The Recoil Collection + The Huntsman Collection

Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −180 246.61₸

Invest at least 430 941.66₸

Average return 250 695.05₸

ROI −41.8%

Chance of profit 17%

With float: invest at least 430 941.66 ₸, profit at most −180 246.61 ₸

float premium: at least 226 299 ₸

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −59 447 ₸

The gain is understated: 4 outcomes have no price, that is 7.9% of the chance

Sell on CSFloat: without them the profit is −60 277.67 ₸

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈2

×4

AWP | Chromatic Aberration

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0094

150 675.59 ₸

at 37 668.90

if this one runs out, you can take

USP-S | Printstream (Factory New) — 51 816.25 ₸ +14 147.35 ₸ per item · on the market 62 · buy 0.0000–0.0114

Steam

×1

M4A4 | Desert-Strike

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0094

34 534.21 ₸

at 34 534.21

if this one runs out, you can take

AK-47 | Vulcan (Factory New) — 360 122.43 ₸ +325 588.22 ₸ per item · on the market 20 · buy 0.0000–0.0121

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 185 209.80 ₸ +65 485.26 (+35.4%)

The gain is understated: 4 outcomes have no price, that is 11.7% of the chance

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −87 753 ₸

1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈2

×3

AWP | Chromatic Aberration

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0094

113 006.69 ₸

at 37 668.90

if this one runs out, you can take

USP-S | Printstream (Factory New) — 51 816.25 ₸ +14 147.35 ₸ per item · on the market 62 · buy 0.0000–0.0114

Steam

×2

M4A4 | Desert-Strike

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0094

69 068.43 ₸

at 34 534.21

if this one runs out, you can take

AK-47 | Vulcan (Factory New) — 360 122.43 ₸ +325 588.22 ₸ per item · on the market 20 · buy 0.0000–0.0121

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 182 075.12 ₸ +27 285.41 (+15.0%)

The gain is understated: 4 outcomes have no price, that is 15.5% of the chance

1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈2

×2

AWP | Chromatic Aberration

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0094

75 337.79 ₸

at 37 668.90

if this one runs out, you can take

USP-S | Printstream (Factory New) — 51 816.25 ₸ +14 147.35 ₸ per item · on the market 62 · buy 0.0000–0.0114

Steam

×3

M4A4 | Desert-Strike

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0094

103 602.64 ₸

at 34 534.21

if this one runs out, you can take

AK-47 | Vulcan (Factory New) — 360 122.43 ₸ +325 588.22 ₸ per item · on the market 20 · buy 0.0000–0.0121

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 178 940.43 ₸ −10 914.43 (−6.1%)

The gain is understated: 4 outcomes have no price, that is 19.3% of the chance

1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈2

×1

AWP | Chromatic Aberration

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0094

37 668.90 ₸

at 37 668.90

if this one runs out, you can take

USP-S | Printstream (Factory New) — 51 816.25 ₸ +14 147.35 ₸ per item · on the market 62 · buy 0.0000–0.0114

Steam

×4

M4A4 | Desert-Strike

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0094

138 136.86 ₸

at 34 534.21

if this one runs out, you can take

AK-47 | Vulcan (Factory New) — 360 122.43 ₸ +325 588.22 ₸ per item · on the market 20 · buy 0.0000–0.0121

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 175 805.75 ₸ −49 114.27 (−27.9%)

What you get 37 outcomes

Profitable outcome 48%
Losing outcome 44%
Above the Steam cap 8%

Order

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Desert Shamagh

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

96 188.93 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Hand Wraps | CAUTION!

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

274 224.82 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Giraffe

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

68 353.08 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Constrictor

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

103 095.87 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Moto Gloves | Blood Pressure

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

321 344.18 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Moto Gloves | Finish Line

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

104 492.45 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Moto Gloves | 3rd Commando Company

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

88 677.69 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Moto Gloves | Smoke Out

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

324 706.25 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Snow Leopard

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

789 513.53 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Queen Jaguar

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

186 400.34 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Rezan the Red

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

351 550.79 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Black Tie

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

492 266.00 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Field Agent

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

380 520.17 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Marble Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

675 224.96 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Lt. Commander

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

226 663.59 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Tiger Strike

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

429 893.24 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Scarlet Shamagh

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

565 625.49 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Big Game

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

292 597.45 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

best

★ Sport Gloves | Nocts

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 170 389.91 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

★ Sport Gloves | Slingshot

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 3.33%

Steam

at a loss

★ Broken Fang Gloves | Needle Point

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

83 289.24 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Broken Fang Gloves | Jade

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

267 617.52 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Broken Fang Gloves | Yellow-banded

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

118 468.82 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Broken Fang Gloves | Unhinged

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

159 976.31 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Huntsman Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

125 283.15 ₸ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Huntsman Knife | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.013378

131 200.88 ₸ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Huntsman Knife | Blue Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

146 213.26 ₸ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Huntsman Knife | Stained

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

130 484.82 ₸ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Huntsman Knife | Case Hardened

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

150 362.54 ₸ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Huntsman Knife | Forest DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

68 043.24 ₸ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ Huntsman Knife | Boreal Forest

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Huntsman Knife | Crimson Web

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

228 537.58 ₸ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Huntsman Knife | Night

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

190 315.94 ₸ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ Huntsman Knife | Scorched

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ Huntsman Knife | Safari Mesh

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

41 197.70 ₸ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ Huntsman Knife | Urban Masked

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Huntsman Knife

no wear

64 447.37 ₸ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Recoil Collection + The Huntsman Collection

Variant 2 The Glove Collection instead of The Recoil Collection Variant 3 The Glove Collection instead of The Huntsman Collection Variant 4 The Clutch Collection instead of The Huntsman Collection Variant 5 The Operation Hydra Collection instead of The Huntsman Collection Variant 6 The Operation Hydra Collection instead of The Recoil Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +51 615.79 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +63 615.19 ₸ historical median

8% of outcomes (by probability) have less than two weeks of price history, their price is taken as of today.

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Huntsman Collection and The Recoil Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 11 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3316863 · The eSports 2013 Winter Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 66 442.77₸ · invest 208 918.61₸
profit on prices without salesat least −57 020 ₸ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

M4A4 | X-Ray (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | Desert-Strike (Factory New); AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Factory New): float at most 0.007467 instead of 0.009459
Craft 3316864 · The Recoil Collection + The eSports 2013 Winter Collection · profit 66 442.77₸ · invest 208 918.61₸
profit on prices without salesat least −57 020 ₸ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

M4A4 | X-Ray (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | Desert-Strike (Factory New); AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Factory New): float at most 0.007467 instead of 0.009459
Craft 3316637 · The Huntsman Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 65 485.24₸ · invest 185 209.80₸
profit on prices without salesat least −59 447 ₸ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist
Craft 3316819 · The Recoil Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 64 646.11₸ · invest 191 847.51₸
profit on prices without salesat least −48 103 ₸ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

Five-SeveN | Angry Mob (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | Desert-Strike (Factory New)
Craft 3316820 · The Prisma Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 64 646.11₸ · invest 191 847.51₸
profit on prices without salesat least −48 103 ₸ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

Five-SeveN | Angry Mob (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | Desert-Strike (Factory New)
Craft 3316305 · The Recoil Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection · profit 62 852.74₸ · invest 197 711.83₸
profit on prices without salesat least −53 079 ₸ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

MP9 | Starlight Protector (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | Desert-Strike (Factory New); AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Factory New): float at most 0.009701 instead of 0.009459
Craft 3316306 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 62 852.74₸ · invest 197 711.83₸
profit on prices without salesat least −53 079 ₸ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

MP9 | Starlight Protector (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | Desert-Strike (Factory New); AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Factory New): float at most 0.009701 instead of 0.009459
Craft 3316667 · The Recoil Collection + The Kilowatt Collection · profit 60 817.19₸ · invest 183 435.87₸
profit on prices without salesat least −51 844 ₸ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

AWP | Chrome Cannon (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | Desert-Strike (Factory New); AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Factory New): float at most 0.010063 instead of 0.009459
Craft 3316669 · The Kilowatt Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 60 817.19₸ · invest 183 435.87₸
profit on prices without salesat least −51 844 ₸ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

AWP | Chrome Cannon (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | Desert-Strike (Factory New); AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Factory New): float at most 0.010063 instead of 0.009459
Craft 3316513 · The Recoil Collection + The Gamma Collection · profit 60 207.74₸ · invest 217 703.01₸
profit on prices without salesat least −70 520 ₸ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

Glock-18 | Wasteland Rebel (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | Desert-Strike (Factory New); AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Factory New): float at most 0.008930 instead of 0.009459
Craft 3316514 · The Gamma Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 60 207.74₸ · invest 217 703.01₸
profit on prices without salesat least −70 520 ₸ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

Glock-18 | Wasteland Rebel (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | Desert-Strike (Factory New); AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Factory New): float at most 0.008930 instead of 0.009459

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Recoil Collection + The Huntsman Collection

How to build i Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 37 outcomes

More

How to build