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The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Lake Collection

Consumer Grade → Industrial Grade

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −343.45₸

Invest at least 598.84₸

Average return 255.38₸

ROI −57.4%

Chance of profit 0%

With float: invest at least 598.84 ₸, profit at most −343.45 ₸

float premium: at least 241 ₸

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +70.64 ₸ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Share of fitting lots unknown: not enough for a contract: 1 items needed, market lots unknown, price understated

×1

Souvenir Sawed-Off | Parched

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3882

32.11 ₸

at 32.11

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir P90 | Desert DDPAT (Field-Tested) — 38.13 ₸ +6.02 ₸ per item · on the market 2 343 · buy 0.1500–0.3800
Souvenir SG 553 | Bleached (Field-Tested) — 39.37 ₸ +7.25 ₸ per item · on the market 2 457 · buy 0.1500–0.3800
Souvenir MP7 | Prey (Field-Tested) — 39.65 ₸ +7.54 ₸ per item · on the market 2 471 · buy 0.1500–0.3800

souvenirSteam

×4

Souvenir P90 | Desert DDPAT

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1770

152.52 ₸

at 38.13

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir SG 553 | Bleached (Field-Tested) — 39.37 ₸ +1.24 ₸ per item · on the market 2 457 · buy 0.1500–0.1770
Souvenir MP7 | Prey (Field-Tested) — 39.65 ₸ +1.52 ₸ per item · on the market 2 471 · buy 0.1500–0.1699
Souvenir Sawed-Off | Parched (Field-Tested) — 40.10 ₸ +1.97 ₸ per item · on the market 2 475 · buy 0.1500–0.1735

souvenirSteam

×5

SG 553 | Waves Perforated

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1770

68.33 ₸

at 13.67

if this one runs out, you can take

XM1014 | Blue Spruce (Field-Tested) — 14.57 ₸ +0.90 ₸ per item · on the market 1 761 · buy 0.1500–0.1770
G3SG1 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested) — 15.07 ₸ +1.41 ₸ per item · on the market 3 154 · buy 0.1500–0.1770
AUG | Storm (Field-Tested) — 15.18 ₸ +1.52 ₸ per item · on the market 2 266 · buy 0.1500–0.1770

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 252.96 ₸ +2.42 (+1.0%)

≈1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 7 шт., годных ≈34, цена занижена

×7

Souvenir P90 | Desert DDPAT

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1796

266.91 ₸

at 38.13

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir SG 553 | Bleached (Field-Tested) — 39.37 ₸ +1.24 ₸ per item · on the market 2 457 · buy 0.1500–0.1796
Souvenir MP7 | Prey (Field-Tested) — 39.65 ₸ +1.52 ₸ per item · on the market 2 471 · buy 0.1500–0.1724
Souvenir Sawed-Off | Parched (Field-Tested) — 40.10 ₸ +1.97 ₸ per item · on the market 2 475 · buy 0.1500–0.1760

souvenirSteam

×3

SG 553 | Waves Perforated

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1796

41.00 ₸

at 13.67

if this one runs out, you can take

XM1014 | Blue Spruce (Field-Tested) — 14.57 ₸ +0.90 ₸ per item · on the market 1 761 · buy 0.1500–0.1796
G3SG1 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested) — 15.07 ₸ +1.41 ₸ per item · on the market 3 154 · buy 0.1500–0.1796
AUG | Storm (Field-Tested) — 15.18 ₸ +1.52 ₸ per item · on the market 2 266 · buy 0.1500–0.1796

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 307.91 ₸ +36.22 (+11.8%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 8 шт., годных ≈5, цена занижена

×8

Souvenir P90 | Desert DDPAT

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1690

305.04 ₸

at 38.13

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir SG 553 | Bleached (Field-Tested) — 39.37 ₸ +1.24 ₸ per item · on the market 2 457 · buy 0.1500–0.1690
Souvenir MP7 | Prey (Field-Tested) — 39.65 ₸ +1.52 ₸ per item · on the market 2 471 · buy 0.1500–0.1623
Souvenir Sawed-Off | Parched (Field-Tested) — 40.10 ₸ +1.97 ₸ per item · on the market 2 475 · buy 0.1500–0.1656

souvenirSteam

×2

SG 553 | Waves Perforated

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1690

27.33 ₸

at 13.67

if this one runs out, you can take

XM1014 | Blue Spruce (Field-Tested) — 14.57 ₸ +0.90 ₸ per item · on the market 1 761 · buy 0.1500–0.1690
G3SG1 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested) — 15.07 ₸ +1.41 ₸ per item · on the market 3 154 · buy 0.1500–0.1690
AUG | Storm (Field-Tested) — 15.18 ₸ +1.52 ₸ per item · on the market 2 266 · buy 0.1500–0.1690

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 332.37 ₸ +56.07 (+16.9%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 9 шт., годных ≈4, цена занижена

×9

Souvenir P90 | Desert DDPAT

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1655

343.17 ₸

at 38.13

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir SG 553 | Bleached (Field-Tested) — 39.37 ₸ +1.24 ₸ per item · on the market 2 457 · buy 0.1500–0.1655
Souvenir MP7 | Prey (Field-Tested) — 39.65 ₸ +1.52 ₸ per item · on the market 2 471 · buy 0.1500–0.1588
Souvenir Sawed-Off | Parched (Field-Tested) — 40.10 ₸ +1.97 ₸ per item · on the market 2 475 · buy 0.1500–0.1622

souvenirSteam

×1

SG 553 | Waves Perforated

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0753

19.01 ₸

at 19.01

if this one runs out, you can take

G3SG1 | Jungle Dashed (Minimal Wear) — 19.12 ₸ +0.11 ₸ per item · on the market 1 162 · buy 0.0700–0.0753
Galil AR | Sage Spray (Minimal Wear) — 26.99 ₸ +7.99 ₸ per item · on the market 1 645 · buy 0.0700–0.0753
P250 | Boreal Forest (Minimal Wear) — 34.08 ₸ +15.07 ₸ per item · on the market 1 661 · buy 0.0700–0.0753

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 362.18 ₸ +70.64 (+19.5%)

Share of fitting lots unknown: not enough for a contract: 1 items needed, market lots unknown, price understated

×1

Souvenir Sawed-Off | Parched

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3845

32.11 ₸

at 32.11

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir P90 | Desert DDPAT (Field-Tested) — 38.13 ₸ +6.02 ₸ per item · on the market 2 343 · buy 0.1500–0.3800
Souvenir SG 553 | Bleached (Field-Tested) — 39.37 ₸ +7.25 ₸ per item · on the market 2 457 · buy 0.1500–0.3800
Souvenir MP7 | Prey (Field-Tested) — 39.65 ₸ +7.54 ₸ per item · on the market 2 471 · buy 0.1500–0.3766

souvenirSteam

×5

Souvenir P90 | Desert DDPAT

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1648

190.65 ₸

at 38.13

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir SG 553 | Bleached (Field-Tested) — 39.37 ₸ +1.24 ₸ per item · on the market 2 457 · buy 0.1500–0.1648
Souvenir MP7 | Prey (Field-Tested) — 39.65 ₸ +1.52 ₸ per item · on the market 2 471 · buy 0.1500–0.1582
Souvenir Sawed-Off | Parched (Field-Tested) — 40.10 ₸ +1.97 ₸ per item · on the market 2 475 · buy 0.1500–0.1615

souvenirSteam

×4

SG 553 | Waves Perforated

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1648

54.66 ₸

at 13.67

if this one runs out, you can take

XM1014 | Blue Spruce (Field-Tested) — 14.57 ₸ +0.90 ₸ per item · on the market 1 761 · buy 0.1500–0.1648
G3SG1 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested) — 15.07 ₸ +1.41 ₸ per item · on the market 3 154 · buy 0.1500–0.1648
AUG | Storm (Field-Tested) — 15.18 ₸ +1.52 ₸ per item · on the market 2 266 · buy 0.1500–0.1648

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 277.43 ₸ +22.33 (+8.1%)

What you get 9 outcomes

Profitable outcome 50%
Losing outcome 50%

in profit

AUG | Spalted Wood

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.143999

534.33 ₸ 12.50%

Steam

in profit

Five-SeveN | Withered Vine

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

543.38 ₸ 12.50%

Steam

in profit

M249 | Midnight Palm

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

554.13 ₸ 12.50%

Steam

in profit

best

MP9 | Old Roots

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

563.07 ₸ 12.50%

Steam

at a loss

AWP | Safari Mesh

Field-Tested

float up to 0.281999

83.80 ₸ 10.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

PP-Bizon | Night Ops

Field-Tested

float up to 0.179999

17.15 ₸ 10.00%

Steam

at a loss

Desert Eagle | Mudder

Field-Tested

float up to 0.281999

42.69 ₸ 10.00%

Steam

at a loss

FAMAS | Cyanospatter

Field-Tested

float up to 0.281999

22.50 ₸ 10.00%

Steam

at a loss

XM1014 | Blue Steel

Field-Tested

float up to 0.299999

27.28 ₸ 10.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Lake Collection

Variant 2 The Overpass Collection instead of The 2021 Dust 2 Collection Variant 3 The Overpass Collection instead of The Lake Collection Variant 4 The Safehouse Collection instead of The 2021 Dust 2 Collection Variant 5 The Train Collection instead of The Lake Collection Variant 6 The Safehouse Collection instead of The Lake Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −47.41 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −9.67 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Dust 2 Collection and The Lake Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Lake Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 9 outcomes

More

How to build