The Chroma 3 Collection + The Breakout Collection

Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Average profit −97.48$

Invest 1 017.87$

Average return 920.39$

ROI −9.6%

Chance of profit 32%

With float: invest at least 2 283.59 $, profit at most −1 363.20 $

float premium: at least 1 260 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +7.39 $ по средним

The gain is understated: 3 outcomes have no price, that is 7.3% of the chance

Sell on CSFloat: without them the profit is −773.08 $

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈0

×2

PP-Bizon | Judgement of Anubis

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0067

336.08 $

at 168.04

if this one runs out, you can take

M4A1-S | Chantico's Fire (Factory New) — 294.26 $ +126.22 $ per item · on the market 13 · buy 0.0000–0.0133

Steam

×3

M4A1-S | Cyrex

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0067

681.79 $

at 227.26

if this one runs out, you can take

P90 | Asiimov (Factory New) — 292.33 $ +65.07 $ per item · on the market 35 · buy 0.0000–0.0124

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 1 017.87 $ −97.48 (−9.6%)

The gain is understated: 3 outcomes have no price, that is 7.5% of the chance

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −96 $

1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0

×1

PP-Bizon | Judgement of Anubis

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0067

168.04 $

at 168.04

if this one runs out, you can take

M4A1-S | Chantico's Fire (Factory New) — 294.26 $ +126.22 $ per item · on the market 13 · buy 0.0000–0.0133

Steam

×4

M4A1-S | Cyrex

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0067

909.06 $

at 227.26

if this one runs out, you can take

P90 | Asiimov (Factory New) — 292.33 $ +65.07 $ per item · on the market 35 · buy 0.0000–0.0124

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 1 077.10 $ +7.39 (+0.7%)

The gain is understated: 3 outcomes have no price, that is 7.1% of the chance

1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈0

×3

PP-Bizon | Judgement of Anubis

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0067

504.12 $

at 168.04

if this one runs out, you can take

M4A1-S | Chantico's Fire (Factory New) — 294.26 $ +126.22 $ per item · on the market 13 · buy 0.0000–0.0133

Steam

×2

M4A1-S | Cyrex

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0067

454.53 $

at 227.26

if this one runs out, you can take

P90 | Asiimov (Factory New) — 292.33 $ +65.07 $ per item · on the market 35 · buy 0.0000–0.0124

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 958.65 $ −202.35 (−21.1%)

The gain is understated: 3 outcomes have no price, that is 6.9% of the chance

1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈0

×4

PP-Bizon | Judgement of Anubis

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0067

672.16 $

at 168.04

if this one runs out, you can take

M4A1-S | Chantico's Fire (Factory New) — 294.26 $ +126.22 $ per item · on the market 13 · buy 0.0000–0.0133

Steam

×1

M4A1-S | Cyrex

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0067

227.26 $

at 227.26

if this one runs out, you can take

P90 | Asiimov (Factory New) — 292.33 $ +65.07 $ per item · on the market 35 · buy 0.0000–0.0124

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 899.43 $ −307.22 (−34.2%)

What you get 43 outcomes

Profitable outcome 32%
Losing outcome 55%
About break-even 6%
Above the Steam cap 7%

Order

in profit

★ Butterfly Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

1 866.00 $ 4.62%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Butterfly Knife | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.013378

1 190.00 $ 4.62%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

about break-even

★ Butterfly Knife | Blue Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

1 010.75 $ 4.62%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Butterfly Knife | Stained

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

989.77 $ 4.62%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Butterfly Knife | Case Hardened

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

1 304.22 $ 4.62%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Butterfly Knife | Forest DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

700.17 $ 4.62%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Butterfly Knife | Boreal Forest

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

890.95 $ 4.62%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

best

★ Butterfly Knife | Crimson Web

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

4 413.23 $ 4.62%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Butterfly Knife | Night

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 294.70 $ 4.62%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Butterfly Knife | Scorched

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

850.00 $ 4.62%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ Butterfly Knife | Safari Mesh

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 4.62%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Butterfly Knife | Urban Masked

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

940.00 $ 4.62%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Butterfly Knife

no wear

1 380.02 $ 4.62%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Bayonet | Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

420.01 $ 1.33%

pricier variants exist lots by number 7 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ Bayonet | Marble Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

394.65 $ 1.33%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Bayonet | Tiger Tooth

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

349.27 $ 1.33%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Bayonet | Damascus Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.006756

212.02 $ 1.33%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Bayonet | Rust Coat

Well-Worn

float up to 0.408108

143.72 $ 1.33%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Bayonet | Ultraviolet

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

540.53 $ 1.33%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Flip Knife | Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

347.44 $ 1.33%

pricier variants exist lots by number 7 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ Flip Knife | Marble Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

287.50 $ 1.33%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Flip Knife | Tiger Tooth

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

250.36 $ 1.33%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Flip Knife | Damascus Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.006756

153.55 $ 1.33%

rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Flip Knife | Rust Coat

Well-Worn

float up to 0.408108

120.75 $ 1.33%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ Flip Knife | Ultraviolet

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 1.33%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Gut Knife | Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

149.17 $ 1.33%

pricier variants exist lots by number 7 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ Gut Knife | Marble Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

126.62 $ 1.33%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Gut Knife | Tiger Tooth

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

101.76 $ 1.33%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Gut Knife | Damascus Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.006756

84.24 $ 1.33%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ Gut Knife | Rust Coat

Well-Worn

float up to 0.408108

60.36 $ 1.33%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Gut Knife | Ultraviolet

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

158.56 $ 1.33%

rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Karambit | Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

1 692.40 $ 1.33%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number 7 phases, price averaged

Steam

in profit

★ Karambit | Marble Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

1 261.11 $ 1.33%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Karambit | Tiger Tooth

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

1 035.01 $ 1.33%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Karambit | Damascus Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.006756

753.76 $ 1.33%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Karambit | Rust Coat

Well-Worn

float up to 0.408108

614.39 $ 1.33%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Karambit | Ultraviolet

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 650.00 $ 1.33%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

about break-even

★ M9 Bayonet | Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

1 138.65 $ 1.33%

pricier variants exist lots by number 7 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ M9 Bayonet | Marble Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

851.01 $ 1.33%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ M9 Bayonet | Tiger Tooth

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

750.06 $ 1.33%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ M9 Bayonet | Damascus Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.006756

567.92 $ 1.33%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ M9 Bayonet | Rust Coat

Well-Worn

float up to 0.408108

345.67 $ 1.33%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ M9 Bayonet | Ultraviolet

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 1.33%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

float markup by input how many times more the lots with the needed float cost

PP-Bizon | Judgement of Anubis (Factory New) × 2 10% of the wear range fits at least ×2.21 336.08 → 742.74 $

M4A1-S | Cyrex (Factory New) × 3 10% of the wear range fits at least ×2.26 681.79 → 1 540.85 $

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Average float of the set

average normalized 0.013513414

outcomes come out up to 0.001081, 0.013378, 0.013513, 0.013513, 0.013513, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.000000, 0.001081, 0.001081, 0.001081, 0.006756, 0.408108, 0.069999, 0.001081, 0.001081, 0.001081, 0.006756, 0.408108, 0.069999, 0.001081, 0.001081, 0.001081, 0.006756, 0.408108, 0.069999, 0.001081, 0.001081, 0.001081, 0.006756, 0.408108, 0.069999, 0.001081, 0.001081, 0.001081, 0.006756, 0.408108, 0.069999

How to read float

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

I already have items

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Chroma 3 Collection + The Breakout Collection

Variant 2 The Glove Collection instead of The Chroma 3 Collection Variant 3 The Glove Collection instead of The Breakout Collection Variant 4 The Clutch Collection instead of The Chroma 3 Collection Variant 5 The Revolution Collection instead of The Chroma 3 Collection Variant 6 The Gallery Collection instead of The Chroma 3 Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −138.59 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −105.42 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Breakout Collection and The Chroma 3 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Chroma 3 Collection + The Breakout Collection

How to build i Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 43 outcomes

More

How to build