The Clutch Collection + The CS20 Collection

Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −9 933.81₴

Invest at least 41 795.15₴

Average return 31 861.34₴

ROI −23.8%

Chance of profit 23%

With float: invest at least 41 795.15 ₴, profit at most −9 933.81 ₴

float premium: at least 23 601 ₴

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

The gain is understated: 2 outcomes have no price, that is 3.1% of the chance

Sell on CSFloat: without them the profit is −7 952.05 ₴

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈3

×4

MP7 | Bloodsport

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0082

15 130.25 ₴

at 3 782.56

if this one runs out, you can take

M4A4 | Neo-Noir (Factory New) — 4 706.67 ₴ +924.11 ₴ per item · on the market 51 · buy 0.0000–0.0114

Steam

×1

FAMAS | Commemoration

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0082

2 783.38 ₴

at 2 783.38

if this one runs out, you can take

AWP | Wildfire (Factory New) — 7 070.30 ₴ +4 286.92 ₴ per item · on the market 38 · buy 0.0100–0.0214

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 17 913.63 ₴ +13 947.71 (+77.9%)

The gain is understated: 2 outcomes have no price, that is 6.2% of the chance

1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈3

×3

MP7 | Bloodsport

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0078

11 347.69 ₴

at 3 782.56

if this one runs out, you can take

M4A4 | Neo-Noir (Factory New) — 4 706.67 ₴ +924.11 ₴ per item · on the market 51 · buy 0.0000–0.0108

Steam

×2

FAMAS | Commemoration

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0078

5 566.77 ₴

at 2 783.38

if this one runs out, you can take

AWP | Wildfire (Factory New) — 7 070.30 ₴ +4 286.92 ₴ per item · on the market 38 · buy 0.0100–0.0208

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 16 914.45 ₴ +9 082.87 (+53.7%)

The gain is understated: 2 outcomes have no price, that is 9.2% of the chance

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −3 188 ₴

1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈2

×2

MP7 | Bloodsport

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0074

7 565.13 ₴

at 3 782.56

if this one runs out, you can take

M4A4 | Neo-Noir (Factory New) — 4 706.67 ₴ +924.11 ₴ per item · on the market 51 · buy 0.0000–0.0103

Steam

×3

FAMAS | Commemoration

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0074

8 350.15 ₴

at 2 783.38

if this one runs out, you can take

AWP | Wildfire (Factory New) — 7 070.30 ₴ +4 286.92 ₴ per item · on the market 38 · buy 0.0100–0.0202

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 15 915.28 ₴ +4 218.02 (+26.5%)

The gain is understated: 2 outcomes have no price, that is 12.3% of the chance

1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈2

×1

MP7 | Bloodsport

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0070

3 782.56 ₴

at 3 782.56

if this one runs out, you can take

M4A4 | Neo-Noir (Factory New) — 4 706.67 ₴ +924.11 ₴ per item · on the market 51 · buy 0.0000–0.0098

Steam

×4

FAMAS | Commemoration

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0070

11 133.53 ₴

at 2 783.38

if this one runs out, you can take

AWP | Wildfire (Factory New) — 7 070.30 ₴ +4 286.92 ₴ per item · on the market 38 · buy 0.0100–0.0197

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 14 916.10 ₴ −646.83 (−4.3%)

What you get 37 outcomes

Profitable outcome 42%
Losing outcome 55%
Above the Steam cap 3%

Order

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Duct Tape

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

11 856.91 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Hand Wraps | Cobalt Skulls

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

47 105.31 ₴ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Overprint

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

16 798.56 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Arboreal

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

7 675.11 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Moto Gloves | Turtle

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

16 622.11 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Moto Gloves | POW!

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

33 538.47 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Moto Gloves | Polygon

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

27 179.09 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Moto Gloves | Transport

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

12 477.04 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Imperial Plaid

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

50 525.72 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | King Snake

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

90 902.26 ₴ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Overtake

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

13 674.45 ₴ 3.33%

rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Racing Green

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

6 565.41 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

71 684.51 ₴ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Specialist Gloves | Buckshot

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

8 269.23 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Crimson Web

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

42 176.45 ₴ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Mogul

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

28 551.94 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Omega

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

56 129.94 ₴ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

best

★ Sport Gloves | Vice

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

264 433.40 ₴ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Amphibious

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

89 274.52 ₴ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Bronze Morph

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

22 162.47 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Hydra Gloves | Emerald

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

9 030.12 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Hydra Gloves | Case Hardened

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

18 721.16 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ Hydra Gloves | Mangrove

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

4 613.23 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Hydra Gloves | Rattler

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

7 216.07 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Classic Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

12 657.64 ₴ 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Classic Knife | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.013378

10 891.64 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Classic Knife | Blue Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

8 865.90 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Classic Knife | Stained

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

7 563.43 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Classic Knife | Case Hardened

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

15 578.19 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Classic Knife | Forest DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

6 888.38 ₴ 1.54%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Classic Knife | Boreal Forest

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

7 949.99 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Classic Knife | Crimson Web

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

24 412.99 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Classic Knife | Scorched

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

11 949.68 ₴ 1.54%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Classic Knife | Safari Mesh

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

7 520.59 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ Classic Knife | Night Stripe

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ Classic Knife | Urban Masked

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Classic Knife

no wear

8 987.59 ₴ 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Clutch Collection + The CS20 Collection

Variant 2 The Glove Collection instead of The CS20 Collection Variant 3 The Operation Hydra Collection instead of The CS20 Collection Variant 4 only The Clutch Collection Variant 5 The Dead Hand Collection instead of The CS20 Collection Variant 6 The Dead Hand Collection instead of The Clutch Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +12 310.22 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +13 741.35 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The CS20 Collection and The Clutch Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 21 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3316077 · The Fracture Collection + The Clutch Collection · profit 14 476.54₴ · invest 17 711.70₴
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

AK-47 | Legion of Anubis (Factory New) instead of FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New); MP7 | Bloodsport (Factory New): float at most 0.008911 instead of 0.008286
Craft 3316078 · The Clutch Collection + The Fracture Collection · profit 14 476.54₴ · invest 17 711.70₴
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

AK-47 | Legion of Anubis (Factory New) instead of FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New); MP7 | Bloodsport (Factory New): float at most 0.008911 instead of 0.008286
Craft 3316065 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Clutch Collection · profit 14 453.46₴ · invest 18 088.11₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

AWP | Neo-Noir (Factory New) instead of FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New)
Craft 3316066 · The Clutch Collection + The Danger Zone Collection · profit 14 453.46₴ · invest 18 088.11₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

AWP | Neo-Noir (Factory New) instead of FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New)
Craft 3316101 · The Phoenix Collection + The Clutch Collection · profit 14 263.80₴ · invest 20 107.64₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

AUG | Chameleon (Factory New) instead of FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New)
Craft 3316102 · The Clutch Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 14 263.80₴ · invest 20 107.64₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

AUG | Chameleon (Factory New) instead of FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New)
Craft 3316129 · The Vanguard Collection + The Clutch Collection · profit 14 197.82₴ · invest 20 173.62₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

AK-47 | Wasteland Rebel (Minimal Wear) instead of FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New); MP7 | Bloodsport (Factory New): float at most 0.004650 instead of 0.008286
Craft 3316130 · The Clutch Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 14 197.82₴ · invest 20 173.62₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

AK-47 | Wasteland Rebel (Minimal Wear) instead of FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New); MP7 | Bloodsport (Factory New): float at most 0.004650 instead of 0.008286
Craft 3316133 · The Winter Offensive Collection + The Clutch Collection · profit 14 059.83₴ · invest 20 311.60₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

Sawed-Off | The Kraken (Factory New) instead of FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New); MP7 | Bloodsport (Factory New): float at most 0.007807 instead of 0.008286
Craft 3316134 · The Clutch Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection · profit 14 059.83₴ · invest 20 311.60₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

Sawed-Off | The Kraken (Factory New) instead of FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New); MP7 | Bloodsport (Factory New): float at most 0.007807 instead of 0.008286
Craft 3316115 · The Revolver Case Collection + The Clutch Collection · profit 14 003.79₴ · invest 20 367.64₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

R8 Revolver | Fade (Factory New) instead of FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New); MP7 | Bloodsport (Factory New): float at most 0.007807 instead of 0.008286
Craft 3316116 · The Clutch Collection + The Revolver Case Collection · profit 14 003.79₴ · invest 20 367.64₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

R8 Revolver | Fade (Factory New) instead of FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New); MP7 | Bloodsport (Factory New): float at most 0.007807 instead of 0.008286
Craft 3315794 · The CS20 Collection + The Clutch Collection · profit 13 947.71₴ · invest 17 913.63₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist
Craft 3316135 · The eSports 2013 Winter Collection + The Clutch Collection · profit 13 392.65₴ · invest 20 978.79₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

M4A4 | X-Ray (Factory New) instead of FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New); MP7 | Bloodsport (Factory New): float at most 0.007121 instead of 0.008286
Craft 3316136 · The Clutch Collection + The eSports 2013 Winter Collection · profit 13 392.65₴ · invest 20 978.79₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

M4A4 | X-Ray (Factory New) instead of FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New); MP7 | Bloodsport (Factory New): float at most 0.007121 instead of 0.008286
Craft 3316089 · The Huntsman Collection + The Clutch Collection · profit 13 296.50₴ · invest 18 598.04₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

M4A4 | Desert-Strike (Factory New) instead of FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New); MP7 | Bloodsport (Factory New): float at most 0.008911 instead of 0.008286
Craft 3316090 · The Clutch Collection + The Huntsman Collection · profit 13 296.50₴ · invest 18 598.04₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

M4A4 | Desert-Strike (Factory New) instead of FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New); MP7 | Bloodsport (Factory New): float at most 0.008911 instead of 0.008286
Craft 3316105 · The Prisma Collection + The Clutch Collection · profit 13 212.23₴ · invest 19 264.57₴
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

Five-SeveN | Angry Mob (Factory New) instead of FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New); MP7 | Bloodsport (Factory New): float at most 0.008911 instead of 0.008286
Craft 3316106 · The Clutch Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 13 212.23₴ · invest 19 264.57₴
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

Five-SeveN | Angry Mob (Factory New) instead of FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New); MP7 | Bloodsport (Factory New): float at most 0.008911 instead of 0.008286
Craft 3316071 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Clutch Collection · profit 13 032.15₴ · invest 19 853.45₴
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

MP9 | Starlight Protector (Factory New) instead of FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New); MP7 | Bloodsport (Factory New): float at most 0.009125 instead of 0.008286
Craft 3316072 · The Clutch Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection · profit 13 032.15₴ · invest 19 853.45₴
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

MP9 | Starlight Protector (Factory New) instead of FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New); MP7 | Bloodsport (Factory New): float at most 0.009125 instead of 0.008286

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Clutch Collection + The CS20 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 37 outcomes

More

How to build