StatTrak™
Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5About the craftCraft 3318493 · ways to build: 4StatTrak™ craft. Inputs and outcome are StatTrak: a normal item won't do here, and the outcome sells at the StatTrak price, which differs from the price of the normal item.A contract of five Covert. The outcome is a knife or gloves from the inputs' collection, and it has many outcomes: the chance of a particular item is therefore small, and what counts is the average over all outcomes.The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
How to build
Ways to build
4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.
!
100% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈10≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (by listings)
×1
StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast
Well-Worn
any lot
68.08 $
at 68.08
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge (Battle-Scarred) — 72.45 $+4.37 $ per item · on the market 10 · buy0.4500–1.0000
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsf′ (normalized) 0.450000wear 0.3800–0.4500on the market 14 · good ≈ 14Lis-Skins: suitable 90 of 90 · from 53.16 $ (float 0.3921) · craft not before 30.10 · data 23.10 13:22 MSK
×3
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge
Battle-Scarred
any lot
217.35 $
at 72.45
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Well-Worn) — 68.08 $cheaper by 4.37 $ · on the market 14 · buy0.3800–0.4500
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsf′ (normalized) 1.000000wear 0.4500–1.0000on the market 10 · good ≈ 10Lis-Skins: suitable 82 of 82 · from 59.42 $ (float 0.8744) · craft not before 30.10 · data 23.10 13:22 MSK
×1
StatTrak™ P90 | Asiimov
Battle-Scarred
any lot
207.00 $
at 207.00
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Cyrex (Field-Tested) — 208.24 $+1.23 $ per item · on the market 21 · buy0.1500–0.3800
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsf′ (normalized) 1.000000wear 0.4500–0.9200on the market 7 · good ≈ 7Lis-Skins: suitable 23 of 23 · from 167.29 $ (float 0.5602) · craft not before 30.10 · data 23.10 13:22 MSK
Set · 5 pcs492.43 $
−310.12
(−63.0%)
!
The gain is understated:2 outcomes have no price, that is 7.7% of the chance
They have no price on Steam: they are above its cap. They count as zero in the calculation, so the profit shown is a lower bound, and noticeably so.
!
100% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈10≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (by listings)
×1
StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast
Well-Worn
any lot
68.08 $
at 68.08
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge (Battle-Scarred) — 72.45 $+4.37 $ per item · on the market 10 · buy0.4500–1.0000
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsf′ (normalized) 0.450000wear 0.3800–0.4500on the market 14 · good ≈ 14Lis-Skins: suitable 90 of 90 · from 53.16 $ (float 0.3921) · craft not before 30.10 · data 23.10 13:22 MSK
×2
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge
Battle-Scarred
any lot
144.90 $
at 72.45
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Well-Worn) — 68.08 $cheaper by 4.37 $ · on the market 14 · buy0.3800–0.4500
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsf′ (normalized) 1.000000wear 0.4500–1.0000on the market 10 · good ≈ 10Lis-Skins: suitable 82 of 82 · from 59.42 $ (float 0.8744) · craft not before 30.10 · data 23.10 13:22 MSK
×2
StatTrak™ P90 | Asiimov
Battle-Scarred
any lot
414.00 $
at 207.00
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Cyrex (Field-Tested) — 208.24 $+1.23 $ per item · on the market 21 · buy0.1500–0.3800
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsf′ (normalized) 1.000000wear 0.4500–0.9200on the market 7 · good ≈ 7Lis-Skins: suitable 23 of 23 · from 167.29 $ (float 0.5602) · craft not before 30.10 · data 23.10 13:22 MSK
Set · 5 pcs626.98 $
−354.12
(−56.5%)
!
The gain is understated:2 outcomes have no price, that is 7.7% of the chance
They have no price on Steam: they are above its cap. They count as zero in the calculation, so the profit shown is a lower bound, and noticeably so.
!
100% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈7≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (by listings)
×1
StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast
Well-Worn
any lot
68.08 $
at 68.08
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge (Battle-Scarred) — 72.45 $+4.37 $ per item · on the market 10 · buy0.4500–1.0000
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsf′ (normalized) 0.450000wear 0.3800–0.4500on the market 14 · good ≈ 14Lis-Skins: suitable 90 of 90 · from 53.16 $ (float 0.3921) · craft not before 30.10 · data 23.10 13:22 MSK
×1
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge
Battle-Scarred
any lot
72.45 $
at 72.45
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Well-Worn) — 68.08 $cheaper by 4.37 $ · on the market 14 · buy0.3800–0.4500
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsf′ (normalized) 1.000000wear 0.4500–1.0000on the market 10 · good ≈ 10Lis-Skins: suitable 82 of 82 · from 59.42 $ (float 0.8744) · craft not before 30.10 · data 23.10 13:22 MSK
×3
StatTrak™ P90 | Asiimov
Battle-Scarred
any lot
621.01 $
at 207.00
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Cyrex (Field-Tested) — 208.24 $+1.23 $ per item · on the market 21 · buy0.1500–0.3800
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsf′ (normalized) 1.000000wear 0.4500–0.9200on the market 7 · good ≈ 7Lis-Skins: suitable 23 of 23 · from 167.29 $ (float 0.5602) · craft not before 30.10 · data 23.10 13:22 MSK
Set · 5 pcs761.53 $
−398.12
(−52.3%)
!
The gain is understated:2 outcomes have no price, that is 7.7% of the chance
They have no price on Steam: they are above its cap. They count as zero in the calculation, so the profit shown is a lower bound, and noticeably so.
!
100% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈7≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (by listings)
×1
StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast
Well-Worn
any lot
68.08 $
at 68.08
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge (Battle-Scarred) — 72.45 $+4.37 $ per item · on the market 10 · buy0.4500–1.0000
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsf′ (normalized) 0.450000wear 0.3800–0.4500on the market 14 · good ≈ 14Lis-Skins: suitable 90 of 90 · from 53.16 $ (float 0.3921) · craft not before 30.10 · data 23.10 13:22 MSK
×4
StatTrak™ P90 | Asiimov
Battle-Scarred
any lot
828.01 $
at 207.00
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Cyrex (Field-Tested) — 208.24 $+1.23 $ per item · on the market 21 · buy0.1500–0.3800
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsf′ (normalized) 1.000000wear 0.4500–0.9200on the market 7 · good ≈ 7Lis-Skins: suitable 23 of 23 · from 167.29 $ (float 0.5602) · craft not before 30.10 · data 23.10 13:22 MSK
Steam★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Fade (Minimal Wear)sell now to a buy order: 315.46 $
(you get 274.31 $)) · buy orders: 60Market.CSGO: 1 listings, too few, no priceCSFloat: 1 listings, too few, no priceLis-Skins: 1 listings, too few, no price
rarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 223.25 $sell now to a buy order: 223.41 $
(you get 194.27 $)) · buy orders: 113
sell on Market.CSGO: 228.50 $ to your card
cheapest lot 250.55 · lots 4CSFloat: 1 listings, too few, no price
on Lis-Skins: from 241.13 $listings: 5
Steam★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Blue Steel (Battle-Scarred)net 114.74 $
by lot · 0 sales per day
BS costs more than MW: 146.09 $ versus 131.95 $ — calculated at the price of MWrarely sells: 3 a month — calculated at the buy order 146.09 $sell now to a buy order: 144.85 $
(you get 125.96 $)) · buy orders: 97
sell on Market.CSGO: 154.51 $ to your card
cheapest lot 169.42 · lots 7
on CSFloat: from 144.79 $listings: 5
on Lis-Skins: from 149.68 $listings: 6
BS costs more than WW: 115.21 $ versus 88.44 $ — calculated at the price of WWrarely sells: 2 a month — calculated at the buy order 115.21 $sell now to a buy order: 115.23 $
(you get 100.20 $)) · buy orders: 81
sell on Market.CSGO: 103.17 $ to your card
cheapest lot 113.13 · lots 5CSFloat: 2 listings, too few, no price
Steam★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Case Hardened (Battle-Scarred)net 141.18 $
by lot · 0 sales per day
rarely sells: 2 a month — calculated at the buy order 162.36 $sell now to a buy order: 161.53 $
(you get 140.46 $)) · buy orders: 104
sell on Market.CSGO: 173.31 $ to your card
cheapest lot 190.03 · lots 3
on CSFloat: from 180.00 $listings: 8Lis-Skins: 1 listings, too few, no price
rarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 59.78 $sell now to a buy order: 59.32 $
(you get 51.58 $)) · buy orders: 102
sell on Market.CSGO: 76.51 $ to your card
cheapest lot 83.89 · lots 6CSFloat: 2 listings, too few, no priceLis-Skins: 1 listings, too few, no price
BS costs more than FT: 91.91 $ versus 76.81 $ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 91.91 $sell now to a buy order: 91.94 $
(you get 79.95 $)) · buy orders: 124Market.CSGO: 1 listings, too few, no price
on CSFloat: from 75.69 $listings: 5
on Lis-Skins: from 78.17 $listings: 3
Steam★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Crimson Web (Battle-Scarred)net 131.21 $
by lot · 0 sales per day
BS costs more than FT: 170.13 $ versus 150.89 $ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 2 a month — calculated at the buy order 170.13 $sell now to a buy order: 169.28 $
(you get 147.20 $)) · buy orders: 60not listed on Market.CSGO right nowCSFloat: 1 listings, too few, no priceLis-Skins: 2 listings, too few, no price
Steam★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Night (Battle-Scarred)net 98.04 $no price on Steam, listing on Market.CSGO from 103.20 $listings 4 · you get 98.04 $ (5.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternBS costs more than MW: 156.21 $ versus 103.20 $ — calculated at the price of MWsell now to a buy order: 146.50 $
(you get 127.39 $)) · buy orders: 77
sell on Market.CSGO: 142.46 $ to your card
cheapest lot 156.21 · lots 4CSFloat: 2 listings, too few, no priceLis-Skins: 1 listings, too few, no price
Steam★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Scorched (Battle-Scarred)net 56.44 $sells 3 a weekrarely sells: 4 a month — calculated at the buy order 64.91 $sell now to a buy order: 64.79 $
(you get 56.34 $)) · buy orders: 83not listed on Market.CSGO right nowCSFloat: 1 listings, too few, no priceLis-Skins: 1 listings, too few, no price
rarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 73.53 $sell now to a buy order: 73.55 $
(you get 63.95 $)) · buy orders: 100
sell on Market.CSGO: 88.17 $ to your card
cheapest lot 96.68 · lots 4
on CSFloat: from 78.59 $listings: 3Lis-Skins: 2 listings, too few, no price
rarely sells: 2 a month — calculated at the buy order 79.37 $sell now to a buy order: 78.99 $
(you get 68.68 $)) · buy orders: 48Market.CSGO: 2 listings, too few, no priceCSFloat: 2 listings, too few, no price
rarely sells: 5 a month — calculated at the buy order 147.73 $sell now to a buy order: 146.97 $
(you get 127.80 $)) · buy orders: 261
sell on Market.CSGO: 156.60 $ to your card
cheapest lot 171.71 · lots 4
on CSFloat: from 132.04 $listings: 6
on CS.Money: ~ 148.48 $
on Lis-Skins: from 144.91 $listings: 25
Steam★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Fade (Minimal Wear)The Breakout Collectionsell now to a buy order: 1 999.93 $
(you get 1 739.07 $)) · buy orders: 144not listed on Market.CSGO right nowCSFloat: 2 listings, too few, no priceLis-Skins: 1 listings, too few, no price
rarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 1 400.28 $sell now to a buy order: 1 393.23 $
(you get 1 211.51 $)) · buy orders: 331
sell on Market.CSGO: 1 179.58 $ to your card
cheapest lot 1 293.40 · lots 5
on CSFloat: from 1 238.94 $listings: 5
on CS.Money: ~ 1 172.48 $
on Lis-Skins: from 1 355.66 $listings: 9
Steam★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Blue Steel (Battle-Scarred)net 698.60 $The Breakout Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 712.86 $listings 10 · you get 698.60 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 695.78 $
(you get 605.03 $)) · buy orders: 154Market.CSGO: 2 listings, too few, no price
on CSFloat: from 712.86 $listings: 10
on Lis-Skins: from 741.49 $listings: 7
BS costs more than FT: 669.86 $ versus 643.70 $ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 3 a month — calculated at the buy order 669.86 $sell now to a buy order: 666.48 $
(you get 579.54 $)) · buy orders: 246
sell on Market.CSGO: 532.83 $ to your card
cheapest lot 584.25 · lots 12
on CSFloat: from 500.00 $listings: 6
on CS.Money: ~ 587.76 $
on Lis-Skins: from 523.88 $listings: 17
BS costs more than FT: 931.58 $ versus 860.58 $ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 931.58 $sell now to a buy order: 931.78 $
(you get 810.24 $)) · buy orders: 360
sell on Market.CSGO: 844.84 $ to your card
cheapest lot 926.36 · lots 3
on CSFloat: from 763.24 $listings: 13
on Lis-Skins: from 836.28 $listings: 8
rarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 403.08 $sell now to a buy order: 401.06 $
(you get 348.75 $)) · buy orders: 357Market.CSGO: 1 listings, too few, no priceCSFloat: 1 listings, too few, no price
on Lis-Skins: from 464.24 $listings: 8
rarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 362.86 $sell now to a buy order: 396.17 $
(you get 344.49 $)) · buy orders: 133Market.CSGO: 1 listings, too few, no priceCSFloat: 1 listings, too few, no price
on CS.Money: ~ 455.01 $
on Lis-Skins: from 483.43 $listings: 4
Steam★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Crimson Web (Battle-Scarred)net 574.28 $The Breakout Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 586.00 $listings 5 · you get 574.28 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternBS costs more than WW: 634.58 $ versus 586.00 $ — calculated at the price of WWsell now to a buy order: 661.50 $
(you get 575.22 $)) · buy orders: 149
sell on Market.CSGO: 825.41 $ to your card
cheapest lot 905.06 · lots 3
on CSFloat: from 634.58 $listings: 5
on CS.Money: ~ 576.21 $
on Lis-Skins: from 630.56 $listings: 14
rarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 473.85 $sell now to a buy order: 470.16 $
(you get 408.84 $)) · buy orders: 141
sell on Market.CSGO: 520.96 $ to your card
cheapest lot 571.23 · lots 5
on CSFloat: from 470.00 $listings: 5
on CS.Money: ~ 483.45 $
on Lis-Skins: from 509.52 $listings: 11
Steam★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Scorched (Battle-Scarred)net 412.32 $The Breakout Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 420.73 $listings 3 · you get 412.32 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 432.12 $
(you get 375.76 $)) · buy orders: 162
sell on Market.CSGO: 569.45 $ to your card
cheapest lot 624.40 · lots 3
on CSFloat: from 420.73 $listings: 3
on CS.Money: ~ 456.88 $
on Lis-Skins: from 462.45 $listings: 9
BS costs more than FT: 592.53 $ versus 519.59 $ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 592.53 $sell now to a buy order: 592.64 $
(you get 515.34 $)) · buy orders: 169Market.CSGO: 2 listings, too few, no price
on CSFloat: from 408.00 $listings: 3
on Lis-Skins: from 428.97 $listings: 12
rarely sells: 2 a month — calculated at the buy order 406.81 $sell now to a buy order: 406.12 $
(you get 353.15 $)) · buy orders: 228
sell on Market.CSGO: 473.13 $ to your card
cheapest lot 518.79 · lots 5CSFloat: 2 listings, too few, no price
on CS.Money: ~ 458.68 $
on Lis-Skins: from 444.74 $listings: 13
Steam★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knifenet 984.11 $The Breakout Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 1 004.19 $listings 19 · you get 984.11 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 1 402.02 $
(you get 1 219.14 $)) · buy orders: 565
sell on Market.CSGO: 1 062.16 $ to your card
cheapest lot 1 164.64 · lots 6
on CSFloat: from 1 004.19 $listings: 19
on CS.Money: ~ 1 180.34 $
on Lis-Skins: from 1 001.97 $listings: 35
float markup by input
how many times more the lots with the needed float cost
StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Well-Worn) × 1100% of the wear range fits×1.0168.08 → 68.59 $
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge (Battle-Scarred) × 3100% of the wear range fits×1.10217.35 → 238.46 $
StatTrak™ P90 | Asiimov (Battle-Scarred) × 1100% of the wear range fits×1.00207.00 → 208.04 $
The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.
Average float of the set
average normalized 0.890000000
outcomes come out up to 0.071200, 0.232500, 0.890000, 0.890000, 0.890000, 0.718600, 0.718600, 0.718600, 0.718600, 0.718600, 0.718600, 0.718600, 0.000000, 0.071200, 0.232500, 0.890000, 0.890000, 0.890000, 0.718600, 0.718600, 0.718600, 0.718600, 0.718600, 0.718600, 0.718600, 0.000000
How to read float
«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.
f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.
In a week, when the outcome can be sold
from outcome price history
In a bad week−329.35 $a worse week happens one time in ten
In a typical week−312.49 $historical median
If you repeat
10 000 simulations over the outcome odds
I already have items
Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy
Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Breakout Collection and The Falchion Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.
Third collection
Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable
All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.
Similar
5 crafts almost like this one
One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.
Craft 3319713
· The Falchion Collection + The Chroma Collection · profit −294.25$
· invest 430.44$
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
StatTrak™ Galil AR | Chatterbox (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ P90 | Asiimov (Battle-Scarred)
Craft 3319720
· The Chroma Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit −294.25$
· invest 430.44$
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
StatTrak™ Galil AR | Chatterbox (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ P90 | Asiimov (Battle-Scarred)
Craft 3320607
· The Shadow Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit −308.98$
· invest 394.28$
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Golden Coil (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ P90 | Asiimov (Battle-Scarred)
Craft 3320613
· The Falchion Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit −308.98$
· invest 394.28$
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Golden Coil (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ P90 | Asiimov (Battle-Scarred)
Craft 3318497
· The Breakout Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit −310.12$
· invest 492.43$
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
How to read these numbers
Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.
The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.
Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.