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The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Horizon Collection

Classified → Covert

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −26 483.45₽

Invest at least 50 587.03₽

Average return 24 103.57₽

ROI −52.4%

Chance of profit 10%

With float: invest at least 50 587.03 ₽, profit at most −26 483.45 ₽

float premium: at least 24 582 ₽

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −12 193 ₽

Sell on CSFloat: without them the profit is −7 704.29 ₽

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

MP5-SD | Oxide Oasis

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1641

11 202.20 ₽

at 11 202.20

if this one runs out, you can take

Desert Eagle | Fennec Fox (Field-Tested) — 14 875.16 ₽ +3 672.96 ₽ per item · on the market 11 · buy 0.1500–0.2387

Steam

×4

Sawed-Off | Devourer

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0749

2 681.20 ₽

at 670.30

if this one runs out, you can take

M4A1-S | Nightmare (Minimal Wear) — 1 933.22 ₽ +1 262.92 ₽ per item · on the market 170 · buy 0.0700–0.0936
FAMAS | Eye of Athena (Factory New) — 3 096.53 ₽ +2 426.23 ₽ per item · on the market 59 · buy 0.0000–0.0655

Steam

×5

Sawed-Off | Devourer

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0043

8 117.10 ₽

at 1 623.42

if this one runs out, you can take

FAMAS | Eye of Athena (Factory New) — 3 096.53 ₽ +1 473.11 ₽ per item · on the market 59 · buy 0.0000–0.0037
M4A1-S | Nightmare (Factory New) — 22 175.83 ₽ +20 552.41 ₽ per item · on the market 46 · buy 0.0000–0.0053

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 22 000.50 ₽ +2 103.07 (+9.6%)

What you get 3 outcomes

Profitable outcome 10%
Losing outcome 90%

at a loss

AK-47 | Neon Rider

Factory New

float up to 0.055999

20 517.68 ₽ 45.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

Desert Eagle | Code Red

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

16 017.07 ₽ 45.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

best

AWP | Desert Hydra

Factory New

float up to 0.041999

100 075.19 ₽ 10.00%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Horizon Collection

Variant 2 The Danger Zone Collection instead of The Horizon Collection Variant 3 The Overpass 2024 Collection instead of The Horizon Collection Variant 4 The Revolver Case Collection instead of The Horizon Collection Variant 5 The Prisma Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 6 The Revolution Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +323.85 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +1 702.51 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Mirage Collection and The Horizon Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Horizon Collection

How to build i Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 3 outcomes

More

How to build