The Fever Collection + The Falchion Collection

StatTrak™ Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −40 090.01₴

Invest at least 45 798.28₴

Average return 5 708.27₴

ROI −87.5%

Chance of profit 0%

With float: invest at least 45 798.28 ₴, profit at most −40 090.01 ₴

float premium: at least 24 626 ₴

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

The gain is understated: 1 outcome has no price, that is 6.2% of the chance

Check:

To calculator I have items

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0

×1

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Bad Trip

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0073

4 294.33 ₴

at 4 294.33

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AWP | Printstream (Factory New) — 18 985.29 ₴ +14 690.96 ₴ per item · on the market 12 · buy 0.0000–0.0073

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1741

10 019.15 ₴

at 3 339.72

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge (Field-Tested) — 4 706.67 ₴ +1 366.95 ₴ per item · on the market 24 · buy 0.1500–0.1741

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0783

6 425.58 ₴

at 6 425.58

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge (Minimal Wear) — 9 421.67 ₴ +2 996.09 ₴ per item · on the market 17 · buy 0.0700–0.0783

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 20 739.06 ₴ −15 030.79 (−72.5%)

What you get 41 outcomes

Profitable outcome 1%
Losing outcome 93%
Above the Steam cap 6%

Order

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.009729

13 497.49 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.040405

12 697.85 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Blue Steel

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121621

5 964.66 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Stained

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121621

5 062.52 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Case Hardened

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121621

9 640.05 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Forest DDPAT

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

3 452.53 ₴ 6.15%

rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Boreal Forest

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

3 685.08 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Crimson Web

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

not on Steam: above the cap 6.15%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Night

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

4 664.74 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Scorched

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

3 825.32 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Safari Mesh

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

3 734.55 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Urban Masked

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

4 589.26 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife

no wear

6 677.60 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Survival Knife | Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.009729

9 860.91 ₴ 0.71%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number 7 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Survival Knife | Marble Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.009729

6 025.08 ₴ 0.71%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Survival Knife | Tiger Tooth

Factory New

float up to 0.009729

6 054.27 ₴ 0.71%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Survival Knife | Damascus Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.060810

4 960.57 ₴ 0.71%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Survival Knife | Rust Coat

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.472972

2 555.31 ₴ 0.71%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Survival Knife | Ultraviolet

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

3 185.81 ₴ 0.71%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Paracord Knife | Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.009729

12 684.72 ₴ 0.71%

pricier variants exist lots by number 7 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Paracord Knife | Marble Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.009729

7 666.39 ₴ 0.71%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Paracord Knife | Tiger Tooth

Factory New

float up to 0.009729

5 020.78 ₴ 0.71%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Paracord Knife | Damascus Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.060810

4 188.93 ₴ 0.71%

rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ StatTrak™ Paracord Knife | Rust Coat

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.472972

2 438.55 ₴ 0.71%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Paracord Knife | Ultraviolet

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

4 612.21 ₴ 0.71%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife | Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.009729

19 218.90 ₴ 0.71%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number 7 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife | Marble Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.009729

14 000.13 ₴ 0.71%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife | Tiger Tooth

Factory New

float up to 0.009729

10 120.98 ₴ 0.71%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife | Damascus Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.060810

8 664.98 ₴ 0.71%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife | Rust Coat

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.472972

4 655.46 ₴ 0.71%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife | Ultraviolet

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

6 676.07 ₴ 0.71%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

best

★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife | Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.009729

27 416.23 ₴ 0.71%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number 7 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife | Marble Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.009729

19 761.74 ₴ 0.71%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife | Tiger Tooth

Factory New

float up to 0.009729

17 118.43 ₴ 0.71%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife | Damascus Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.060810

11 114.39 ₴ 0.71%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife | Rust Coat

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.472972

6 716.31 ₴ 0.71%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife | Ultraviolet

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

12 506.10 ₴ 0.71%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Paracord Knife

no wear

2 493.38 ₴ 0.71%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Survival Knife

no wear

2 992.99 ₴ 0.71%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife

no wear

6 607.03 ₴ 0.71%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife

no wear

12 094.30 ₴ 0.71%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

float markup by input how many times more the lots with the needed float cost

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Bad Trip (Factory New) × 1 10% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 4 294.33 → 9 275.76 ₴

StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Field-Tested) × 3 10% of the wear range fits at least ×2.26 10 019.15 → 22 643.28 ₴

StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear) × 1 10% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 6 425.58 → 13 879.25 ₴

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Average float of the set

average normalized 0.121621522

outcomes come out up to 0.009729, 0.040405, 0.121621, 0.121621, 0.121621, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.000000, 0.009729, 0.009729, 0.009729, 0.060810, 0.472972, 0.149999, 0.009729, 0.009729, 0.009729, 0.060810, 0.472972, 0.149999, 0.009729, 0.009729, 0.009729, 0.060810, 0.472972, 0.149999, 0.009729, 0.009729, 0.009729, 0.060810, 0.472972, 0.149999, 0.000000, 0.000000, 0.000000, 0.000000

How to read float

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

I already have items

No other variants in this recount

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −15 968.06 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −15 153.78 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Fever Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 15 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3320529 · The Huntsman Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit −14 443.65₴ · invest 19 877.12₴
no outcome price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Desert-Strike (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ FAMAS | Bad Trip (Factory New); StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Field-Tested): float at most 0.173292 instead of 0.174124; StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.078101 instead of 0.078391
Craft 3320533 · The Falchion Collection + The Huntsman Collection · profit −14 443.65₴ · invest 19 877.12₴
no outcome price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Desert-Strike (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ FAMAS | Bad Trip (Factory New); StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Field-Tested): float at most 0.173292 instead of 0.174124; StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.078101 instead of 0.078391
Craft 3320473 · The Fracture Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit −14 514.81₴ · invest 19 987.53₴
no outcome price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Legion of Anubis (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ FAMAS | Bad Trip (Factory New); StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Field-Tested): float at most 0.173292 instead of 0.174124; StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.078101 instead of 0.078391
Craft 3320477 · The Falchion Collection + The Fracture Collection · profit −14 514.81₴ · invest 19 987.53₴
no outcome price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Legion of Anubis (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ FAMAS | Bad Trip (Factory New); StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Field-Tested): float at most 0.173292 instead of 0.174124; StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.078101 instead of 0.078391
Craft 3320508 · The Gamma Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit −14 517.44₴ · invest 22 773.68₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Wasteland Rebel (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ FAMAS | Bad Trip (Factory New); StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Field-Tested): float at most 0.172525 instead of 0.174124; StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077835 instead of 0.078391
Craft 3320516 · The Falchion Collection + The Gamma Collection · profit −14 517.44₴ · invest 22 773.68₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Wasteland Rebel (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ FAMAS | Bad Trip (Factory New); StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Field-Tested): float at most 0.172525 instead of 0.174124; StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077835 instead of 0.078391
Craft 3320017 · The Falchion Collection + The Danger Zone Collection · profit −14 654.73₴ · invest 20 673.22₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ AWP | Neo-Noir (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ FAMAS | Bad Trip (Factory New); StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Field-Tested): float at most 0.172268 instead of 0.174124; StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077745 instead of 0.078391
Craft 3320021 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit −14 654.73₴ · invest 20 673.22₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ AWP | Neo-Noir (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ FAMAS | Bad Trip (Factory New); StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Field-Tested): float at most 0.172268 instead of 0.174124; StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077745 instead of 0.078391
Craft 3320587 · The Prisma Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit −14 970.45₴ · invest 21 244.83₴
no outcome price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Angry Mob (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ FAMAS | Bad Trip (Factory New); StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Field-Tested): float at most 0.173292 instead of 0.174124; StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.078101 instead of 0.078391
Craft 3320593 · The Falchion Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit −14 970.45₴ · invest 21 244.83₴
no outcome price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Angry Mob (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ FAMAS | Bad Trip (Factory New); StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Field-Tested): float at most 0.173292 instead of 0.174124; StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.078101 instead of 0.078391
Craft 3320468 · The Falchion Collection + The Fever Collection · profit −15 030.79₴ · invest 20 739.06₴
no outcome price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist
Craft 3318769 · The Falchion Collection + The CS20 Collection · profit −15 364.18₴ · invest 20 721.15₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ FAMAS | Bad Trip (Factory New); StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Field-Tested): float at most 0.172268 instead of 0.174124; StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077745 instead of 0.078391
Craft 3318775 · The CS20 Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit −15 364.18₴ · invest 20 721.15₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ FAMAS | Bad Trip (Factory New); StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Field-Tested): float at most 0.172268 instead of 0.174124; StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077745 instead of 0.078391
Craft 3320205 · The Falchion Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection · profit −15 409.41₴ · invest 21 905.04₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ MP9 | Starlight Protector (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ FAMAS | Bad Trip (Factory New); StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Field-Tested): float at most 0.173632 instead of 0.174124; StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.078219 instead of 0.078391
Craft 3320213 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit −15 409.41₴ · invest 21 905.04₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ MP9 | Starlight Protector (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ FAMAS | Bad Trip (Factory New); StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Field-Tested): float at most 0.173632 instead of 0.174124; StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.078219 instead of 0.078391

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Fever Collection + The Falchion Collection

How to build i Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 41 outcomes

More

How to build