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The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Kilowatt Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −107.28₴

Invest at least 196.87₴

Average return 89.58₴

ROI −54.5%

Chance of profit 10%

With float: invest at least 196.87 ₴, profit at most −107.28 ₴

float premium: at least 104 ₴

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +23.09 ₴ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Share of fitting lots unknown: not enough for a contract: 3 items needed, market lots unknown, price understated

×3

SSG 08 | Hand Brake

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3841

62.15 ₴

at 20.72

if this one runs out, you can take

USP-S | Check Engine (Field-Tested) — 24.04 ₴ +3.32 ₴ per item · on the market 962 · buy 0.1500–0.2304
Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New) — 30.51 ₴ +9.79 ₴ per item · on the market 1 276 · buy 0.0000–0.0307
M4A4 | Converter (Field-Tested) — 34.49 ₴ +13.78 ₴ per item · on the market 917 · buy 0.1500–0.1536

Steam

×5

UMP-45 | Motorized

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1635

15.58 ₴

at 3.12

if this one runs out, you can take

XM1014 | Irezumi (Field-Tested) — 3.97 ₴ +0.85 ₴ per item · on the market 4 210 · buy 0.1500–0.1631
SSG 08 | Dezastre (Field-Tested) — 4.06 ₴ +0.94 ₴ per item · on the market 2 973 · buy 0.1500–0.2040
Tec-9 | Slag (Field-Tested) — 4.43 ₴ +1.32 ₴ per item · on the market 3 071 · buy 0.1500–0.1836

Steam

×2

SSG 08 | Dezastre

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1635

8.12 ₴

at 4.06

if this one runs out, you can take

MAC-10 | Light Box (Field-Tested) — 4.48 ₴ +0.42 ₴ per item · on the market 2 013 · buy 0.1500–0.1635
Nova | Dark Sigil (Minimal Wear) — 5.73 ₴ +1.68 ₴ per item · on the market 1 443 · buy 0.0700–0.1142
Dual Berettas | Hideout (Minimal Wear) — 5.95 ₴ +1.89 ₴ per item · on the market 1 892 · buy 0.0700–0.1142

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 85.84 ₴ +3.74 (+4.4%)

Share of fitting lots unknown: not enough for a contract: 3 items needed, market lots unknown, price understated

×3

SSG 08 | Hand Brake

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3869

62.15 ₴

at 20.72

if this one runs out, you can take

USP-S | Check Engine (Field-Tested) — 24.04 ₴ +3.32 ₴ per item · on the market 962 · buy 0.1500–0.2321
Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New) — 30.51 ₴ +9.79 ₴ per item · on the market 1 276 · buy 0.0000–0.0309
M4A4 | Converter (Field-Tested) — 34.49 ₴ +13.78 ₴ per item · on the market 917 · buy 0.1500–0.1547

Steam

×4

SSG 08 | Hand Brake

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1729

96.61 ₴

at 24.15

if this one runs out, you can take

Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New) — 30.51 ₴ +6.36 ₴ per item · on the market 1 276 · buy 0.0000–0.0138
USP-S | Check Engine (Minimal Wear) — 44.42 ₴ +20.27 ₴ per item · on the market 505 · buy 0.0700–0.1037
M4A4 | Converter (Factory New) — 81.60 ₴ +57.45 ₴ per item · on the market 1 236 · buy 0.0000–0.0691

Steam

×3

UMP-45 | Motorized

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1729

9.35 ₴

at 3.12

if this one runs out, you can take

Nova | Dark Sigil (Field-Tested) — 3.39 ₴ +0.27 ₴ per item · on the market 4 363 · buy 0.1500–0.1507
Dual Berettas | Hideout (Field-Tested) — 3.93 ₴ +0.81 ₴ per item · on the market 3 614 · buy 0.1500–0.1507
XM1014 | Irezumi (Field-Tested) — 3.97 ₴ +0.85 ₴ per item · on the market 4 210 · buy 0.1500–0.1724

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 168.10 ₴ +16.72 (+9.9%)

Share of fitting lots unknown: not enough for a contract: 4 items needed, market lots unknown, price understated

×4

SSG 08 | Hand Brake

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3858

82.86 ₴

at 20.72

if this one runs out, you can take

USP-S | Check Engine (Field-Tested) — 24.04 ₴ +3.32 ₴ per item · on the market 962 · buy 0.1500–0.2315
Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New) — 30.51 ₴ +9.79 ₴ per item · on the market 1 276 · buy 0.0000–0.0308
M4A4 | Converter (Field-Tested) — 34.49 ₴ +13.78 ₴ per item · on the market 917 · buy 0.1500–0.1543

Steam

×5

SSG 08 | Hand Brake

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1693

120.76 ₴

at 24.15

if this one runs out, you can take

Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New) — 30.51 ₴ +6.36 ₴ per item · on the market 1 276 · buy 0.0000–0.0135
USP-S | Check Engine (Minimal Wear) — 44.42 ₴ +20.27 ₴ per item · on the market 505 · buy 0.0700–0.1015
M4A4 | Converter (Factory New) — 81.60 ₴ +57.45 ₴ per item · on the market 1 236 · buy 0.0000–0.0677

Steam

×1

Nova | Dark Sigil

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0767

5.73 ₴

at 5.73

if this one runs out, you can take

Dual Berettas | Hideout (Minimal Wear) — 5.95 ₴ +0.21 ₴ per item · on the market 1 892 · buy 0.0700–0.0767
XM1014 | Irezumi (Minimal Wear) — 6.06 ₴ +0.32 ₴ per item · on the market 1 237 · buy 0.0700–0.0877
Tec-9 | Slag (Minimal Wear) — 6.87 ₴ +1.13 ₴ per item · on the market 1 326 · buy 0.0700–0.0988

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 209.36 ₴ +23.09 (+11.0%)

Share of fitting lots unknown: not enough for a contract: 3 items needed, market lots unknown, price understated

×3

SSG 08 | Hand Brake

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3855

62.15 ₴

at 20.72

if this one runs out, you can take

USP-S | Check Engine (Field-Tested) — 24.04 ₴ +3.32 ₴ per item · on the market 962 · buy 0.1500–0.2313
Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New) — 30.51 ₴ +9.79 ₴ per item · on the market 1 276 · buy 0.0000–0.0308
M4A4 | Converter (Field-Tested) — 34.49 ₴ +13.78 ₴ per item · on the market 917 · buy 0.1500–0.1542

Steam

×3

SSG 08 | Hand Brake

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1681

72.46 ₴

at 24.15

if this one runs out, you can take

Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New) — 30.51 ₴ +6.36 ₴ per item · on the market 1 276 · buy 0.0000–0.0134
USP-S | Check Engine (Minimal Wear) — 44.42 ₴ +20.27 ₴ per item · on the market 505 · buy 0.0700–0.1008
M4A4 | Converter (Factory New) — 81.60 ₴ +57.45 ₴ per item · on the market 1 236 · buy 0.0000–0.0672

Steam

×4

UMP-45 | Motorized

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1681

12.46 ₴

at 3.12

if this one runs out, you can take

XM1014 | Irezumi (Field-Tested) — 3.97 ₴ +0.85 ₴ per item · on the market 4 210 · buy 0.1500–0.1676
SSG 08 | Dezastre (Field-Tested) — 4.06 ₴ +0.94 ₴ per item · on the market 2 973 · buy 0.1500–0.2097
Tec-9 | Slag (Field-Tested) — 4.43 ₴ +1.32 ₴ per item · on the market 3 071 · buy 0.1500–0.1887

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 147.07 ₴ +13.95 (+9.5%)

Share of fitting lots unknown: not enough for a contract: 3 items needed, market lots unknown, price understated

×3

SSG 08 | Hand Brake

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3841

62.15 ₴

at 20.72

if this one runs out, you can take

USP-S | Check Engine (Field-Tested) — 24.04 ₴ +3.32 ₴ per item · on the market 962 · buy 0.1500–0.2304
Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New) — 30.51 ₴ +9.79 ₴ per item · on the market 1 276 · buy 0.0000–0.0307
M4A4 | Converter (Field-Tested) — 34.49 ₴ +13.78 ₴ per item · on the market 917 · buy 0.1500–0.1536

Steam

×2

SSG 08 | Hand Brake

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1635

48.31 ₴

at 24.15

if this one runs out, you can take

Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New) — 30.51 ₴ +6.36 ₴ per item · on the market 1 276 · buy 0.0000–0.0130
USP-S | Check Engine (Minimal Wear) — 44.42 ₴ +20.27 ₴ per item · on the market 505 · buy 0.0700–0.0981
M4A4 | Converter (Factory New) — 81.60 ₴ +57.45 ₴ per item · on the market 1 236 · buy 0.0000–0.0654

Steam

×5

UMP-45 | Motorized

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1635

15.58 ₴

at 3.12

if this one runs out, you can take

XM1014 | Irezumi (Field-Tested) — 3.97 ₴ +0.85 ₴ per item · on the market 4 210 · buy 0.1500–0.1631
SSG 08 | Dezastre (Field-Tested) — 4.06 ₴ +0.94 ₴ per item · on the market 2 973 · buy 0.1500–0.2040
Tec-9 | Slag (Field-Tested) — 4.43 ₴ +1.32 ₴ per item · on the market 3 071 · buy 0.1500–0.1836

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 126.03 ₴ +11.17 (+8.9%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 20%
Losing outcome 80%

at a loss

Five-SeveN | Hybrid

Field-Tested

float up to 0.249999

20.86 ₴ 14.00%

Steam

at a loss

Glock-18 | Block-18

Field-Tested

float up to 0.167968

22.27 ₴ 14.00%

Steam

at a loss

M4A4 | Etch Lord

Field-Tested

float up to 0.249999

22.07 ₴ 14.00%

Steam

at a loss

MP7 | Just Smile

Field-Tested

float up to 0.249999

20.35 ₴ 14.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Sawed-Off | Analog Input

Field-Tested

float up to 0.154714

18.81 ₴ 14.00%

Steam

in profit

AK-47 | Safety Net

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

209.35 ₴ 10.00%

Steam

in profit

best

MP7 | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.062499

608.00 ₴ 10.00%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

P250 | Vino Primo

Field-Tested

float up to 0.249999

66.71 ₴ 10.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Kilowatt Collection

Variant 2 The Glove Collection instead of The Kilowatt Collection Variant 3 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Kilowatt Collection Variant 4 The 2018 Nuke Collection instead of The Kilowatt Collection Variant 5 The Anubis Collection instead of The Kilowatt Collection Variant 6 The Cache Collection instead of The Kilowatt Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −8.14 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −2.83 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2018 Inferno Collection and The Kilowatt Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Kilowatt Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

More

How to build