The Glove Collection + The Operation Broken Fang Collection

Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −488 097.40₸

Invest at least 1 791 412.56₸

Average return 1 303 315.10₸

ROI −27.2%

Chance of profit 17%

With float: invest at least 1 791 412.56 ₸, profit at most −488 097.40 ₸

float premium: at least 1 012 612 ₸

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

The gain is understated: 3 outcomes have no price, that is 7.5% of the chance

Sell on CSFloat / Market.CSGO: without them the profit is −686 316.06 ₸

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

0% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈1

×4

SSG 08 | Dragonfire

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0075

675 238.04 ₸

at 168 809.51

if this one runs out, you can take

M4A4 | Buzz Kill (Factory New) — 247 631.51 ₸ +78 822.01 ₸ per item · on the market 45 · buy 0.0000–0.0105

Steam

×1

Glock-18 | Neo-Noir

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0075

90 034.53 ₸

at 90 034.53

if this one runs out, you can take

M4A1-S | Printstream (Factory New) — 257 405.84 ₸ +167 371.32 ₸ per item · on the market 25 · buy 0.0000–0.0060

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 765 272.56 ₸ +538 042.54 (+70.3%)

The gain is understated: 3 outcomes have no price, that is 5.0% of the chance

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −104 955 ₸

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈1

×1

SSG 08 | Dragonfire

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0112

168 809.51 ₸

at 168 809.51

if this one runs out, you can take

M4A4 | Buzz Kill (Factory New) — 247 631.51 ₸ +78 822.01 ₸ per item · on the market 45 · buy 0.0000–0.0157

Steam

×4

Glock-18 | Neo-Noir

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0112

360 138.11 ₸

at 90 034.53

if this one runs out, you can take

M4A1-S | Printstream (Factory New) — 257 405.84 ₸ +167 371.32 ₸ per item · on the market 25 · buy 0.0000–0.0090

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 528 947.62 ₸ +15 903.34 (+3.0%)

The gain is understated: 3 outcomes have no price, that is 5.8% of the chance

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈1

×2

SSG 08 | Dragonfire

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0096

337 619.02 ₸

at 168 809.51

if this one runs out, you can take

M4A4 | Buzz Kill (Factory New) — 247 631.51 ₸ +78 822.01 ₸ per item · on the market 45 · buy 0.0000–0.0135

Steam

×3

Glock-18 | Neo-Noir

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0096

270 103.58 ₸

at 90 034.53

if this one runs out, you can take

M4A1-S | Printstream (Factory New) — 257 405.84 ₸ +167 371.32 ₸ per item · on the market 25 · buy 0.0000–0.0077

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 607 722.60 ₸ +189 949.74 (+31.3%)

The gain is understated: 3 outcomes have no price, that is 6.7% of the chance

0% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈1

×3

SSG 08 | Dragonfire

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0084

506 428.53 ₸

at 168 809.51

if this one runs out, you can take

M4A4 | Buzz Kill (Factory New) — 247 631.51 ₸ +78 822.01 ₸ per item · on the market 45 · buy 0.0000–0.0118

Steam

×2

Glock-18 | Neo-Noir

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0084

180 069.05 ₸

at 90 034.53

if this one runs out, you can take

M4A1-S | Printstream (Factory New) — 257 405.84 ₸ +167 371.32 ₸ per item · on the market 25 · buy 0.0000–0.0067

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 686 497.58 ₸ +363 996.14 (+53.0%)

What you get 48 outcomes

Profitable outcome 27%
Losing outcome 64%
About break-even 1%
Above the Steam cap 7%

Order

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Spruce DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

337 211.81 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Badlands

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

301 781.39 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Leather

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

383 356.70 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

519 252.49 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Moto Gloves | Eclipse

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

294 848.23 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Moto Gloves | Spearmint

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

2 453 317.27 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Moto Gloves | Boom!

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

343 751.01 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Moto Gloves | Cool Mint

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

973 636.93 ₸ 3.33%

sell on Market.CSGO

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Lunar Weave

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

513 170.94 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Convoy

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

234 077.97 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Crimson Weave

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

848 532.67 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Diamondback

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

371 525.98 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Specialist Gloves | Forest DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

220 447.38 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Emerald Web

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 934 884.10 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

★ Specialist Gloves | Crimson Kimono

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 3.33%

Steam

★ Specialist Gloves | Foundation

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 3.33%

Steam

in profit

best

★ Sport Gloves | Hedge Maze

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

13 189 393.86 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Superconductor

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

3 601 199.68 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Arid

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 485 494.86 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Pandora's Box

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

9 626 456.94 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Bloodhound Gloves | Charred

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

229 949.45 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Bloodhound Gloves | Guerrilla

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

137 630.41 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Bloodhound Gloves | Bronzed

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

188 614.65 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Bloodhound Gloves | Snakebite

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

157 693.41 ₸ 3.33%

sell on Market.CSGO

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Desert Shamagh

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

96 188.93 ₸ 0.83%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | CAUTION!

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

274 224.82 ₸ 0.83%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ Hand Wraps | Giraffe

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

68 353.08 ₸ 0.83%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Constrictor

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

103 095.87 ₸ 0.83%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Moto Gloves | Blood Pressure

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

321 344.18 ₸ 0.83%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Moto Gloves | Finish Line

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

104 492.45 ₸ 0.83%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Moto Gloves | 3rd Commando Company

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

88 677.69 ₸ 0.83%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Moto Gloves | Smoke Out

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

324 706.25 ₸ 0.83%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

about break-even

★ Driver Gloves | Snow Leopard

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

789 513.53 ₸ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Queen Jaguar

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

186 400.34 ₸ 0.83%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Rezan the Red

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

351 550.79 ₸ 0.83%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Black Tie

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

492 266.00 ₸ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Specialist Gloves | Field Agent

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

380 520.17 ₸ 0.83%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Specialist Gloves | Marble Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

675 224.96 ₸ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Specialist Gloves | Lt. Commander

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

226 663.59 ₸ 0.83%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Specialist Gloves | Tiger Strike

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

429 893.24 ₸ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Sport Gloves | Scarlet Shamagh

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

565 625.49 ₸ 0.83%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Sport Gloves | Big Game

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

292 597.45 ₸ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Nocts

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 170 389.91 ₸ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

★ Sport Gloves | Slingshot

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 0.83%

Steam

at a loss

★ Broken Fang Gloves | Needle Point

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

83 289.24 ₸ 0.83%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Broken Fang Gloves | Jade

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

267 617.52 ₸ 0.83%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Broken Fang Gloves | Yellow-banded

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

118 468.82 ₸ 0.83%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Broken Fang Gloves | Unhinged

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

159 976.31 ₸ 0.83%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Glove Collection + The Operation Broken Fang Collection

Variant 2 only The Glove Collection Variant 3 The Operation Hydra Collection instead of The Operation Broken Fang Collection Variant 4 The Chroma Collection instead of The Operation Broken Fang Collection Variant 5 The Falchion Collection instead of The Operation Broken Fang Collection Variant 6 The Breakout Collection instead of The Glove Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +530 341.05 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +536 969.00 ₸ historical median

5% of outcomes (by probability) have less than two weeks of price history, their price is taken as of today.

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Glove Collection and The Operation Broken Fang Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 9 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3316019 · The Glove Collection + The Chroma Collection · profit 540 693.93₸ · invest 742 758.72₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

AWP | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear) instead of Glock-18 | Neo-Noir (Factory New); SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New): float at most 0.004461 instead of 0.007507
Craft 3316020 · The Chroma Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 540 693.93₸ · invest 742 758.72₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

AWP | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear) instead of Glock-18 | Neo-Noir (Factory New); SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New): float at most 0.004461 instead of 0.007507
Craft 3316539 · The Operation Broken Fang Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 538 042.55₸ · invest 765 272.56₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist
Craft 3316335 · The Glove Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit 512 479.64₸ · invest 746 987.58₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

AWP | Hyper Beast (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Neo-Noir (Factory New)
Craft 3316336 · The Falchion Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 512 479.64₸ · invest 746 987.58₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

AWP | Hyper Beast (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Neo-Noir (Factory New)
Craft 3316575 · The eSports 2014 Summer Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 501 299.79₸ · invest 785 347.15₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

M4A4 | Bullet Rain (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Neo-Noir (Factory New); SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New): float at most 0.007021 instead of 0.007507
Craft 3316576 · The Glove Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 501 299.79₸ · invest 785 347.15₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

M4A4 | Bullet Rain (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Neo-Noir (Factory New); SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New): float at most 0.007021 instead of 0.007507
Craft 3316533 · The Horizon Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 496 182.23₸ · invest 772 241.87₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

Desert Eagle | Code Red (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Neo-Noir (Factory New)
Craft 3316534 · The Glove Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 496 182.23₸ · invest 772 241.87₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

Desert Eagle | Code Red (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Neo-Noir (Factory New)

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Glove Collection + The Operation Broken Fang Collection

How to build i Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 48 outcomes

More

How to build