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The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Boreal Collection

Consumer Grade → Industrial Grade

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −27.26₴

Invest at least 45.77₴

Average return 18.51₴

ROI −59.5%

Chance of profit 0%

With float: invest at least 45.77 ₴, profit at most −27.26 ₴

float premium: at least 23 ₴

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +3.29 ₴ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

≈1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 7 шт., годных ≈71, цена занижена

×7

Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1821

14.30 ₴

at 2.04

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir MAG-7 | Navy Sheen (Field-Tested) — 2.29 ₴ +0.24 ₴ per item · on the market 3 621 · buy 0.1500–0.1669
Souvenir PP-Bizon | Anolis (Field-Tested) — 2.38 ₴ +0.34 ₴ per item · on the market 4 024 · buy 0.1500–0.1518
Souvenir P250 | Drought (Minimal Wear) — 2.75 ₴ +0.71 ₴ per item · on the market 1 873 · buy 0.0700–0.1335

souvenirSteam

×3

AUG | Commando Company

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0811

4.11 ₴

at 1.37

if this one runs out, you can take

FAMAS | Palm (Minimal Wear) — 1.37 ₴ · on the market 20 705 · buy 0.0700–0.0936
G3SG1 | Green Cell (Minimal Wear) — 1.37 ₴ · on the market 24 414 · buy 0.0700–0.0811
M249 | Sage Camo (Minimal Wear) — 1.37 ₴ · on the market 24 171 · buy 0.0700–0.0749

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 18.42 ₴ +0.10 (+0.5%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 8 шт., годных ≈9, цена занижена

×8

Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1697

16.35 ₴

at 2.04

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir MAG-7 | Navy Sheen (Field-Tested) — 2.29 ₴ +0.24 ₴ per item · on the market 3 621 · buy 0.1500–0.1556
Souvenir P250 | Drought (Minimal Wear) — 2.75 ₴ +0.71 ₴ per item · on the market 1 873 · buy 0.0700–0.1244
Souvenir SSG 08 | Prey (Minimal Wear) — 2.82 ₴ +0.78 ₴ per item · on the market 1 507 · buy 0.0700–0.1358

souvenirSteam

×2

AUG | Commando Company

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0768

2.74 ₴

at 1.37

if this one runs out, you can take

FAMAS | Palm (Minimal Wear) — 1.37 ₴ · on the market 20 705 · buy 0.0700–0.0886
G3SG1 | Green Cell (Minimal Wear) — 1.37 ₴ · on the market 24 414 · buy 0.0700–0.0768
M249 | Sage Camo (Minimal Wear) — 1.37 ₴ · on the market 24 171 · buy 0.0700–0.0709

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 19.09 ₴ +1.79 (+9.4%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 9 шт., годных ≈7, цена занижена

×9

Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1661

18.39 ₴

at 2.04

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir MAG-7 | Navy Sheen (Field-Tested) — 2.29 ₴ +0.24 ₴ per item · on the market 3 621 · buy 0.1500–0.1523
Souvenir P250 | Drought (Minimal Wear) — 2.75 ₴ +0.71 ₴ per item · on the market 1 873 · buy 0.0700–0.1218
Souvenir SSG 08 | Prey (Minimal Wear) — 2.82 ₴ +0.78 ₴ per item · on the market 1 507 · buy 0.0700–0.1329

souvenirSteam

×1

G3SG1 | Green Cell

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0049

1.57 ₴

at 1.57

if this one runs out, you can take

Zeus x27 | Swamp DDPAT (Factory New) — 1.62 ₴ +0.05 ₴ per item · on the market 4 679 · buy 0.0000–0.0045
M249 | Sage Camo (Factory New) — 1.83 ₴ +0.26 ₴ per item · on the market 3 955 · buy 0.0000–0.0045
MAG-7 | Copper Oxide (Factory New) — 1.83 ₴ +0.26 ₴ per item · on the market 3 497 · buy 0.0000–0.0049

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 19.96 ₴ +3.29 (+16.4%)

What you get 13 outcomes

Profitable outcome 52%
Losing outcome 47%

Order

at a loss

CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.124999

17.72 ₴ 17.50%

Steam

in profit

best

Dual Berettas | Drift Wood

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

35.98 ₴ 17.50%

Steam

in profit

FAMAS | CaliCamo

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

35.45 ₴ 17.50%

Steam

in profit

P90 | Verdant Growth

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.117499

28.63 ₴ 17.50%

Steam

at a loss

AK-47 | VariCamo Grey

Field-Tested

float up to 0.167968

3.39 ₴ 3.33%

Steam

at a loss

Dual Berettas | Polished Malachite

Field-Tested

float up to 0.199999

1.92 ₴ 3.33%

Steam

at a loss

Galil AR | Acid Dart

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

3.17 ₴ 3.33%

Steam

at a loss

P2000 | Marsh

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

2.73 ₴ 3.33%

Steam

at a loss

MAC-10 | Acid Hex

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.144999

2.61 ₴ 3.33%

Steam

at a loss

worst

P90 | Mustard Gas

Field-Tested

float up to 0.157499

1.37 ₴ 3.33%

Steam

at a loss

R8 Revolver | Leafhopper

Field-Tested

float up to 0.162744

1.58 ₴ 3.33%

Steam

at a loss

SSG 08 | Tiger Tear

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.137499

2.12 ₴ 3.33%

Steam

at a loss

Tec-9 | Garter-9

Field-Tested

float up to 0.174999

1.42 ₴ 3.33%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Boreal Collection

Variant 2 The Overpass Collection instead of The Boreal Collection Variant 3 The Overpass Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 4 The Train Collection instead of The Boreal Collection Variant 5 The Lake Collection instead of The Boreal Collection Variant 6 The Safehouse Collection instead of The Boreal Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −4.52 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −1.27 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Mirage Collection and The Boreal Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Boreal Collection

How to build i Ways to build 3 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 13 outcomes

More

How to build