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The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Fever Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −69.26₴

Invest at least 124.95₴

Average return 55.69₴

ROI −55.4%

Chance of profit 10%

With float: invest at least 124.95 ₴, profit at most −69.26 ₴

float premium: at least 59 ₴

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +2.75 ₴ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×3

P90 | Facility Negative

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1620

22.39 ₴

at 7.46

if this one runs out, you can take

P250 | Exchanger (Field-Tested) — 8.41 ₴ +0.95 ₴ per item · on the market 448 · buy 0.1500–0.1620
MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Field-Tested) — 8.95 ₴ +1.49 ₴ per item · on the market 516 · buy 0.1500–0.1620
AWP | Acheron (Field-Tested) — 50.50 ₴ +43.04 ₴ per item · on the market 1 877 · buy 0.1500–0.2690

Steam

×2

P2000 | Sure Grip

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1620

8.60 ₴

at 4.30

if this one runs out, you can take

XM1014 | Mockingbird (Field-Tested) — 4.48 ₴ +0.18 ₴ per item · on the market 793 · buy 0.1500–0.1800
MP9 | Nexus (Field-Tested) — 4.85 ₴ +0.55 ₴ per item · on the market 1 281 · buy 0.1500–0.1800
M4A4 | Choppa (Field-Tested) — 5.76 ₴ +1.46 ₴ per item · on the market 2 275 · buy 0.1500–0.1800

Steam

×5

XM1014 | Mockingbird

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1620

22.41 ₴

at 4.48

if this one runs out, you can take

MP9 | Nexus (Field-Tested) — 4.85 ₴ +0.37 ₴ per item · on the market 1 281 · buy 0.1500–0.1620
M4A4 | Choppa (Field-Tested) — 5.76 ₴ +1.28 ₴ per item · on the market 2 275 · buy 0.1500–0.1620
MAG-7 | Resupply (Field-Tested) — 6.06 ₴ +1.57 ₴ per item · on the market 1 017 · buy 0.1500–0.1620

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 53.40 ₴ +2.30 (+4.3%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×4

P90 | Facility Negative

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1659

29.85 ₴

at 7.46

if this one runs out, you can take

P250 | Exchanger (Field-Tested) — 8.41 ₴ +0.95 ₴ per item · on the market 448 · buy 0.1500–0.1659
MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Field-Tested) — 8.95 ₴ +1.49 ₴ per item · on the market 516 · buy 0.1500–0.1659
AWP | Acheron (Field-Tested) — 50.50 ₴ +43.04 ₴ per item · on the market 1 877 · buy 0.1500–0.2755

Steam

×4

XM1014 | Mockingbird

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1659

17.93 ₴

at 4.48

if this one runs out, you can take

MP9 | Nexus (Field-Tested) — 4.85 ₴ +0.37 ₴ per item · on the market 1 281 · buy 0.1500–0.1659
M4A4 | Choppa (Field-Tested) — 5.76 ₴ +1.28 ₴ per item · on the market 2 275 · buy 0.1500–0.1659
MAG-7 | Resupply (Field-Tested) — 6.06 ₴ +1.57 ₴ per item · on the market 1 017 · buy 0.1500–0.1659

Steam

×2

MAG-7 | Resupply

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0755

15.47 ₴

at 7.73

if this one runs out, you can take

XM1014 | Mockingbird (Minimal Wear) — 8.00 ₴ +0.27 ₴ per item · on the market 930 · buy 0.0700–0.0755
MP9 | Nexus (Minimal Wear) — 9.62 ₴ +1.89 ₴ per item · on the market 820 · buy 0.0700–0.0755
M4A4 | Choppa (Minimal Wear) — 12.87 ₴ +5.14 ₴ per item · on the market 1 692 · buy 0.0700–0.0755

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 63.24 ₴ +2.25 (+3.6%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 5 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×5

P90 | Facility Negative

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1656

37.31 ₴

at 7.46

if this one runs out, you can take

P250 | Exchanger (Field-Tested) — 8.41 ₴ +0.95 ₴ per item · on the market 448 · buy 0.1500–0.1656
MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Field-Tested) — 8.95 ₴ +1.49 ₴ per item · on the market 516 · buy 0.1500–0.1656
AWP | Acheron (Field-Tested) — 50.50 ₴ +43.04 ₴ per item · on the market 1 877 · buy 0.1500–0.2750

Steam

×1

P2000 | Sure Grip

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1656

4.30 ₴

at 4.30

if this one runs out, you can take

XM1014 | Mockingbird (Field-Tested) — 4.48 ₴ +0.18 ₴ per item · on the market 793 · buy 0.1500–0.1841
MP9 | Nexus (Field-Tested) — 4.85 ₴ +0.55 ₴ per item · on the market 1 281 · buy 0.1500–0.1841
M4A4 | Choppa (Field-Tested) — 5.76 ₴ +1.46 ₴ per item · on the market 2 275 · buy 0.1500–0.1841

Steam

×4

MAG-7 | Resupply

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0754

30.93 ₴

at 7.73

if this one runs out, you can take

XM1014 | Mockingbird (Minimal Wear) — 8.00 ₴ +0.27 ₴ per item · on the market 930 · buy 0.0700–0.0754
MP9 | Nexus (Minimal Wear) — 9.62 ₴ +1.89 ₴ per item · on the market 820 · buy 0.0700–0.0754
M4A4 | Choppa (Minimal Wear) — 12.87 ₴ +5.14 ₴ per item · on the market 1 692 · buy 0.0700–0.0754

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 72.54 ₴ +2.75 (+3.8%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 30%
Losing outcome 70%

at a loss

Desert Eagle | Serpent Strike

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.122142

41.81 ₴ 14.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Galil AR | Control

Field-Tested

float up to 0.171213

23.27 ₴ 14.00%

Steam

at a loss

Nova | Rising Sun

Field-Tested

float up to 0.214285

24.32 ₴ 14.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

P90 | Wave Breaker

Field-Tested

float up to 0.203688

23.27 ₴ 14.00%

Steam

at a loss

Zeus x27 | Tosai

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

38.57 ₴ 14.00%

Steam

in profit

AUG | Random Access

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.107142

94.07 ₴ 10.00%

Steam

in profit

best

Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

257.67 ₴ 10.00%

Steam

in profit

MAG-7 | Core Breach

Field-Tested

float up to 0.214285

77.03 ₴ 10.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Fever Collection

Variant 2 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Fever Collection Variant 3 The Glove Collection instead of The Fever Collection Variant 4 The Danger Zone Collection instead of The Fever Collection Variant 5 The Chroma 2 Collection instead of The Fever Collection Variant 6 The Ancient Collection instead of The Fever Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −6.55 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −0.40 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2018 Nuke Collection and The Fever Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Fever Collection

How to build i Ways to build 3 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

More

How to build