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The Vanguard Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

StatTrak™ Classified → Covert

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −65 604.91₸

Invest at least 307 738.15₸

Average return 242 133.24₸

ROI −21.3%

Chance of profit 45%

With float: invest at least 307 738.15 ₸, profit at most −65 604.91 ₸

float premium: at least 96 940 ₸

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Sell on CSFloat: without them the profit is −54 820.18 ₸

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

0% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1624

7 174.95 ₸

at 7 174.95

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P250 | Cartel (Minimal Wear) — 14 195.59 ₸ +7 020.64 ₸ per item · on the market 19 · buy 0.0700–0.1218
StatTrak™ XM1014 | Tranquility (Minimal Wear) — 20 234.53 ₸ +13 059.58 ₸ per item · on the market 17 · buy 0.0700–0.0812

Steam

×9

StatTrak™ P2000 | Corticera

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0743

111 117.96 ₸

at 12 346.44

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AWP | Corticera (Minimal Wear) — 20 707.08 ₸ +8 360.64 ₸ per item · on the market 24 · buy 0.0700–0.0743
StatTrak™ AUG | Bengal Tiger (Minimal Wear) — 22 113.82 ₸ +9 767.38 ₸ per item · on the market 7 · buy 0.0700–0.1041
StatTrak™ Nova | Bloomstick (Minimal Wear) — 31 060.65 ₸ +18 714.21 ₸ per item · on the market 4 · buy 0.0700–0.1041

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 118 292.92 ₸ +123 840.32 (+104.7%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×3

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0761

35 114.01 ₸

at 11 704.67

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P250 | Cartel (Factory New) — 34 280.61 ₸ +22 575.94 ₸ per item · on the market 8 · buy 0.0000–0.0571
StatTrak™ XM1014 | Tranquility (Factory New) — 45 017.26 ₸ +33 312.60 ₸ per item · on the market 13 · buy 0.0000–0.0380

Steam

×7

StatTrak™ P2000 | Corticera

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0761

86 425.08 ₸

at 12 346.44

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AWP | Corticera (Minimal Wear) — 20 707.08 ₸ +8 360.64 ₸ per item · on the market 24 · buy 0.0700–0.0761
StatTrak™ AUG | Bengal Tiger (Minimal Wear) — 22 113.82 ₸ +9 767.38 ₸ per item · on the market 7 · buy 0.0700–0.1098
StatTrak™ Nova | Bloomstick (Minimal Wear) — 31 060.65 ₸ +18 714.21 ₸ per item · on the market 4 · buy 0.0700–0.1098

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 121 539.09 ₸ +83 932.39 (+69.1%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −1 790 ₸

0% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×4

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0758

46 818.67 ₸

at 11 704.67

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P250 | Cartel (Factory New) — 34 280.61 ₸ +22 575.94 ₸ per item · on the market 8 · buy 0.0000–0.0568
StatTrak™ XM1014 | Tranquility (Factory New) — 45 017.26 ₸ +33 312.60 ₸ per item · on the market 13 · buy 0.0000–0.0379

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ P2000 | Corticera

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0758

74 078.64 ₸

at 12 346.44

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AWP | Corticera (Minimal Wear) — 20 707.08 ₸ +8 360.64 ₸ per item · on the market 24 · buy 0.0700–0.0758
StatTrak™ AUG | Bengal Tiger (Minimal Wear) — 22 113.82 ₸ +9 767.38 ₸ per item · on the market 7 · buy 0.0700–0.1089
StatTrak™ Nova | Bloomstick (Minimal Wear) — 31 060.65 ₸ +18 714.21 ₸ per item · on the market 4 · buy 0.0700–0.1089

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 120 897.32 ₸ +66 243.26 (+54.8%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −21 000 ₸

0% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 5 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×5

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0754

58 523.34 ₸

at 11 704.67

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P250 | Cartel (Factory New) — 34 280.61 ₸ +22 575.94 ₸ per item · on the market 8 · buy 0.0000–0.0566
StatTrak™ XM1014 | Tranquility (Factory New) — 45 017.26 ₸ +33 312.60 ₸ per item · on the market 13 · buy 0.0000–0.0377

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ P2000 | Corticera

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0754

61 732.20 ₸

at 12 346.44

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AWP | Corticera (Minimal Wear) — 20 707.08 ₸ +8 360.64 ₸ per item · on the market 24 · buy 0.0700–0.0754
StatTrak™ AUG | Bengal Tiger (Minimal Wear) — 22 113.82 ₸ +9 767.38 ₸ per item · on the market 7 · buy 0.0700–0.1077
StatTrak™ Nova | Bloomstick (Minimal Wear) — 31 060.65 ₸ +18 714.21 ₸ per item · on the market 4 · buy 0.0700–0.1077

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 120 255.55 ₸ +48 554.13 (+40.4%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −40 209 ₸

0% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 6 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×6

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0749

70 228.01 ₸

at 11 704.67

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P250 | Cartel (Factory New) — 34 280.61 ₸ +22 575.94 ₸ per item · on the market 8 · buy 0.0000–0.0562
StatTrak™ XM1014 | Tranquility (Factory New) — 45 017.26 ₸ +33 312.60 ₸ per item · on the market 13 · buy 0.0000–0.0374

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ P2000 | Corticera

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0749

49 385.76 ₸

at 12 346.44

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AWP | Corticera (Minimal Wear) — 20 707.08 ₸ +8 360.64 ₸ per item · on the market 24 · buy 0.0700–0.0749
StatTrak™ AUG | Bengal Tiger (Minimal Wear) — 22 113.82 ₸ +9 767.38 ₸ per item · on the market 7 · buy 0.0700–0.1062
StatTrak™ Nova | Bloomstick (Minimal Wear) — 31 060.65 ₸ +18 714.21 ₸ per item · on the market 4 · buy 0.0700–0.1062

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 119 613.77 ₸ +30 865.00 (+25.8%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 45%
Losing outcome 10%
About break-even 45%

in profit

best

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Jaguar

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

405 125.96 ₸ 45.00%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

about break-even

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Bullet Rain

Factory New

float up to 0.050799

142 490.67 ₸ 45.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Wasteland Rebel

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.095499

94 970.07 ₸ 5.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ P2000 | Fire Elemental

Factory New

float up to 0.041999

82 486.86 ₸ 5.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Vanguard Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

Variant 2 only The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 3 only The Vanguard Collection Variant 4 The Wildfire Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 5 The eSports 2013 Winter Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 6 The Winter Offensive Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +100 064.56 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +123 164.71 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Vanguard Collection and The eSports 2014 Summer Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 3 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3315191 · The Winter Offensive Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 123 225.23₸ · invest 124 487.89₸
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ P250 | Mehndi (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Field-Tested)
Craft 3296500 · The Chroma Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 115 717.92₸ · invest 128 071.83₸
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ P250 | Muertos (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075775 instead of 0.074334
Craft 3315221 · The eSports 2013 Winter Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 115 707.30₸ · invest 124 624.15₸
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Afterimage (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074819 instead of 0.074334

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Vanguard Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build