1 | Murky (Factory New) — 1 449.45 ₸ +907.30 ₸ per item · on the market 95 · buy 0.0000–0.0405

Steam

×7

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

4 785.64 ₸

at 683.66

if this one runs out, you can take

MAG-7 | Firestarter (Minimal Wear) — 1 130.06 ₸ +446.39 ₸ per item · on the market 102 · buy 0.0700–0.0816
MP9 | Dart (Factory New) — 1 413.96 ₸ +730.30 ₸ per item · on the market 126 · buy 0.0000–0.0231
G3SG1 | Murky (Factory New) — 1 449.45 ₸ +765.79 ₸ per item · on the market 95 · buy 0.0000–0.0125

Steam

×1

XM1014 | Red Python

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1632

919.94 ₸

at 919.94

if this one runs out, you can take

Negev | Bratatat (Field-Tested) — 993.95 ₸ +74.01 ₸ per item · on the market 38 · buy 0.1500–0.1981
CZ75-Auto | Hexane (Minimal Wear) — 1 407.89 ₸ +487.95 ₸ per item · on the market 59 · buy 0.0700–0.0792
MAC-10 | Ultraviolet (Field-Tested) — 1 434.94 ₸ +515.00 ₸ per item · on the market 98 · buy 0.1500–0.2066

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 6 789.88 ₸ +5 341.64 (+78.7%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 6 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×6

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0769

4 101.98 ₸

at 683.66

if this one runs out, you can take

MAG-7 | Firestarter (Minimal Wear) — 1 130.06 ₸ +446.39 ₸ per item · on the market 102 · buy 0.0700–0.0851
MP9 | Dart (Factory New) — 1 413.96 ₸ +730.30 ₸ per item · on the market 126 · buy 0.0000–0.0268
G3SG1 | Murky (Factory New) — 1 449.45 ₸ +765.79 ₸ per item · on the market 95 · buy 0.0000–0.0146

Steam

×3

Negev | Bratatat

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1699

2 981.86 ₸

at 993.95

if this one runs out, you can take

XM1014 | Red Python (Field-Tested) — 919.94 ₸ cheaper by 74.01 ₸ · on the market 69 · buy 0.1500–0.1513
MAC-10 | Ultraviolet (Field-Tested) — 1 434.94 ₸ +440.98 ₸ per item · on the market 98 · buy 0.1500–0.1857
CZ75-Auto | Hexane (Factory New) — 2 025.66 ₸ +1 031.70 ₸ per item · on the market 56 · buy 0.0000–0.0679

Steam

×1

XM1014 | Red Python

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0800–0.0860

1 600.57 ₸

at 1 600.57

if this one runs out, you can take

CZ75-Auto | Hexane (Factory New) — 2 025.66 ₸ +425.09 ₸ per item · on the market 56 · buy 0.0000–0.0057
MAC-10 | Ultraviolet (Minimal Wear) — 3 024.68 ₸ +1 424.12 ₸ per item · on the market 43 · buy 0.0700–0.0707
SSG 08 | Dark Water (Minimal Wear) — 4 636.18 ₸ +3 035.61 ₸ per item · on the market 150 · buy 0.1000–0.1023

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 8 684.40 ₸ +2 074.06 (+23.9%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 5 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×5

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

3 418.31 ₸

at 683.66

if this one runs out, you can take

MAG-7 | Firestarter (Minimal Wear) — 1 130.06 ₸ +446.39 ₸ per item · on the market 102 · buy 0.0700–0.0819
MP9 | Dart (Factory New) — 1 413.96 ₸ +730.30 ₸ per item · on the market 126 · buy 0.0000–0.0235
G3SG1 | Murky (Factory New) — 1 449.45 ₸ +765.79 ₸ per item · on the market 95 · buy 0.0000–0.0127

Steam

×3

XM1014 | Red Python

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1638

2 759.82 ₸

at 919.94

if this one runs out, you can take

Negev | Bratatat (Field-Tested) — 993.95 ₸ +74.01 ₸ per item · on the market 38 · buy 0.1500–0.1997
CZ75-Auto | Hexane (Minimal Wear) — 1 407.89 ₸ +487.95 ₸ per item · on the market 59 · buy 0.0700–0.0798
MAC-10 | Ultraviolet (Field-Tested) — 1 434.94 ₸ +515.00 ₸ per item · on the market 98 · buy 0.1500–0.2077

Steam

×2

XM1014 | Red Python

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0800–0.0842

3 201.13 ₸

at 1 600.57

if this one runs out, you can take

CZ75-Auto | Hexane (Factory New) — 2 025.66 ₸ +425.09 ₸ per item · on the market 56 · buy 0.0000–0.0040
SSG 08 | Dark Water (Minimal Wear) — 4 636.18 ₸ +3 035.61 ₸ per item · on the market 150 · buy 0.1000–0.1016
Negev | Bratatat (Factory New) — 5 384.86 ₸ +3 784.29 ₸ per item · on the market 30 · buy 0.0000–0.0100

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 9 379.27 ₸ +921.48 (+9.8%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

MP9 | Dart

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

542.15 ₸

at 542.15

if this one runs out, you can take

UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear) — 683.66 ₸ +141.51 ₸ per item · on the market 124 · buy 0.0700–0.1070
MAG-7 | Firestarter (Minimal Wear) — 1 130.06 ₸ +587.90 ₸ per item · on the market 102 · buy 0.0700–0.1297
G3SG1 | Murky (Factory New) — 1 449.45 ₸ +907.30 ₸ per item · on the market 95 · buy 0.0000–0.0405

Steam

×7

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

4 785.64 ₸

at 683.66

if this one runs out, you can take

MAG-7 | Firestarter (Minimal Wear) — 1 130.06 ₸ +446.39 ₸ per item · on the market 102 · buy 0.0700–0.0816
MP9 | Dart (Factory New) — 1 413.96 ₸ +730.30 ₸ per item · on the market 126 · buy 0.0000–0.0231
G3SG1 | Murky (Factory New) — 1 449.45 ₸ +765.79 ₸ per item · on the market 95 · buy 0.0000–0.0125

Steam

×1

XM1014 | Red Python

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1631

919.94 ₸

at 919.94

if this one runs out, you can take

Negev | Bratatat (Field-Tested) — 993.95 ₸ +74.01 ₸ per item · on the market 38 · buy 0.1500–0.1979
CZ75-Auto | Hexane (Minimal Wear) — 1 407.89 ₸ +487.95 ₸ per item · on the market 59 · buy 0.0700–0.0791
MAC-10 | Ultraviolet (Field-Tested) — 1 434.94 ₸ +515.00 ₸ per item · on the market 98 · buy 0.1500–0.2064

Steam

×1

Negev | Bratatat

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1631

993.95 ₸

at 993.95

if this one runs out, you can take

MAC-10 | Ultraviolet (Field-Tested) — 1 434.94 ₸ +440.98 ₸ per item · on the market 98 · buy 0.1500–0.1807
XM1014 | Red Python (Minimal Wear) — 1 600.57 ₸ +606.61 ₸ per item · on the market 35 · buy 0.0800–0.1485
CZ75-Auto | Hexane (Factory New) — 2 025.66 ₸ +1 031.70 ₸ per item · on the market 56 · buy 0.0000–0.0652

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 7 241.68 ₸ +4 432.13 (+61.2%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 7 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×7

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

4 785.64 ₸

at 683.66

if this one runs out, you can take

MAG-7 | Firestarter (Minimal Wear) — 1 130.06 ₸ +446.39 ₸ per item · on the market 102 · buy 0.0700–0.0815
MP9 | Dart (Factory New) — 1 413.96 ₸ +730.30 ₸ per item · on the market 126 · buy 0.0000–0.0230
G3SG1 | Murky (Factory New) — 1 449.45 ₸ +765.79 ₸ per item · on the market 95 · buy 0.0000–0.0125

Steam

×1

XM1014 | Red Python

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1630

919.94 ₸

at 919.94

if this one runs out, you can take

Negev | Bratatat (Field-Tested) — 993.95 ₸ +74.01 ₸ per item · on the market 38 · buy 0.1500–0.1977
CZ75-Auto | Hexane (Minimal Wear) — 1 407.89 ₸ +487.95 ₸ per item · on the market 59 · buy 0.0700–0.0791
MAC-10 | Ultraviolet (Field-Tested) — 1 434.94 ₸ +515.00 ₸ per item · on the market 98 · buy 0.1500–0.2063

Steam

×2

Negev | Bratatat

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1630

1 987.90 ₸

at 993.95

if this one runs out, you can take

MAC-10 | Ultraviolet (Field-Tested) — 1 434.94 ₸ +440.98 ₸ per item · on the market 98 · buy 0.1500–0.1806
XM1014 | Red Python (Minimal Wear) — 1 600.57 ₸ +606.61 ₸ per item · on the market 35 · buy 0.0800–0.1484
CZ75-Auto | Hexane (Factory New) — 2 025.66 ₸ +1 031.70 ₸ per item · on the market 56 · buy 0.0000–0.0652

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 7 693.48 ₸ +3 522.63 (+45.8%)

What you get 9 outcomes

Profitable outcome 49%
Losing outcome 51%

at a loss

Glock-18 | Grinder

Factory New

float up to 0.040124

4 236.31 ₸ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

best

M4A4 | Griffin

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

38 666.05 ₸ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

M4A1-S | Basilisk

Factory New

float up to 0.059499

13 937.51 ₸ 22.50%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Sawed-Off | Highwayman

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.087499

1 070.34 ₸ 22.50%

Steam

at a loss

PP-Bizon | Blue Streak

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.124749

2 324.69 ₸ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

Desert Eagle | Crimson Web

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.124749

17 606.95 ₸ 2.00%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

Glock-18 | Steel Disruption

Factory New

float up to 0.017499

19 302.83 ₸ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

MP7 | Ocean Foam

Factory New

float up to 0.006999

5 086.77 ₸ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

P90 | Virus

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.124749

1 749.75 ₸ 2.00%

Steam

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +2 899.29 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +4 220.97 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Vanguard Collection and The eSports 2014 Summer Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 7 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3307437 · The Graphic Design Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 5 692.69₸ · invest 6 320.86₸
sells slowly rare inputs

SG 553 | Berry Gel Coat (Field-Tested) instead of XM1014 | Red Python (Field-Tested); MP9 | Dart (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074419 instead of 0.074602; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074419 instead of 0.074602
Craft 3315083 · The Vanguard Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 5 577.03₸ · invest 6 227.09₸
sells slowly rare inputs

SSG 08 | Necropos (Field-Tested) instead of XM1014 | Red Python (Field-Tested); MP9 | Dart (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075716 instead of 0.074602; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075716 instead of 0.074602
Craft 3310309 · The Operation Broken Fang Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 5 562.31₸ · invest 6 281.40₸
sells slowly rare inputs

CZ75-Auto | Vendetta (Field-Tested) instead of XM1014 | Red Python (Field-Tested); MP9 | Dart (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075716 instead of 0.074602; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075716 instead of 0.074602
Craft 3290126 · The Bank Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 5 487.54₸ · invest 6 009.02₸
rare inputs

CZ75-Auto | Tuxedo (Field-Tested) instead of XM1014 | Red Python (Field-Tested); MP9 | Dart (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074419 instead of 0.074602; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074419 instead of 0.074602
Craft 3287764 · The Anubis Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 5 467.32₸ · invest 6 390.40₸
sells slowly rare inputs

Tec-9 | Mummy's Rot (Field-Tested) instead of XM1014 | Red Python (Field-Tested); MP9 | Dart (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075716 instead of 0.074602; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075716 instead of 0.074602
Craft 3310781 · The Operation Riptide Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 5 466.65₸ · invest 6 293.65₸
rare inputs

AUG | Plague (Field-Tested) instead of XM1014 | Red Python (Field-Tested); MP9 | Dart (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074087 instead of 0.074602; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074087 instead of 0.074602
Craft 3314313 · The Shattered Web Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 5 321.61₸ · invest 6 244.80₸
sells slowly rare inputs

Nova | Plume (Field-Tested) instead of XM1014 | Red Python (Field-Tested); MP9 | Dart (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074419 instead of 0.074602; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074419 instead of 0.074602

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Vanguard Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

How to build

What you get 9 outcomes

Craft variants

More

The Vanguard Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 9 outcomes

More

How to build