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The 2021 Train Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −278.19₴

Invest at least 763.07₴

Average return 484.88₴

ROI −36.5%

Chance of profit 22%

With float: invest at least 763.07 ₴, profit at most −278.19 ₴

float premium: at least 417 ₴

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

UMP-45 | Full Stop

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0774

84.71 ₴

at 84.71

if this one runs out, you can take

M4A1-S | Fizzy POP (Minimal Wear) — 112.28 ₴ +27.57 ₴ per item · on the market 273 · buy 0.0700–0.0735
Tec-9 | Safety Net (Minimal Wear) — 117.40 ₴ +32.70 ₴ per item · on the market 42 · buy 0.0700–0.0774
SSG 08 | Spring Twilly (Minimal Wear) — 120.56 ₴ +35.85 ₴ per item · on the market 79 · buy 0.0700–0.0709

Steam

×7

UMP-45 | Briefing

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0774

148.88 ₴

at 21.27

if this one runs out, you can take

Five-SeveN | Scumbria (Minimal Wear) — 23.27 ₴ +2.00 ₴ per item · on the market 100 · buy 0.0700–0.0774
CZ75-Auto | Imprint (Minimal Wear) — 28.67 ₴ +7.40 ₴ per item · on the market 170 · buy 0.0700–0.0774
G3SG1 | Ventilator (Factory New) — 45.35 ₴ +24.08 ₴ per item · on the market 211 · buy 0.0000–0.0348

Steam

×2

G3SG1 | Ventilator

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0065

90.71 ₴

at 45.35

if this one runs out, you can take

XM1014 | Slipstream (Factory New) — 45.47 ₴ +0.11 ₴ per item · on the market 195 · buy 0.0000–0.0072
P90 | Grim (Factory New) — 56.44 ₴ +11.09 ₴ per item · on the market 135 · buy 0.0000–0.0115
UMP-45 | Briefing (Factory New) — 82.28 ₴ +36.93 ₴ per item · on the market 126 · buy 0.0000–0.0144

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 324.29 ₴ +160.59 (+49.5%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×2

UMP-45 | Full Stop

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0782

169.41 ₴

at 84.71

if this one runs out, you can take

M4A1-S | Fizzy POP (Minimal Wear) — 112.28 ₴ +27.57 ₴ per item · on the market 273 · buy 0.0700–0.0743
Tec-9 | Safety Net (Minimal Wear) — 117.40 ₴ +32.70 ₴ per item · on the market 42 · buy 0.0700–0.0782
SSG 08 | Spring Twilly (Minimal Wear) — 120.56 ₴ +35.85 ₴ per item · on the market 79 · buy 0.0700–0.0717

Steam

×5

UMP-45 | Briefing

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0782

106.34 ₴

at 21.27

if this one runs out, you can take

Five-SeveN | Scumbria (Minimal Wear) — 23.27 ₴ +2.00 ₴ per item · on the market 100 · buy 0.0700–0.0782
CZ75-Auto | Imprint (Minimal Wear) — 28.67 ₴ +7.40 ₴ per item · on the market 170 · buy 0.0700–0.0782
G3SG1 | Ventilator (Factory New) — 45.35 ₴ +24.08 ₴ per item · on the market 211 · buy 0.0000–0.0352

Steam

×3

G3SG1 | Ventilator

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0072

136.06 ₴

at 45.35

if this one runs out, you can take

XM1014 | Slipstream (Factory New) — 45.47 ₴ +0.11 ₴ per item · on the market 195 · buy 0.0000–0.0080
P90 | Grim (Factory New) — 56.44 ₴ +11.09 ₴ per item · on the market 135 · buy 0.0000–0.0128
UMP-45 | Briefing (Factory New) — 82.28 ₴ +36.93 ₴ per item · on the market 126 · buy 0.0000–0.0160

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 411.81 ₴ +108.61 (+26.4%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −180 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×4

UMP-45 | Full Stop

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0756

338.83 ₴

at 84.71

if this one runs out, you can take

M4A1-S | Fizzy POP (Minimal Wear) — 112.28 ₴ +27.57 ₴ per item · on the market 273 · buy 0.0700–0.0718
Tec-9 | Safety Net (Minimal Wear) — 117.40 ₴ +32.70 ₴ per item · on the market 42 · buy 0.0700–0.0756
R8 Revolver | Blaze (Factory New) — 158.28 ₴ +73.57 ₴ per item · on the market 551 · buy 0.0000–0.0100

Steam

×2

UMP-45 | Briefing

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0756

42.54 ₴

at 21.27

if this one runs out, you can take

Five-SeveN | Scumbria (Minimal Wear) — 23.27 ₴ +2.00 ₴ per item · on the market 100 · buy 0.0700–0.0756
CZ75-Auto | Imprint (Minimal Wear) — 28.67 ₴ +7.40 ₴ per item · on the market 170 · buy 0.0700–0.0756
G3SG1 | Ventilator (Factory New) — 45.35 ₴ +24.08 ₴ per item · on the market 211 · buy 0.0000–0.0340

Steam

×4

G3SG1 | Ventilator

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0049

181.41 ₴

at 45.35

if this one runs out, you can take

XM1014 | Slipstream (Factory New) — 45.47 ₴ +0.11 ₴ per item · on the market 195 · buy 0.0000–0.0055
P90 | Grim (Factory New) — 56.44 ₴ +11.09 ₴ per item · on the market 135 · buy 0.0000–0.0088
UMP-45 | Briefing (Factory New) — 82.28 ₴ +36.93 ₴ per item · on the market 126 · buy 0.0000–0.0110

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 562.77 ₴ +28.73 (+5.1%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −76 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×3

UMP-45 | Full Stop

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

254.12 ₴

at 84.71

if this one runs out, you can take

M4A1-S | Fizzy POP (Minimal Wear) — 112.28 ₴ +27.57 ₴ per item · on the market 273 · buy 0.0700–0.0709
Tec-9 | Safety Net (Minimal Wear) — 117.40 ₴ +32.70 ₴ per item · on the market 42 · buy 0.0700–0.0747
R8 Revolver | Blaze (Factory New) — 158.28 ₴ +73.57 ₴ per item · on the market 551 · buy 0.0000–0.0099

Steam

×4

UMP-45 | Briefing

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

85.07 ₴

at 21.27

if this one runs out, you can take

Five-SeveN | Scumbria (Minimal Wear) — 23.27 ₴ +2.00 ₴ per item · on the market 100 · buy 0.0700–0.0747
CZ75-Auto | Imprint (Minimal Wear) — 28.67 ₴ +7.40 ₴ per item · on the market 170 · buy 0.0700–0.0747
G3SG1 | Ventilator (Factory New) — 45.35 ₴ +24.08 ₴ per item · on the market 211 · buy 0.0000–0.0336

Steam

×3

G3SG1 | Ventilator

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0041

136.06 ₴

at 45.35

if this one runs out, you can take

XM1014 | Slipstream (Factory New) — 45.47 ₴ +0.11 ₴ per item · on the market 195 · buy 0.0000–0.0045
P90 | Grim (Factory New) — 56.44 ₴ +11.09 ₴ per item · on the market 135 · buy 0.0000–0.0073
UMP-45 | Briefing (Factory New) — 82.28 ₴ +36.93 ₴ per item · on the market 126 · buy 0.0000–0.0091

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 475.25 ₴ +80.71 (+17.0%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 28%
Losing outcome 72%

at a loss

Desert Eagle | Directive

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.125799

290.39 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

best

Glock-18 | Weasel

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 852.30 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

MAG-7 | Petroglyph

Factory New

float up to 0.030799

89.08 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

SCAR-20 | Powercore

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

191.98 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

SG 553 | Triarch

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

159.96 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

AWP | POP AWP

Factory New

float up to 0.030799

1 627.81 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

CZ75-Auto | Syndicate

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

790.70 ₴ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

P2000 | Space Race

Factory New

float up to 0.041999

941.10 ₴ 2.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly

Factory New

float up to 0.040599

807.95 ₴ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

Nova | Red Quartz

Factory New

float up to 0.027999

459.73 ₴ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Train Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection

Variant 2 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Gamma 2 Collection Variant 3 The Vanguard Collection instead of The 2021 Train Collection Variant 4 The Glove Collection instead of The 2021 Train Collection Variant 5 The Prisma Collection instead of The 2021 Train Collection Variant 6 The Operation Riptide Collection instead of The 2021 Train Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +65.46 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +137.88 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Train Collection and The Gamma 2 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3347537 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 144.54₴ · invest 339.92₴
rare inputs pricier variants exist

Negev | Bratatat (Field-Tested) instead of UMP-45 | Full Stop (Minimal Wear); UMP-45 | Briefing (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074359 instead of 0.077433; G3SG1 | Ventilator (Factory New): float at most 0.003814 instead of 0.006504

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Train Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 10 outcomes

More

How to build