The 2021 Mirage Collection — craft

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

Souvenir MP9 | Music Box

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0766

1 260.38 ₸

at 1 260.38

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir SG 553 | Desert Blossom (Factory New) — 1 650.29 ₸ +389.91 ₸ per item · on the market 134 · buy 0.0000–0.0683
Souvenir M249 | Humidor (Factory New) — 1 679.08 ₸ +418.70 ₸ per item · on the market 176 · buy 0.0000–0.0696
Souvenir USP-S | Purple DDPAT (Minimal Wear) — 2 086.48 ₸ +826.10 ₸ per item · on the market 98 · buy 0.0700–0.0766

souvenirSteam

×2

MP9 | Dart

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0766

1 099.82 ₸

at 549.91

if this one runs out, you can take

UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear) — 687.92 ₸ +138.01 ₸ per item · on the market 124 · buy 0.0700–0.1083
MAG-7 | Firestarter (Minimal Wear) — 1 130.35 ₸ +580.45 ₸ per item · on the market 102 · buy 0.0700–0.1316
G3SG1 | Murky (Factory New) — 1 338.21 ₸ +788.31 ₸ per item · on the market 95 · buy 0.0000–0.0416

Steam

×7

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0766

4 815.43 ₸

at 687.92

if this one runs out, you can take

MAG-7 | Firestarter (Minimal Wear) — 1 130.35 ₸ +442.43 ₸ per item · on the market 102 · buy 0.0700–0.0847
G3SG1 | Murky (Factory New) — 1 338.21 ₸ +650.29 ₸ per item · on the market 95 · buy 0.0000–0.0143
MP9 | Dart (Factory New) — 1 416.72 ₸ +728.80 ₸ per item · on the market 126 · buy 0.0000–0.0264

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 7 175.63 ₸ +5 425.29 (+75.6%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −1 895 ₸

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×4

Souvenir MP9 | Music Box

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0773

5 041.51 ₸

at 1 260.38

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir M249 | Humidor (Minimal Wear) — 1 346.76 ₸ +86.38 ₸ per item · on the market 86 · buy 0.0700–0.0703
Souvenir SG 553 | Desert Blossom (Factory New) — 1 650.29 ₸ +389.91 ₸ per item · on the market 134 · buy 0.0000–0.0689
Souvenir USP-S | Purple DDPAT (Minimal Wear) — 2 086.48 ₸ +826.10 ₸ per item · on the market 98 · buy 0.0700–0.0773

souvenirSteam

×1

Souvenir SG 553 | Desert Blossom

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0064

1 650.29 ₸

at 1 650.29

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir M249 | Humidor (Factory New) — 1 679.08 ₸ +28.79 ₸ per item · on the market 176 · buy 0.0000–0.0065
Souvenir MP9 | Music Box (Factory New) — 1 708.89 ₸ +58.60 ₸ per item · on the market 181 · buy 0.0000–0.0072
Souvenir USP-S | Purple DDPAT (Factory New) — 3 398.93 ₸ +1 748.65 ₸ per item · on the market 160 · buy 0.0000–0.0072

souvenirSteam

×5

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0773

3 439.59 ₸

at 687.92

if this one runs out, you can take

MAG-7 | Firestarter (Minimal Wear) — 1 130.35 ₸ +442.43 ₸ per item · on the market 102 · buy 0.0700–0.0857
G3SG1 | Murky (Factory New) — 1 338.21 ₸ +650.29 ₸ per item · on the market 95 · buy 0.0000–0.0149
MP9 | Dart (Factory New) — 1 416.72 ₸ +728.80 ₸ per item · on the market 126 · buy 0.0000–0.0275

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 10 131.39 ₸ +2 394.84 (+23.6%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −5 074 ₸

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 5 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×5

Souvenir MP9 | Music Box

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0758

6 301.89 ₸

at 1 260.38

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir SG 553 | Desert Blossom (Factory New) — 1 650.29 ₸ +389.91 ₸ per item · on the market 134 · buy 0.0000–0.0675
Souvenir M249 | Humidor (Factory New) — 1 679.08 ₸ +418.70 ₸ per item · on the market 176 · buy 0.0000–0.0689
Souvenir USP-S | Purple DDPAT (Minimal Wear) — 2 086.48 ₸ +826.10 ₸ per item · on the market 98 · buy 0.0700–0.0758

souvenirSteam

×2

Souvenir SG 553 | Desert Blossom

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0051

3 300.57 ₸

at 1 650.29

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir M249 | Humidor (Factory New) — 1 679.08 ₸ +28.79 ₸ per item · on the market 176 · buy 0.0000–0.0052
Souvenir MP9 | Music Box (Factory New) — 1 708.89 ₸ +58.60 ₸ per item · on the market 181 · buy 0.0000–0.0057
Souvenir USP-S | Purple DDPAT (Factory New) — 3 398.93 ₸ +1 748.65 ₸ per item · on the market 160 · buy 0.0000–0.0057

souvenirSteam

×3

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0758

2 063.76 ₸

at 687.92

if this one runs out, you can take

MAG-7 | Firestarter (Minimal Wear) — 1 130.35 ₸ +442.43 ₸ per item · on the market 102 · buy 0.0700–0.0835
G3SG1 | Murky (Factory New) — 1 338.21 ₸ +650.29 ₸ per item · on the market 95 · buy 0.0000–0.0136
MP9 | Dart (Factory New) — 1 416.72 ₸ +728.80 ₸ per item · on the market 126 · buy 0.0000–0.0251

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 11 666.22 ₸ +822.67 (+7.0%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −110 ₸

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×4

Souvenir MP9 | Music Box

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0756

5 041.51 ₸

at 1 260.38

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir SG 553 | Desert Blossom (Factory New) — 1 650.29 ₸ +389.91 ₸ per item · on the market 134 · buy 0.0000–0.0674
Souvenir M249 | Humidor (Factory New) — 1 679.08 ₸ +418.70 ₸ per item · on the market 176 · buy 0.0000–0.0688
Souvenir USP-S | Purple DDPAT (Minimal Wear) — 2 086.48 ₸ +826.10 ₸ per item · on the market 98 · buy 0.0700–0.0756

souvenirSteam

×6

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0756

4 127.51 ₸

at 687.92

if this one runs out, you can take

MAG-7 | Firestarter (Minimal Wear) — 1 130.35 ₸ +442.43 ₸ per item · on the market 102 · buy 0.0700–0.0832
G3SG1 | Murky (Factory New) — 1 338.21 ₸ +650.29 ₸ per item · on the market 95 · buy 0.0000–0.0135
MP9 | Dart (Factory New) — 1 416.72 ₸ +728.80 ₸ per item · on the market 126 · buy 0.0000–0.0248

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 9 169.03 ₸ +3 375.87 (+36.8%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×2

Souvenir MP9 | Music Box

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0749

2 520.76 ₸

at 1 260.38

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir SG 553 | Desert Blossom (Factory New) — 1 650.29 ₸ +389.91 ₸ per item · on the market 134 · buy 0.0000–0.0667
Souvenir M249 | Humidor (Factory New) — 1 679.08 ₸ +418.70 ₸ per item · on the market 176 · buy 0.0000–0.0681
Souvenir USP-S | Purple DDPAT (Minimal Wear) — 2 086.48 ₸ +826.10 ₸ per item · on the market 98 · buy 0.0700–0.0749

souvenirSteam

×1

MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1641

421.79 ₸

at 421.79

if this one runs out, you can take

MP9 | Dart (Minimal Wear) — 549.91 ₸ +128.11 ₸ per item · on the market 47 · buy 0.0700–0.1114
UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear) — 687.92 ₸ +266.12 ₸ per item · on the market 124 · buy 0.0700–0.1302
G3SG1 | Murky (Factory New) — 1 338.21 ₸ +916.42 ₸ per item · on the market 95 · buy 0.0000–0.0605

Steam

×7

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0749

4 815.43 ₸

at 687.92

if this one runs out, you can take

MAG-7 | Firestarter (Minimal Wear) — 1 130.35 ₸ +442.43 ₸ per item · on the market 102 · buy 0.0700–0.0821
G3SG1 | Murky (Factory New) — 1 338.21 ₸ +650.29 ₸ per item · on the market 95 · buy 0.0000–0.0128
MP9 | Dart (Factory New) — 1 416.72 ₸ +728.80 ₸ per item · on the market 126 · buy 0.0000–0.0236

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 7 757.98 ₸ +4 824.26 (+62.2%)

What you get 7 outcomes

Profitable outcome 55%
Losing outcome 45%

at a loss

Glock-18 | Grinder

Factory New

float up to 0.040124

4 224.53 ₸ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

best

M4A4 | Griffin

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

38 527.84 ₸ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

M4A1-S | Basilisk

Factory New

float up to 0.059499

14 048.18 ₸ 22.50%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Sawed-Off | Highwayman

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.087499

1 249.69 ₸ 22.50%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

AUG | Sand Storm

Factory New

float up to 0.043749

14 582.68 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.124749

14 231.12 ₸ 3.33%

Steam

in profit

XM1014 | Elegant Vines

Factory New

float up to 0.032374

14 079.45 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +2 881.14 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +4 288.53 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Mirage Collection and The Vanguard Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 9 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3349803 · The Graphic Design Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 5 727.56₸ · invest 6 370.00₸
sells slowly rare inputs

SG 553 | Berry Gel Coat (Field-Tested) instead of Souvenir MP9 | Music Box (Minimal Wear); MP9 | Dart (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074419 instead of 0.076665; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074419 instead of 0.076665
Craft 3357534 · The Vanguard Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 5 570.86₸ · invest 6 270.45₸
sells slowly rare inputs

Tec-9 | Jambiya (Field-Tested) instead of Souvenir MP9 | Music Box (Minimal Wear); MP9 | Dart (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075716 instead of 0.076665; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075716 instead of 0.076665
Craft 3352752 · The Operation Broken Fang Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 5 547.73₸ · invest 6 326.64₸
sells slowly rare inputs

G3SG1 | Digital Mesh (Field-Tested) instead of Souvenir MP9 | Music Box (Minimal Wear); MP9 | Dart (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074419 instead of 0.076665; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074419 instead of 0.076665
Craft 3332631 · The Bank Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 5 477.41₸ · invest 6 044.60₸
rare inputs

CZ75-Auto | Tuxedo (Field-Tested) instead of Souvenir MP9 | Music Box (Minimal Wear); MP9 | Dart (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074419 instead of 0.076665; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074419 instead of 0.076665
Craft 3330267 · The Anubis Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 5 464.95₸ · invest 6 429.44₸
sells slowly rare inputs

Tec-9 | Mummy's Rot (Field-Tested) instead of Souvenir MP9 | Music Box (Minimal Wear); MP9 | Dart (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075716 instead of 0.076665; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075716 instead of 0.076665
Craft 3353241 · The Operation Riptide Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 5 433.40₸ · invest 6 369.38₸
rare inputs

MP7 | Guerrilla (Field-Tested) instead of Souvenir MP9 | Music Box (Minimal Wear); MP9 | Dart (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075716 instead of 0.076665; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075716 instead of 0.076665
Craft 3327428 · The 2021 Train Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 5 400.24₸ · invest 6 759.23₸
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | Full Stop (Minimal Wear) instead of Souvenir MP9 | Music Box (Minimal Wear); MP9 | Dart (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077051 instead of 0.076665; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077051 instead of 0.076665
Craft 3356808 · The Shattered Web Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 5 321.74₸ · invest 6 270.79₸
sells slowly rare inputs

G3SG1 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) instead of Souvenir MP9 | Music Box (Minimal Wear); MP9 | Dart (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074419 instead of 0.076665; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074419 instead of 0.076665
Craft 3357567 · The Vanguard Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 5 272.24₸ · invest 6 883.07₸
sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

XM1014 | Red Python (Field-Tested) instead of Souvenir MP9 | Music Box (Minimal Wear); MP9 | Dart (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074602 instead of 0.076665; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074602 instead of 0.076665

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Vanguard Collection

How to build

What you get 7 outcomes

Craft variants

More

The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Vanguard Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 7 outcomes

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How to build