The Dead Hand Collection + The Glove Collection

Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −376 604.30₸

Invest at least 1 548 452.93₸

Average return 1 171 848.63₸

ROI −24.3%

Chance of profit 16%

With float: invest at least 1 548 452.93 ₸, profit at most −376 604.30 ₸

float premium: at least 850 905 ₸

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +597 368.92 ₸ по средним

The gain is understated: 3 outcomes have no price, that is 6.8% of the chance

Sell on CSFloat / Market.CSGO: without them the profit is −607 395.37 ₸

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈1

×2

Glock-18 | Fully Tuned

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0084

182 771.25 ₸

at 91 385.63

if this one runs out, you can take

AWP | Queen's Gambit (Factory New) — 120 946.16 ₸ +29 560.54 ₸ per item · on the market 34 · buy 0.0000–0.0084

Steam

×3

SSG 08 | Dragonfire

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0084

506 428.53 ₸

at 168 809.51

if this one runs out, you can take

M4A4 | Buzz Kill (Factory New) — 247 631.51 ₸ +78 822.01 ₸ per item · on the market 45 · buy 0.0000–0.0118

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 689 199.78 ₸ +482 648.85 (+70.0%)

The gain is understated: 3 outcomes have no price, that is 5.3% of the chance

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈2

×4

Glock-18 | Fully Tuned

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0112

365 542.51 ₸

at 91 385.63

if this one runs out, you can take

AWP | Queen's Gambit (Factory New) — 120 946.16 ₸ +29 560.54 ₸ per item · on the market 34 · buy 0.0000–0.0112

Steam

×1

SSG 08 | Dragonfire

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0112

168 809.51 ₸

at 168 809.51

if this one runs out, you can take

M4A4 | Buzz Kill (Factory New) — 247 631.51 ₸ +78 822.01 ₸ per item · on the market 45 · buy 0.0000–0.0157

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 534 352.02 ₸ +253 208.77 (+47.4%)

The gain is understated: 3 outcomes have no price, that is 6.1% of the chance

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈1

×3

Glock-18 | Fully Tuned

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0096

274 156.88 ₸

at 91 385.63

if this one runs out, you can take

AWP | Queen's Gambit (Factory New) — 120 946.16 ₸ +29 560.54 ₸ per item · on the market 34 · buy 0.0000–0.0096

Steam

×2

SSG 08 | Dragonfire

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0096

337 619.02 ₸

at 168 809.51

if this one runs out, you can take

M4A4 | Buzz Kill (Factory New) — 247 631.51 ₸ +78 822.01 ₸ per item · on the market 45 · buy 0.0000–0.0135

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 611 775.90 ₸ +367 928.79 (+60.1%)

The gain is understated: 3 outcomes have no price, that is 7.6% of the chance

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈1

×1

Glock-18 | Fully Tuned

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0075

91 385.63 ₸

at 91 385.63

if this one runs out, you can take

AWP | Queen's Gambit (Factory New) — 120 946.16 ₸ +29 560.54 ₸ per item · on the market 34 · buy 0.0000–0.0075

Steam

×4

SSG 08 | Dragonfire

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0075

675 238.04 ₸

at 168 809.51

if this one runs out, you can take

M4A4 | Buzz Kill (Factory New) — 247 631.51 ₸ +78 822.01 ₸ per item · on the market 45 · buy 0.0000–0.0105

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 766 623.66 ₸ +597 368.92 (+77.9%)

What you get 46 outcomes

Profitable outcome 31%
Losing outcome 60%
About break-even 2%
Above the Steam cap 7%

Order

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Spruce DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

337 211.81 ₸ 2.50%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Badlands

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

301 781.39 ₸ 2.50%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Leather

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

383 356.70 ₸ 2.50%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

519 252.49 ₸ 2.50%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Moto Gloves | Eclipse

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

294 848.23 ₸ 2.50%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Moto Gloves | Spearmint

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

2 453 317.27 ₸ 2.50%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Moto Gloves | Boom!

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

343 751.01 ₸ 2.50%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Moto Gloves | Cool Mint

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

973 636.93 ₸ 2.50%

sell on Market.CSGO

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Lunar Weave

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

513 170.94 ₸ 2.50%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Convoy

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

234 077.97 ₸ 2.50%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Crimson Weave

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

848 532.67 ₸ 2.50%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Diamondback

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

371 525.98 ₸ 2.50%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Specialist Gloves | Forest DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

220 447.38 ₸ 2.50%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Emerald Web

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 934 884.10 ₸ 2.50%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

★ Specialist Gloves | Crimson Kimono

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 2.50%

Steam

★ Specialist Gloves | Foundation

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 2.50%

Steam

in profit

best

★ Sport Gloves | Hedge Maze

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

13 189 393.86 ₸ 2.50%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Superconductor

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

3 601 199.68 ₸ 2.50%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Arid

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 485 494.86 ₸ 2.50%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Pandora's Box

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

9 626 456.94 ₸ 2.50%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Bloodhound Gloves | Charred

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

229 949.45 ₸ 2.50%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ Bloodhound Gloves | Guerrilla

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

137 630.41 ₸ 2.50%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Bloodhound Gloves | Bronzed

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

188 614.65 ₸ 2.50%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Bloodhound Gloves | Snakebite

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

157 693.41 ₸ 2.50%

sell on Market.CSGO

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Brocade Crane

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

742 747.46 ₸ 1.82%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Brocade Flowers

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

542 893.63 ₸ 1.82%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Dragon Fists

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

192 865.42 ₸ 1.82%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

★ Driver Gloves | Garden

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 1.82%

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Hand Sweaters

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

272 757.10 ₸ 1.82%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Plum Quill

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

228 913.44 ₸ 1.82%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Seigaiha

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

248 826.64 ₸ 1.82%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Wave Chaser

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

768 851.65 ₸ 1.82%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Lime Polycam

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

742 747.46 ₸ 1.82%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Specialist Gloves | Cloud Chaser

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

665 321.64 ₸ 1.82%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Specialist Gloves | Blackbook

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

629 759.81 ₸ 1.82%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Specialist Gloves | Chocolate Chesterfield

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

364 621.46 ₸ 1.82%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Pillow Punchers

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

2 003 167.32 ₸ 1.82%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Specialist Gloves | Sunburst

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

588 377.49 ₸ 1.82%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Specialist Gloves | Big Swell

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

625 258.30 ₸ 1.82%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

about break-even

★ Sport Gloves | Violet Beadwork

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

724 435.32 ₸ 1.82%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Sport Gloves | Frosty

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

407 162.59 ₸ 1.82%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Sport Gloves | Blaze

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

387 128.96 ₸ 1.82%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Sport Gloves | Creme Pinstripe

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

271 472.18 ₸ 1.82%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Sport Gloves | Red Racer

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

542 898.71 ₸ 1.82%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Ultra Violent

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 870 647.68 ₸ 1.82%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Occult

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

850 783.45 ₸ 1.82%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dead Hand Collection + The Glove Collection

Variant 2 only The Glove Collection Variant 3 The Operation Hydra Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 4 The Chroma Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 5 The Operation Broken Fang Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 6 The Shadow Collection instead of The Glove Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +478 116.71 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +481 853.54 ₸ historical median

6% of outcomes (by probability) have less than two weeks of price history, their price is taken as of today.

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dead Hand Collection and The Glove Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 21 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3316227 · The Glove Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 482 648.86₸ · invest 689 199.78₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist
Craft 3315741 · The Glove Collection + The Breakout Collection · profit 447 466.42₸ · invest 711 034.38₸
outcome without sales no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

M4A1-S | Cyrex (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New); SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New): float at most 0.006756 instead of 0.008445
Craft 3315742 · The Breakout Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 447 466.42₸ · invest 711 034.38₸
outcome without sales no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

M4A1-S | Cyrex (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New); SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New): float at most 0.006756 instead of 0.008445
Craft 3316573 · The eSports 2013 Winter Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 394 242.79₸ · invest 622 914.57₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

M4A4 | X-Ray (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New); SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New): float at most 0.005334 instead of 0.008445
Craft 3316574 · The Glove Collection + The eSports 2013 Winter Collection · profit 394 242.79₸ · invest 622 914.57₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

M4A4 | X-Ray (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New); SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New): float at most 0.005334 instead of 0.008445
Craft 3316503 · The Glove Collection + The Gamma Collection · profit 381 772.75₸ · invest 640 483.39₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

Glock-18 | Wasteland Rebel (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New); SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New): float at most 0.006963 instead of 0.008445
Craft 3316504 · The Gamma Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 381 772.75₸ · invest 640 483.39₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

Glock-18 | Wasteland Rebel (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New); SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New): float at most 0.006963 instead of 0.008445
Craft 3316563 · The Spectrum 2 Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 373 900.93₸ · invest 625 809.94₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

P250 | See Ya Later (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New); SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New): float at most 0.007628 instead of 0.008445
Craft 3316564 · The Glove Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 373 900.93₸ · invest 625 809.94₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

P250 | See Ya Later (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New); SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New): float at most 0.007628 instead of 0.008445
Craft 3315667 · The Glove Collection + The Arms Deal 3 Collection · profit 371 804.94₸ · invest 645 352.42₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

CZ75-Auto | Victoria (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New); SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New): float at most 0.007796 instead of 0.008445
Craft 3315668 · The Arms Deal 3 Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 371 804.94₸ · invest 645 352.42₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

CZ75-Auto | Victoria (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New); SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New): float at most 0.007796 instead of 0.008445
Craft 3315885 · The Glove Collection + The Chroma 2 Collection · profit 369 288.53₸ · invest 641 480.26₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

MAC-10 | Neon Rider (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New); SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New): float at most 0.006469 instead of 0.008445
Craft 3315886 · The Chroma 2 Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 369 288.53₸ · invest 641 480.26₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

MAC-10 | Neon Rider (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New); SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New): float at most 0.006469 instead of 0.008445
Craft 3316559 · The Shattered Web Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 369 272.96₸ · invest 604 401.42₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

MAC-10 | Stalker (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New)
Craft 3316560 · The Glove Collection + The Shattered Web Collection · profit 369 272.96₸ · invest 604 401.42₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

MAC-10 | Stalker (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New)
Craft 3316565 · The Spectrum Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 368 750.53₸ · invest 630 960.35₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

USP-S | Neo-Noir (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New); SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New): float at most 0.007628 instead of 0.008445
Craft 3316566 · The Glove Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 368 750.53₸ · invest 630 960.35₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

USP-S | Neo-Noir (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New); SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New): float at most 0.007628 instead of 0.008445
Craft 3316547 · The Prisma 2 Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 364 943.83₸ · invest 614 478.04₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

Glock-18 | Bullet Queen (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New)
Craft 3316548 · The Glove Collection + The Prisma 2 Collection · profit 364 943.83₸ · invest 614 478.04₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

Glock-18 | Bullet Queen (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New)
Craft 3316473 · The Glove Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection · profit 362 833.96₸ · invest 659 422.18₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

FAMAS | Roll Cage (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New)
Craft 3316474 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 362 833.96₸ · invest 659 422.18₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

FAMAS | Roll Cage (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New)

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dead Hand Collection + The Glove Collection

How to build i Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 46 outcomes

More

How to build