The 2021 Train Collection — craft

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 9 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×9

Nova | Red Quartz

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0041

91.05 $

at 10.12

if this one runs out, you can take

CZ75-Auto | Syndicate (Factory New) — 17.40 $ +7.28 $ per item · on the market 53 · buy 0.0000–0.0073
MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly (Factory New) — 17.78 $ +7.66 $ per item · on the market 40 · buy 0.0000–0.0060
P2000 | Space Race (Factory New) — 20.87 $ +10.75 $ per item · on the market 50 · buy 0.0000–0.0062

Steam

×1

M4A4 | Zirka

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

23.33 $

at 23.33

if this one runs out, you can take

USP-S | Overgrowth (Minimal Wear) — 24.29 $ +0.96 $ per item · on the market 54 · buy 0.0700–0.0903
MAC-10 | Graven (Minimal Wear) — 27.33 $ +3.99 $ per item · on the market 23 · buy 0.0700–0.0903
M4A1-S | Bright Water (Minimal Wear) — 45.07 $ +21.73 $ per item · on the market 186 · buy 0.1000–0.1049

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 114.38 $ +33.12 (+29.0%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −37 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 7 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×7

Nova | Red Quartz

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0042

70.82 $

at 10.12

if this one runs out, you can take

CZ75-Auto | Syndicate (Factory New) — 17.40 $ +7.28 $ per item · on the market 53 · buy 0.0000–0.0074
MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly (Factory New) — 17.78 $ +7.66 $ per item · on the market 40 · buy 0.0000–0.0061
P2000 | Space Race (Factory New) — 20.87 $ +10.75 $ per item · on the market 50 · buy 0.0000–0.0064

Steam

×3

USP-S | Overgrowth

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

72.88 $

at 24.29

if this one runs out, you can take

MAC-10 | Graven (Minimal Wear) — 27.33 $ +3.03 $ per item · on the market 23 · buy 0.0700–0.0748
M4A1-S | Bright Water (Minimal Wear) — 45.07 $ +20.77 $ per item · on the market 186 · buy 0.1000–0.1024
M4A4 | Zirka (Factory New) — 106.55 $ +82.26 $ per item · on the market 15 · buy 0.0600–0.0672

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 143.70 $ +17.56 (+12.2%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −48 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 6 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×6

Nova | Red Quartz

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0038

60.70 $

at 10.12

if this one runs out, you can take

CZ75-Auto | Syndicate (Factory New) — 17.40 $ +7.28 $ per item · on the market 53 · buy 0.0000–0.0067
MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly (Factory New) — 17.78 $ +7.66 $ per item · on the market 40 · buy 0.0000–0.0055
P2000 | Space Race (Factory New) — 20.87 $ +10.75 $ per item · on the market 50 · buy 0.0000–0.0057

Steam

×4

USP-S | Overgrowth

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0743

97.17 $

at 24.29

if this one runs out, you can take

MAC-10 | Graven (Minimal Wear) — 27.33 $ +3.03 $ per item · on the market 23 · buy 0.0700–0.0743
M4A1-S | Bright Water (Minimal Wear) — 45.07 $ +20.77 $ per item · on the market 186 · buy 0.1000–0.1023
M4A4 | Zirka (Factory New) — 106.55 $ +82.26 $ per item · on the market 15 · buy 0.0600–0.0669

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 157.87 $ +10.25 (+6.5%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −25 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 8 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×8

Nova | Red Quartz

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0037

80.93 $

at 10.12

if this one runs out, you can take

CZ75-Auto | Syndicate (Factory New) — 17.40 $ +7.28 $ per item · on the market 53 · buy 0.0000–0.0066
MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly (Factory New) — 17.78 $ +7.66 $ per item · on the market 40 · buy 0.0000–0.0055
P2000 | Space Race (Factory New) — 20.87 $ +10.75 $ per item · on the market 50 · buy 0.0000–0.0056

Steam

×1

M4A4 | Zirka

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0743

23.33 $

at 23.33

if this one runs out, you can take

USP-S | Overgrowth (Minimal Wear) — 24.29 $ +0.96 $ per item · on the market 54 · buy 0.0700–0.0894
MAC-10 | Graven (Minimal Wear) — 27.33 $ +3.99 $ per item · on the market 23 · buy 0.0700–0.0894
M4A1-S | Bright Water (Minimal Wear) — 45.07 $ +21.73 $ per item · on the market 186 · buy 0.1000–0.1047

Steam

×1

USP-S | Overgrowth

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0743

24.29 $

at 24.29

if this one runs out, you can take

MAC-10 | Graven (Minimal Wear) — 27.33 $ +3.03 $ per item · on the market 23 · buy 0.0700–0.0743
M4A1-S | Bright Water (Minimal Wear) — 45.07 $ +20.77 $ per item · on the market 186 · buy 0.1000–0.1023
M4A4 | Zirka (Factory New) — 106.55 $ +82.26 $ per item · on the market 15 · buy 0.0600–0.0669

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 128.56 $ +25.82 (+20.1%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 37%
Losing outcome 63%

at a loss

worst

FAMAS | Meltdown

Factory New

float up to 0.005405

76.05 $ 30.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

MAC-10 | Propaganda

Factory New

float up to 0.008378

77.02 $ 30.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

USP-S | Whiteout

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

332.11 $ 30.00%

rarely sells

Steam

in profit

AWP | Graphite

Factory New

float up to 0.001621

151.01 $ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

P2000 | Ocean Foam

Factory New

float up to 0.001621

119.50 $ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

best

P90 | Emerald Dragon

Factory New

float up to 0.066216

400.91 $ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −0.19 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +28.19 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Train Collection and The Bravo Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 6 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3326508 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The 2021 Train Collection · profit 33.03$ · invest 120.73$
profit on prices without salesat least −16 $ rare inputs

Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | Zirka (Minimal Wear); Nova | Red Quartz (Factory New): float at most 0.005361 instead of 0.004181
Craft 3327410 · The 2021 Train Collection + The Spy Tech Collection · profit 32.13$ · invest 103.19$
profit on prices without salesat least −17 $ rare inputs

CZ75-Auto | Hydraulics (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | Zirka (Minimal Wear); Nova | Red Quartz (Factory New): float at most 0.005750 instead of 0.004181
Craft 3327287 · The 2021 Train Collection + The Graphic Design Collection · profit 32.06$ · invest 106.44$
profit on prices without salesat least −20 $ rare inputs

P90 | Attack Vector (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | Zirka (Minimal Wear); Nova | Red Quartz (Factory New): float at most 0.005556 instead of 0.004181
Craft 3327164 · The 2021 Train Collection + The Arabesque Collection · profit 31.98$ · invest 105.62$
profit on prices without salesat least −19 $ rare inputs

Glock-18 | Ifrit Lattice (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | Zirka (Minimal Wear); Nova | Red Quartz (Factory New): float at most 0.005750 instead of 0.004181
Craft 3327319 · The 2021 Train Collection + The Operation Broken Fang Collection · profit 31.46$ · invest 109.45$
profit on prices without salesat least −12 $ rare inputs

UMP-45 | Gold Bismuth (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | Zirka (Minimal Wear); Nova | Red Quartz (Factory New): float at most 0.005647 instead of 0.004181
Craft 3327160 · The 2021 Train Collection + The Anubis Collection · profit 30.68$ · invest 106.22$
profit on prices without salesat least −13 $ rare inputs

Nova | Sobek's Bite (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | Zirka (Minimal Wear); Nova | Red Quartz (Factory New): float at most 0.005750 instead of 0.004181

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Train Collection + The Bravo Collection

How to build

What you get 6 outcomes

Craft variants

More

The 2021 Train Collection + The Bravo Collection

How to build i Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 6 outcomes

More

How to build