The Wildfire Collection + The Revolution Collection

Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −181 960.76₸

Invest at least 493 591.98₸

Average return 311 631.22₸

ROI −36.9%

Chance of profit 17%

With float: invest at least 493 591.98 ₸, profit at most −181 960.76 ₸

float premium: at least 269 016 ₸

To build: medium

A more profitable set was dropped: +92 641.19 ₸ по средним

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −1 578 ₸

The gain is understated: 3 outcomes have no price, that is 4.6% of the chance

Sell on CSFloat: without them the profit is −125 789.53 ₸

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

≈2% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈2

×1

M4A4 | The Battlestar

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0161

40 168.10 ₸

at 40 168.10

if this one runs out, you can take

AK-47 | Fuel Injector (Factory New) — 231 808.59 ₸ +191 640.49 ₸ per item · on the market 17 · buy 0.0000–0.0253

Steam

×1

AK-47 | Head Shot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0088

44 705.48 ₸

at 44 705.48

if this one runs out, you can take

M4A4 | Temukau (Factory New) — 45 761.80 ₸ +1 056.32 ₸ per item · on the market 122 · buy 0.0000–0.0071

Steam

×3

M4A4 | Temukau

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0088

137 285.41 ₸

at 45 761.80

if this one runs out, you can take

AK-47 | Head Shot (Factory New) — 44 705.48 ₸ cheaper by 1 056.32 ₸ · on the market 63 · buy 0.0000–0.0111

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 222 158.99 ₸ +89 472.23 (+40.3%)

The gain is understated: 3 outcomes have no price, that is 9.2% of the chance

≈2% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈2

×1

M4A4 | The Battlestar

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0161

40 168.10 ₸

at 40 168.10

if this one runs out, you can take

AK-47 | Fuel Injector (Factory New) — 231 808.59 ₸ +191 640.49 ₸ per item · on the market 17 · buy 0.0000–0.0253

Steam

×1

AK-47 | Fuel Injector

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0111

231 808.59 ₸

at 231 808.59

if this one runs out, you can take

M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New) — 40 168.10 ₸ cheaper by 191 640.49 ₸ · on the market 39 · buy 0.0000–0.0071

Steam

×1

AK-47 | Head Shot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0088

44 705.48 ₸

at 44 705.48

if this one runs out, you can take

M4A4 | Temukau (Factory New) — 45 761.80 ₸ +1 056.32 ₸ per item · on the market 122 · buy 0.0000–0.0071

Steam

×2

M4A4 | Temukau

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0088

91 523.61 ₸

at 45 761.80

if this one runs out, you can take

AK-47 | Head Shot (Factory New) — 44 705.48 ₸ cheaper by 1 056.32 ₸ · on the market 63 · buy 0.0000–0.0110

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 408 205.78 ₸ −160 633.87 (−39.4%)

What you get 37 outcomes

Profitable outcome 37%
Losing outcome 59%
Above the Steam cap 5%

Order

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Duct Tape

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

118 077.78 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Hand Wraps | Cobalt Skulls

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

469 101.27 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Overprint

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

167 289.52 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Arboreal

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

76 433.13 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Moto Gloves | Turtle

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

165 532.32 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Moto Gloves | POW!

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

333 995.00 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Moto Gloves | Polygon

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

270 664.72 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Moto Gloves | Transport

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

124 253.37 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Imperial Plaid

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

503 163.65 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | King Snake

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

905 256.09 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Overtake

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

136 177.93 ₸ 3.33%

rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Racing Green

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

65 382.05 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

713 874.84 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Specialist Gloves | Buckshot

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

82 349.71 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Crimson Web

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

420 016.91 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Mogul

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

284 336.32 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Omega

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

558 973.70 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

best

★ Sport Gloves | Vice

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

2 633 377.27 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Amphibious

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

889 046.16 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Sport Gloves | Bronze Morph

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

220 706.40 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Hydra Gloves | Emerald

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

89 927.01 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Hydra Gloves | Case Hardened

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

186 435.89 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Hydra Gloves | Mangrove

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

45 941.12 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Hydra Gloves | Rattler

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

71 861.69 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

102 580.32 ₸ 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.013378

116 572.37 ₸ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Blue Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

128 036.95 ₸ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Stained

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

81 593.03 ₸ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Case Hardened

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

123 501.72 ₸ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ Bowie Knife | Forest DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Boreal Forest

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

69 577.02 ₸ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ Bowie Knife | Crimson Web

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Night

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

58 967.80 ₸ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ Bowie Knife | Scorched

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

37 104.34 ₸ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ Bowie Knife | Safari Mesh

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Urban Masked

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

69 358.63 ₸ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife

no wear

40 848.62 ₸ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

float markup by input how many times more the lots with the needed float cost

M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New) × 1 23% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 40 168.10 → 86 763.09 ₸

AK-47 | Head Shot (Factory New) × 1 13% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 44 705.48 → 96 563.85 ₸

M4A4 | Temukau (Factory New) × 3 13% of the wear range fits at least ×2.26 137 285.41 → 310 265.03 ₸

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Average float of the set

average normalized 0.013513414

outcomes come out up to 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.001081, 0.013378, 0.013513, 0.013513, 0.013513, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.000000

How to read float

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

I already have items

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Wildfire Collection + The Revolution Collection

Variant 2 The Glove Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 3 The Glove Collection instead of The Revolution Collection Variant 4 The Operation Hydra Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 5 The Clutch Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 6 The Dead Hand Collection instead of The Revolution Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +73 903.80 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +87 303.19 ₸ historical median

2% of outcomes (by probability) have less than two weeks of price history, their price is taken as of today.

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Revolution Collection and The Wildfire Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 7 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3315907 · The Revolution Collection + The Chroma 2 Collection · profit 89 579.11₸ · invest 249 516.76₸
profit on prices without salesat least −14 409 ₸ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

MAC-10 | Neon Rider (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); AK-47 | Head Shot (Factory New): float at most 0.008459 instead of 0.008897; M4A4 | Temukau (Factory New): float at most 0.008459 instead of 0.008897
Craft 3315908 · The Chroma 2 Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 89 579.11₸ · invest 249 516.76₸
profit on prices without salesat least −14 409 ₸ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

MAC-10 | Neon Rider (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); AK-47 | Head Shot (Factory New): float at most 0.008459 instead of 0.008897; M4A4 | Temukau (Factory New): float at most 0.008459 instead of 0.008897
Craft 3316884 · The Revolution Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 89 472.24₸ · invest 222 158.99₸
profit on prices without salesat least −1 578 ₸ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist
Craft 3316801 · The Revolution Collection + The Prisma 2 Collection · profit 87 406.76₸ · invest 236 015.65₸
marketplace price sells slowly цена ненадёжна rare inputs pricier variants exist

Glock-18 | Bullet Queen (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); AK-47 | Head Shot (Factory New): float at most 0.011750 instead of 0.008897; M4A4 | Temukau (Factory New): float at most 0.011750 instead of 0.008897
Craft 3316802 · The Prisma 2 Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 87 406.76₸ · invest 236 015.65₸
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

Glock-18 | Bullet Queen (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); AK-47 | Head Shot (Factory New): float at most 0.011750 instead of 0.008897; M4A4 | Temukau (Factory New): float at most 0.011750 instead of 0.008897
Craft 3316697 · The Revolution Collection + The Operation Broken Fang Collection · profit 86 932.91₸ · invest 272 025.42₸
profit on prices without salesat least −21 376 ₸ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

Glock-18 | Neo-Noir (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); AK-47 | Head Shot (Factory New): float at most 0.009611 instead of 0.008897; M4A4 | Temukau (Factory New): float at most 0.009611 instead of 0.008897
Craft 3316698 · The Operation Broken Fang Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 86 932.91₸ · invest 272 025.42₸
profit on prices without salesat least −21 376 ₸ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

Glock-18 | Neo-Noir (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); AK-47 | Head Shot (Factory New): float at most 0.009611 instead of 0.008897; M4A4 | Temukau (Factory New): float at most 0.009611 instead of 0.008897

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Wildfire Collection + The Revolution Collection

How to build i Ways to build 2 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 37 outcomes

More

How to build