The Wildfire Collection + The Revolution Collection

Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −404.22$

Invest at least 1 096.51$

Average return 692.28$

ROI −36.9%

Chance of profit 17%

With float: invest at least 1 096.51 $, profit at most −404.22 $

float premium: at least 598 $

To build: medium

A more profitable set was dropped: +205.80 $ по средним

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −4 $

The gain is understated: 3 outcomes have no price, that is 4.6% of the chance

Sell on CSFloat: without them the profit is −279.44 $

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

≈2% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈2

×1

M4A4 | The Battlestar

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0161

89.23 $

at 89.23

if this one runs out, you can take

AK-47 | Fuel Injector (Factory New) — 514.96 $ +425.73 $ per item · on the market 17 · buy 0.0000–0.0253

Steam

×1

AK-47 | Head Shot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0088

99.31 $

at 99.31

if this one runs out, you can take

M4A4 | Temukau (Factory New) — 101.66 $ +2.35 $ per item · on the market 122 · buy 0.0000–0.0071

Steam

×3

M4A4 | Temukau

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0088

304.98 $

at 101.66

if this one runs out, you can take

AK-47 | Head Shot (Factory New) — 99.31 $ cheaper by 2.35 $ · on the market 63 · buy 0.0000–0.0111

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 493.52 $ +198.76 (+40.3%)

The gain is understated: 3 outcomes have no price, that is 9.2% of the chance

≈2% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈2

×1

M4A4 | The Battlestar

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0161

89.23 $

at 89.23

if this one runs out, you can take

AK-47 | Fuel Injector (Factory New) — 514.96 $ +425.73 $ per item · on the market 17 · buy 0.0000–0.0253

Steam

×1

AK-47 | Fuel Injector

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0111

514.96 $

at 514.96

if this one runs out, you can take

M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New) — 89.23 $ cheaper by 425.73 $ · on the market 39 · buy 0.0000–0.0071

Steam

×1

AK-47 | Head Shot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0088

99.31 $

at 99.31

if this one runs out, you can take

M4A4 | Temukau (Factory New) — 101.66 $ +2.35 $ per item · on the market 122 · buy 0.0000–0.0071

Steam

×2

M4A4 | Temukau

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0088

203.32 $

at 101.66

if this one runs out, you can take

AK-47 | Head Shot (Factory New) — 99.31 $ cheaper by 2.35 $ · on the market 63 · buy 0.0000–0.0110

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 906.82 $ −356.85 (−39.4%)

What you get 37 outcomes

Profitable outcome 37%
Losing outcome 59%
Above the Steam cap 5%

Order

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Duct Tape

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

262.31 $ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Hand Wraps | Cobalt Skulls

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 042.10 $ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Overprint

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

371.63 $ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Arboreal

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

169.79 $ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Moto Gloves | Turtle

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

367.73 $ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Moto Gloves | POW!

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

741.96 $ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Moto Gloves | Polygon

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

601.28 $ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Moto Gloves | Transport

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

276.03 $ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Imperial Plaid

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 117.77 $ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | King Snake

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

2 011.01 $ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Overtake

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

302.52 $ 3.33%

rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Racing Green

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

145.25 $ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 585.86 $ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Specialist Gloves | Buckshot

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

182.94 $ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Crimson Web

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

933.06 $ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Mogul

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

631.65 $ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Omega

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 241.75 $ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

best

★ Sport Gloves | Vice

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

5 850.00 $ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Amphibious

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 975.00 $ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Sport Gloves | Bronze Morph

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

490.30 $ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Hydra Gloves | Emerald

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

199.77 $ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Hydra Gloves | Case Hardened

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

414.16 $ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Hydra Gloves | Mangrove

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

102.06 $ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Hydra Gloves | Rattler

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

159.64 $ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

227.88 $ 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.013378

258.96 $ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Blue Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

284.43 $ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Stained

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

181.26 $ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Case Hardened

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

274.36 $ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ Bowie Knife | Forest DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Boreal Forest

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

154.56 $ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ Bowie Knife | Crimson Web

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Night

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

131.00 $ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ Bowie Knife | Scorched

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

82.43 $ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ Bowie Knife | Safari Mesh

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Urban Masked

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

154.08 $ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife

no wear

90.74 $ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

float markup by input how many times more the lots with the needed float cost

M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New) × 1 23% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 89.23 → 192.74 $

AK-47 | Head Shot (Factory New) × 1 13% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 99.31 → 214.51 $

M4A4 | Temukau (Factory New) × 3 13% of the wear range fits at least ×2.26 304.98 → 689.25 $

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Average float of the set

average normalized 0.013513414

outcomes come out up to 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.001081, 0.013378, 0.013513, 0.013513, 0.013513, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.000000

How to read float

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

I already have items

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Wildfire Collection + The Revolution Collection

Variant 2 The Glove Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 3 The Glove Collection instead of The Revolution Collection Variant 4 The Operation Hydra Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 5 The Clutch Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 6 The Dead Hand Collection instead of The Revolution Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +164.18 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +193.94 $ historical median

2% of outcomes (by probability) have less than two weeks of price history, their price is taken as of today.

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Revolution Collection and The Wildfire Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 7 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3315907 · The Revolution Collection + The Chroma 2 Collection · profit 199.00$ · invest 554.30$
profit on prices without salesat least −32 $ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

MAC-10 | Neon Rider (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); AK-47 | Head Shot (Factory New): float at most 0.008459 instead of 0.008897; M4A4 | Temukau (Factory New): float at most 0.008459 instead of 0.008897
Craft 3315908 · The Chroma 2 Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 199.00$ · invest 554.30$
profit on prices without salesat least −32 $ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

MAC-10 | Neon Rider (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); AK-47 | Head Shot (Factory New): float at most 0.008459 instead of 0.008897; M4A4 | Temukau (Factory New): float at most 0.008459 instead of 0.008897
Craft 3316884 · The Revolution Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 198.76$ · invest 493.52$
profit on prices without salesat least −4 $ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist
Craft 3316801 · The Revolution Collection + The Prisma 2 Collection · profit 194.17$ · invest 524.30$
marketplace price sells slowly цена ненадёжна rare inputs pricier variants exist

Glock-18 | Bullet Queen (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); AK-47 | Head Shot (Factory New): float at most 0.011750 instead of 0.008897; M4A4 | Temukau (Factory New): float at most 0.011750 instead of 0.008897
Craft 3316802 · The Prisma 2 Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 194.17$ · invest 524.30$
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

Glock-18 | Bullet Queen (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); AK-47 | Head Shot (Factory New): float at most 0.011750 instead of 0.008897; M4A4 | Temukau (Factory New): float at most 0.011750 instead of 0.008897
Craft 3316697 · The Revolution Collection + The Operation Broken Fang Collection · profit 193.12$ · invest 604.30$
profit on prices without salesat least −47 $ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

Glock-18 | Neo-Noir (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); AK-47 | Head Shot (Factory New): float at most 0.009611 instead of 0.008897; M4A4 | Temukau (Factory New): float at most 0.009611 instead of 0.008897
Craft 3316698 · The Operation Broken Fang Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 193.12$ · invest 604.30$
profit on prices without salesat least −47 $ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

Glock-18 | Neo-Noir (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); AK-47 | Head Shot (Factory New): float at most 0.009611 instead of 0.008897; M4A4 | Temukau (Factory New): float at most 0.009611 instead of 0.008897

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Wildfire Collection + The Revolution Collection

How to build i Ways to build 2 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 37 outcomes

More

How to build