The CS20 Collection + The Revolution Collection

Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −367.64$

Invest at least 1 072.50$

Average return 704.86$

ROI −34.3%

Chance of profit 17%

With float: invest at least 1 072.50 $, profit at most −367.64 $

float premium: at least 581 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

The gain is understated: 2 outcomes have no price, that is 3.1% of the chance

Sell on CSFloat: without them the profit is −238.45 $

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0

×1

FAMAS | Commemoration

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0112

61.58 $

at 61.58

if this one runs out, you can take

AWP | Wildfire (Factory New) — 156.41 $ +94.84 $ per item · on the market 38 · buy 0.0100–0.0255

Steam

×4

AK-47 | Head Shot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0112

397.25 $

at 99.31

if this one runs out, you can take

M4A4 | Temukau (Factory New) — 101.66 $ +2.35 $ per item · on the market 122 · buy 0.0000–0.0090

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 458.83 $ +246.04 (+53.6%)

The gain is understated: 2 outcomes have no price, that is 6.2% of the chance

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −30 $

1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈0

×2

FAMAS | Commemoration

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0096

123.15 $

at 61.58

if this one runs out, you can take

AWP | Wildfire (Factory New) — 156.41 $ +94.84 $ per item · on the market 38 · buy 0.0100–0.0233

Steam

×3

AK-47 | Head Shot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0096

297.94 $

at 99.31

if this one runs out, you can take

M4A4 | Temukau (Factory New) — 101.66 $ +2.35 $ per item · on the market 122 · buy 0.0000–0.0077

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 421.09 $ +154.04 (+36.6%)

The gain is understated: 2 outcomes have no price, that is 9.2% of the chance

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −102 $

1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈0

×3

FAMAS | Commemoration

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0084

184.73 $

at 61.58

if this one runs out, you can take

AWP | Wildfire (Factory New) — 156.41 $ +94.84 $ per item · on the market 38 · buy 0.0100–0.0216

Steam

×2

AK-47 | Head Shot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0084

198.62 $

at 99.31

if this one runs out, you can take

M4A4 | Temukau (Factory New) — 101.66 $ +2.35 $ per item · on the market 122 · buy 0.0000–0.0067

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 383.35 $ +62.05 (+16.2%)

The gain is understated: 2 outcomes have no price, that is 12.3% of the chance

1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈0

×4

FAMAS | Commemoration

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0075

246.30 $

at 61.58

if this one runs out, you can take

AWP | Wildfire (Factory New) — 156.41 $ +94.84 $ per item · on the market 38 · buy 0.0100–0.0203

Steam

×1

AK-47 | Head Shot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0075

99.31 $

at 99.31

if this one runs out, you can take

M4A4 | Temukau (Factory New) — 101.66 $ +2.35 $ per item · on the market 122 · buy 0.0000–0.0060

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 345.62 $ −29.94 (−8.7%)

What you get 37 outcomes

Profitable outcome 37%
Losing outcome 59%
About break-even 2%
Above the Steam cap 3%

Order

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Duct Tape

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

262.31 $ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Hand Wraps | Cobalt Skulls

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 042.10 $ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Overprint

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

371.63 $ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Arboreal

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

169.79 $ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Moto Gloves | Turtle

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

367.73 $ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Moto Gloves | POW!

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

741.96 $ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Moto Gloves | Polygon

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

601.28 $ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Moto Gloves | Transport

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

276.03 $ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Imperial Plaid

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 117.77 $ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | King Snake

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

2 011.01 $ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Overtake

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

302.52 $ 3.33%

rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Racing Green

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

145.25 $ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 585.86 $ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Specialist Gloves | Buckshot

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

182.94 $ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Crimson Web

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

933.06 $ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Mogul

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

631.65 $ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Omega

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 241.75 $ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

best

★ Sport Gloves | Vice

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

5 850.00 $ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Amphibious

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 975.00 $ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Sport Gloves | Bronze Morph

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

490.30 $ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Hydra Gloves | Emerald

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

199.77 $ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Hydra Gloves | Case Hardened

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

414.16 $ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ Hydra Gloves | Mangrove

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

102.06 $ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Hydra Gloves | Rattler

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

159.64 $ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Classic Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

280.02 $ 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Classic Knife | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.013378

240.95 $ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Classic Knife | Blue Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

196.14 $ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Classic Knife | Stained

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

167.32 $ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Classic Knife | Case Hardened

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

344.63 $ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Classic Knife | Forest DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

152.39 $ 1.54%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Classic Knife | Boreal Forest

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

175.88 $ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

about break-even

★ Classic Knife | Crimson Web

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

540.08 $ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Classic Knife | Scorched

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

264.36 $ 1.54%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Classic Knife | Safari Mesh

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

166.38 $ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ Classic Knife | Night Stripe

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ Classic Knife | Urban Masked

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Classic Knife

no wear

198.83 $ 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The CS20 Collection + The Revolution Collection

Variant 2 The Glove Collection instead of The CS20 Collection Variant 3 The Operation Hydra Collection instead of The CS20 Collection Variant 4 The Clutch Collection instead of The CS20 Collection Variant 5 only The Revolution Collection Variant 6 The Dead Hand Collection instead of The Revolution Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +209.81 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +241.47 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The CS20 Collection and The Revolution Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 9 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3316881 · The Vanguard Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 251.57$ · invest 508.82$
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

AK-47 | Wasteland Rebel (Minimal Wear) instead of FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New); AK-47 | Head Shot (Factory New): float at most 0.006390 instead of 0.011261
Craft 3316882 · The Revolution Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 251.57$ · invest 508.82$
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

AK-47 | Wasteland Rebel (Minimal Wear) instead of FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New); AK-47 | Head Shot (Factory New): float at most 0.006390 instead of 0.011261
Craft 3316885 · The Winter Offensive Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 248.52$ · invest 511.88$
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

Sawed-Off | The Kraken (Factory New) instead of FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New); AK-47 | Head Shot (Factory New): float at most 0.010394 instead of 0.011261
Craft 3316886 · The Revolution Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection · profit 248.52$ · invest 511.88$
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

Sawed-Off | The Kraken (Factory New) instead of FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New); AK-47 | Head Shot (Factory New): float at most 0.010394 instead of 0.011261
Craft 3316867 · The Revolver Case Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 247.28$ · invest 513.12$
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

R8 Revolver | Fade (Factory New) instead of FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New); AK-47 | Head Shot (Factory New): float at most 0.010394 instead of 0.011261
Craft 3316868 · The Revolution Collection + The Revolver Case Collection · profit 247.28$ · invest 513.12$
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

R8 Revolver | Fade (Factory New) instead of FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New); AK-47 | Head Shot (Factory New): float at most 0.010394 instead of 0.011261
Craft 3315837 · The Revolution Collection + The CS20 Collection · profit 246.04$ · invest 458.83$
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist
Craft 3316887 · The eSports 2013 Winter Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 233.76$ · invest 526.64$
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

M4A4 | X-Ray (Factory New) instead of FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New); AK-47 | Head Shot (Factory New): float at most 0.009213 instead of 0.011261
Craft 3316888 · The Revolution Collection + The eSports 2013 Winter Collection · profit 233.76$ · invest 526.64$
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

M4A4 | X-Ray (Factory New) instead of FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New); AK-47 | Head Shot (Factory New): float at most 0.009213 instead of 0.011261

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The CS20 Collection + The Revolution Collection

How to build i Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 37 outcomes

More

How to build