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The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Harlequin Collection

Consumer Grade → Industrial Grade

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −271.52₸

Invest at least 456.04₸

Average return 184.52₸

ROI −59.5%

Chance of profit 0%

With float: invest at least 456.04 ₸, profit at most −271.52 ₸

float premium: at least 230 ₸

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +33.24 ₸ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

≈1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 7 шт., годных ≈56, цена занижена

×7

Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1798

142.51 ₸

at 20.36

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir MAG-7 | Navy Sheen (Field-Tested) — 22.78 ₸ +2.42 ₸ per item · on the market 3 621 · buy 0.1500–0.1648
Souvenir P250 | Drought (Minimal Wear) — 27.39 ₸ +7.03 ₸ per item · on the market 1 873 · buy 0.0700–0.1318
Souvenir SSG 08 | Prey (Minimal Wear) — 28.12 ₸ +7.76 ₸ per item · on the market 1 507 · buy 0.0700–0.1438

souvenirSteam

×3

PP-Bizon | Thermal Currents

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0803

41.00 ₸

at 13.67

if this one runs out, you can take

CZ75-Auto | Honey Paisley (Minimal Wear) — 13.67 ₸ · on the market 27 994 · buy 0.0700–0.0803
FAMAS | Byproduct (Minimal Wear) — 13.67 ₸ · on the market 41 456 · buy 0.0700–0.0736
MP9 | Bee-Tron (Minimal Wear) — 13.67 ₸ · on the market 15 755 · buy 0.0700–0.1205

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 183.51 ₸ +1.01 (+0.6%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 8 шт., годных ≈9, цена занижена

×8

Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1683

162.87 ₸

at 20.36

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir MAG-7 | Navy Sheen (Field-Tested) — 22.78 ₸ +2.42 ₸ per item · on the market 3 621 · buy 0.1500–0.1543
Souvenir P250 | Drought (Minimal Wear) — 27.39 ₸ +7.03 ₸ per item · on the market 1 873 · buy 0.0700–0.1234
Souvenir SSG 08 | Prey (Minimal Wear) — 28.12 ₸ +7.76 ₸ per item · on the market 1 507 · buy 0.0700–0.1347

souvenirSteam

×2

PP-Bizon | Thermal Currents

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0763

27.33 ₸

at 13.67

if this one runs out, you can take

CZ75-Auto | Honey Paisley (Minimal Wear) — 13.67 ₸ · on the market 27 994 · buy 0.0700–0.0763
FAMAS | Byproduct (Minimal Wear) — 13.67 ₸ · on the market 41 456 · buy 0.070000–0.070033
MP9 | Bee-Tron (Minimal Wear) — 13.67 ₸ · on the market 15 755 · buy 0.0700–0.1145

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 190.20 ₸ +17.88 (+9.4%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 9 шт., годных ≈7, цена занижена

×9

Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1660

183.23 ₸

at 20.36

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir MAG-7 | Navy Sheen (Field-Tested) — 22.78 ₸ +2.42 ₸ per item · on the market 3 621 · buy 0.1500–0.1522
Souvenir P250 | Drought (Minimal Wear) — 27.39 ₸ +7.03 ₸ per item · on the market 1 873 · buy 0.0700–0.1217
Souvenir SSG 08 | Prey (Minimal Wear) — 28.12 ₸ +7.76 ₸ per item · on the market 1 507 · buy 0.0700–0.1328

souvenirSteam

×1

FAMAS | Byproduct

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0048

15.13 ₸

at 15.13

if this one runs out, you can take

Sawed-Off | Crimson Batik (Factory New) — 16.31 ₸ +1.18 ₸ per item · on the market 7 259 · buy 0.0000–0.0053
SG 553 | Safari Print (Factory New) — 18.56 ₸ +3.43 ₸ per item · on the market 2 860 · buy 0.0000–0.0062
CZ75-Auto | Honey Paisley (Factory New) — 19.29 ₸ +4.16 ₸ per item · on the market 6 871 · buy 0.0000–0.0053

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 198.36 ₸ +33.24 (+16.8%)

What you get 9 outcomes

Profitable outcome 52%
Losing outcome 48%

at a loss

CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.124999

176.59 ₸ 17.50%

Steam

in profit

best

Dual Berettas | Drift Wood

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

358.53 ₸ 17.50%

Steam

in profit

FAMAS | CaliCamo

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

353.18 ₸ 17.50%

Steam

in profit

P90 | Verdant Growth

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.117499

285.30 ₸ 17.50%

Steam

at a loss

worst

MP5-SD | Picnic

Field-Tested

float up to 0.187499

13.67 ₸ 6.00%

Steam

at a loss

MP7 | Coral Paisley

Field-Tested

float up to 0.162499

18.17 ₸ 6.00%

Steam

at a loss

SSG 08 | Calligrafaux

Field-Tested

float up to 0.249999

24.35 ₸ 6.00%

Steam

at a loss

Tec-9 | Banana Leaf

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

29.41 ₸ 6.00%

Steam

at a loss

XM1014 | XoooM

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

28.12 ₸ 6.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Harlequin Collection

Variant 2 The Overpass Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection Variant 3 The Overpass Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 4 The Train Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection Variant 5 The Lake Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection Variant 6 The Safehouse Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −45.27 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −12.60 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Mirage Collection and The Harlequin Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Harlequin Collection

How to build i Ways to build 3 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 9 outcomes

More

How to build