StatTrak™
Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5About the craftCraft 3318928 · ways to build: 4StatTrak™ craft. Inputs and outcome are StatTrak: a normal item won't do here, and the outcome sells at the StatTrak price, which differs from the price of the normal item.A contract of five Covert. The outcome is a knife or gloves from the inputs' collection, and it has many outcomes: the chance of a particular item is therefore small, and what counts is the average over all outcomes.The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
How to build
Ways to build
4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.
!
Share of fitting lots unknown:not enough for a contract: 4 items needed, market lots unknown≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)
×4
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration
Battle-Scarred
buy0.4500–0.4999
156.75 $
at 39.19
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ AWP | Wildfire (Battle-Scarred) — 89.58 $+50.39 $ per item · on the market 6 · buy0.4500–0.6999
Lis-Skins: suitable 41 of 41 · from 89.22 $ (float 0.4851) · craft not before 31.10 · data 23.10 13:22 MSK
Set · 5 pcs265.61 $
−183.62
(−69.1%)
!
The gain is understated:2 outcomes have no price, that is 7.7% of the chance
They have no price on Steam: they are above its cap. They count as zero in the calculation, so the profit shown is a lower bound, and noticeably so.
!
Share of fitting lots unknown:not enough for a contract: 3 items needed, market lots unknown≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)
×3
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration
Battle-Scarred
buy0.4500–0.4999
117.56 $
at 39.19
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ AWP | Wildfire (Battle-Scarred) — 89.58 $+50.39 $ per item · on the market 6 · buy0.4500–0.6999
Lis-Skins: suitable 41 of 41 · from 89.22 $ (float 0.4851) · craft not before 31.10 · data 23.10 13:22 MSK
Set · 5 pcs335.27 $
−258.91
(−77.2%)
!
The gain is understated:2 outcomes have no price, that is 7.7% of the chance
They have no price on Steam: they are above its cap. They count as zero in the calculation, so the profit shown is a lower bound, and noticeably so.
!
Share of fitting lots unknown:not enough for a contract: 2 items needed, market lots unknown≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)
×2
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration
Battle-Scarred
buy0.4500–0.4999
78.38 $
at 39.19
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ AWP | Wildfire (Battle-Scarred) — 89.58 $+50.39 $ per item · on the market 6 · buy0.4500–0.6999
Lis-Skins: suitable 41 of 41 · from 89.22 $ (float 0.4851) · craft not before 31.10 · data 23.10 13:22 MSK
Set · 5 pcs404.94 $
−334.21
(−82.5%)
!
The gain is understated:2 outcomes have no price, that is 7.7% of the chance
They have no price on Steam: they are above its cap. They count as zero in the calculation, so the profit shown is a lower bound, and noticeably so.
!
Share of fitting lots unknown:not enough for a contract: 1 items needed, market lots unknown≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)
×1
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration
Battle-Scarred
buy0.4500–0.4999
39.19 $
at 39.19
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ AWP | Wildfire (Battle-Scarred) — 89.58 $+50.39 $ per item · on the market 6 · buy0.4500–0.6999
Steam★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Fade (Minimal Wear)sell now to a buy order: 206.43 $
(you get 179.51 $)) · buy orders: 113Market.CSGO: 1 listings, too few, no priceCSFloat: 1 listings, too few, no priceLis-Skins: 2 listings, too few, no price
FT costs more than MW: 184.08 $ versus 147.92 $ — calculated at the price of MWrarely sells: 3 a month — calculated at the buy order 184.08 $sell now to a buy order: 166.99 $
(you get 145.20 $)) · buy orders: 79
sell on Market.CSGO: 203.95 $ to your card
cheapest lot 223.63 · lots 7
on CSFloat: from 192.61 $listings: 3
on CS.Money: ~ 175.07 $
on Lis-Skins: from 202.45 $listings: 4
Steam★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Blue Steel (Battle-Scarred)net 93.79 $
by lot · 0 sales per day
rarely sells: 3 a month — calculated at the buy order 107.86 $sell now to a buy order: 107.89 $
(you get 93.82 $)) · buy orders: 75Market.CSGO: 2 listings, too few, no priceLis-Skins: 2 listings, too few, no price
BS costs more than MW: 111.52 $ versus 93.12 $ — calculated at the price of MWrarely sells: 5 a month — calculated at the buy order 111.52 $sell now to a buy order: 111.55 $
(you get 97.00 $)) · buy orders: 113
sell on Market.CSGO: 101.95 $ to your card
cheapest lot 111.79 · lots 6CSFloat: 2 listings, too few, no price
on CS.Money: ~ 83.13 $
on Lis-Skins: from 100.70 $listings: 5
Steam★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Case Hardened (Battle-Scarred)net 141.94 $
by lot · 0 sales per day
BS costs more than FT: 172.48 $ versus 163.23 $ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 172.48 $sell now to a buy order: 172.53 $
(you get 150.02 $)) · buy orders: 101Market.CSGO: 2 listings, too few, no priceCSFloat: 2 listings, too few, no priceLis-Skins: 2 listings, too few, no price
BS costs more than FT: 82.73 $ versus 77.72 $ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 2 a month — calculated at the buy order 82.73 $sell now to a buy order: 82.76 $
(you get 71.96 $)) · buy orders: 103
sell on Market.CSGO: 72.66 $ to your card
cheapest lot 79.67 · lots 13
on CSFloat: from 75.00 $listings: 4
on Lis-Skins: from 75.70 $listings: 11
BS costs more than WW: 68.41 $ versus 67.47 $ — calculated at the price of WWrarely sells: 2 a month — calculated at the buy order 68.41 $sell now to a buy order: 67.90 $
(you get 59.05 $)) · buy orders: 77
sell on Market.CSGO: 74.83 $ to your card
cheapest lot 82.05 · lots 5
on CSFloat: from 78.94 $listings: 3
on Lis-Skins: from 80.81 $listings: 5
Steam★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Crimson Web (Battle-Scarred)net 124.40 $sells 1 a weekrarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 143.06 $sell now to a buy order: 142.00 $
(you get 123.48 $)) · buy orders: 87not listed on Market.CSGO right now
on CSFloat: from 174.74 $listings: 4Lis-Skins: 2 listings, too few, no price
Steam★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Scorched (Battle-Scarred)net 67.08 $sells 2 a weekrarely sells: 4 a month — calculated at the current 77.14 $, buy orders and sales are not lowersell now to a buy order: 98.64 $
(you get 85.78 $)) · buy orders: 131
sell on Market.CSGO: 98.40 $ to your card
cheapest lot 107.89 · lots 4
on CSFloat: from 99.90 $listings: 5
on Lis-Skins: from 101.55 $listings: 3
BS costs more than WW: 74.13 $ versus 51.06 $ — calculated at the price of WWrarely sells: 2 a month — calculated at the buy order 74.13 $sell now to a buy order: 74.16 $
(you get 64.49 $)) · buy orders: 57
sell on Market.CSGO: 90.84 $ to your card
cheapest lot 99.61 · lots 4
on Lis-Skins: from 76.54 $listings: 6
Steam★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Night Stripe (Battle-Scarred)net 76.57 $
by lot · 0 sales per day
rarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 88.06 $sell now to a buy order: 88.20 $
(you get 76.70 $)) · buy orders: 103Market.CSGO: 2 listings, too few, no price
on CSFloat: from 107.02 $listings: 4
on Lis-Skins: from 109.75 $listings: 7
BS costs more than FT: 95.18 $ versus 84.55 $ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 3 a month — calculated at the buy order 95.18 $sell now to a buy order: 94.69 $
(you get 82.34 $)) · buy orders: 107
sell on Market.CSGO: 137.03 $ to your card
cheapest lot 150.25 · lots 6CSFloat: 2 listings, too few, no priceLis-Skins: 2 listings, too few, no price
rarely sells: 6 a month — calculated at the buy order 208.72 $sell now to a buy order: 207.09 $
(you get 180.08 $)) · buy orders: 417Market.CSGO: 2 listings, too few, no priceCSFloat: 2 listings, too few, no price
on CS.Money: ~ 257.78 $
on Lis-Skins: from 236.15 $listings: 8
Steam★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Fade (Minimal Wear)The Shadow Collectionsell now to a buy order: 82.32 $
(you get 71.59 $)) · buy orders: 28Market.CSGO: 1 listings, too few, no priceCSFloat: 1 listings, too few, no priceLis-Skins: 1 listings, too few, no price
FT costs more than MW: 130.22 $ versus 128.63 $ — calculated at the price of MWrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 130.22 $sell now to a buy order: 129.57 $
(you get 112.67 $)) · buy orders: 70not listed on Market.CSGO right now
on CSFloat: from 148.29 $listings: 5Lis-Skins: 2 listings, too few, no price
rarely sells: 3 a month — calculated at the buy order 59.30 $sell now to a buy order: 59.18 $
(you get 51.46 $)) · buy orders: 100
sell on Market.CSGO: 72.45 $ to your card
cheapest lot 79.44 · lots 3CSFloat: 2 listings, too few, no priceLis-Skins: 2 listings, too few, no price
BS costs more than MW: 88.25 $ versus 69.35 $ — calculated at the price of MWrarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 88.25 $sell now to a buy order: 88.26 $
(you get 76.74 $)) · buy orders: 111Market.CSGO: 2 listings, too few, no price
rarely sells: 3 a month — calculated at the buy order 134.15 $sell now to a buy order: 134.17 $
(you get 116.67 $)) · buy orders: 97not listed on Market.CSGO right nowLis-Skins: 2 listings, too few, no price
rarely sells: 3 a month — calculated at the buy order 64.00 $sell now to a buy order: 63.67 $
(you get 55.37 $)) · buy orders: 135
sell on Market.CSGO: 61.26 $ to your card
cheapest lot 67.17 · lots 5CSFloat: 2 listings, too few, no priceLis-Skins: 1 listings, too few, no price
BS costs more than FT: 49.01 $ versus 45.29 $ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 7 a month — calculated at the buy order 49.01 $sell now to a buy order: 49.02 $
(you get 42.63 $)) · buy orders: 132Market.CSGO: 2 listings, too few, no price
on CSFloat: from 70.00 $listings: 3
on Lis-Skins: from 66.65 $listings: 4
rarely sells: 3 a month — calculated at the buy order 81.49 $sell now to a buy order: 81.51 $
(you get 70.87 $)) · buy orders: 116
sell on Market.CSGO: 110.55 $ to your card
cheapest lot 121.22 · lots 3CSFloat: 1 listings, too few, no price
on Lis-Skins: from 110.92 $listings: 3
rarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 66.19 $sell now to a buy order: 66.21 $
(you get 57.58 $)) · buy orders: 75Market.CSGO: 1 listings, too few, no priceCSFloat: 1 listings, too few, no priceLis-Skins: 1 listings, too few, no price
BS costs more than WW: 66.77 $ versus 48.34 $ — calculated at the price of WWrarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 66.77 $sell now to a buy order: 66.79 $
(you get 58.07 $)) · buy orders: 101not listed on Market.CSGO right now
on CSFloat: from 53.11 $listings: 5Lis-Skins: 1 listings, too few, no price
BS costs more than FT: 61.32 $ versus 40.40 $ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 61.32 $sell now to a buy order: 61.33 $
(you get 53.33 $)) · buy orders: 114
sell on Market.CSGO: 58.15 $ to your card
cheapest lot 63.76 · lots 4
on CSFloat: from 75.10 $listings: 3
on Lis-Skins: from 67.95 $listings: 3
BS costs more than MW: 84.03 $ versus 53.79 $ — calculated at the price of MWrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 84.03 $sell now to a buy order: 84.04 $
(you get 73.07 $)) · buy orders: 96Market.CSGO: 1 listings, too few, no priceCSFloat: 2 listings, too few, no price
rarely sells: 3 a month — calculated at the buy order 98.18 $sell now to a buy order: 97.70 $
(you get 84.96 $)) · buy orders: 226
sell on Market.CSGO: 177.82 $ to your card
cheapest lot 194.97 · lots 3
on CSFloat: from 81.99 $listings: 9
on Lis-Skins: from 128.83 $listings: 7
float markup by input
how many times more the lots with the needed float cost
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration (Battle-Scarred) × 4100% of the wear range fits×1.23156.75 → 192.65 $
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Golden Coil (Battle-Scarred) × 1100% of the wear range fits×1.01108.85 → 109.78 $
The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.
Average float of the set
average normalized 0.999999900
outcomes come out up to 0.079999, 0.259999, 0.999999, 0.999999, 0.999999, 0.799999, 0.799999, 0.799999, 0.799999, 0.799999, 0.799999, 0.799999, 0.000000, 0.079999, 0.259999, 0.999999, 0.999999, 0.999999, 0.799999, 0.799999, 0.799999, 0.799999, 0.799999, 0.799999, 0.799999, 0.000000
How to read float
«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.
f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.
In a week, when the outcome can be sold
from outcome price history
In a bad week−201.31 $a worse week happens one time in ten
In a typical week−186.38 $historical median
If you repeat
10 000 simulations over the outcome odds
I already have items
Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy
Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The CS20 Collection and The Shadow Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.
Third collection
Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable
All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.
Similar
1 craft almost like this one
One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.
Craft 3318923
· The Shadow Collection + The CS20 Collection · profit −183.62$
· invest 265.61$
no outcome pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
How to read these numbers
Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.
The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.
Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.