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The 2021 Train Collection + The Snakebite Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −276.68₴

Invest at least 577.99₴

Average return 301.31₴

ROI −47.9%

Chance of profit 26%

With float: invest at least 577.99 ₴, profit at most −276.68 ₴

float premium: at least 305 ₴

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

UMP-45 | Full Stop

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0776

84.71 ₴

at 84.71

if this one runs out, you can take

M4A1-S | Fizzy POP (Minimal Wear) — 112.28 ₴ +27.57 ₴ per item · on the market 273 · buy 0.0700–0.0737
Tec-9 | Safety Net (Minimal Wear) — 117.40 ₴ +32.70 ₴ per item · on the market 42 · buy 0.0700–0.0776
SSG 08 | Spring Twilly (Minimal Wear) — 120.56 ₴ +35.85 ₴ per item · on the market 79 · buy 0.0700–0.0711

Steam

×7

R8 Revolver | Junk Yard

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0776

115.53 ₴

at 16.50

if this one runs out, you can take

SG 553 | Heavy Metal (Minimal Wear) — 18.52 ₴ +2.02 ₴ per item · on the market 313 · buy 0.0700–0.0776
Nova | Windblown (Factory New) — 22.72 ₴ +6.21 ₴ per item · on the market 568 · buy 0.0000–0.0388
UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New) — 23.06 ₴ +6.55 ₴ per item · on the market 618 · buy 0.0000–0.0388

Steam

×2

Nova | Windblown

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0067

45.44 ₴

at 22.72

if this one runs out, you can take

UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New) — 23.06 ₴ +0.34 ₴ per item · on the market 618 · buy 0.0000–0.0067
M249 | O.S.I.P.R. (Factory New) — 29.28 ₴ +6.56 ₴ per item · on the market 321 · buy 0.0000–0.0093
CZ75-Auto | Circaetus (Factory New) — 48.30 ₴ +25.58 ₴ per item · on the market 219 · buy 0.0000–0.0120

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 245.67 ₴ +55.63 (+22.6%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −67 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×2

UMP-45 | Full Stop

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0785

169.41 ₴

at 84.71

if this one runs out, you can take

M4A1-S | Fizzy POP (Minimal Wear) — 112.28 ₴ +27.57 ₴ per item · on the market 273 · buy 0.0700–0.0746
Tec-9 | Safety Net (Minimal Wear) — 117.40 ₴ +32.70 ₴ per item · on the market 42 · buy 0.0700–0.0785
SSG 08 | Spring Twilly (Minimal Wear) — 120.56 ₴ +35.85 ₴ per item · on the market 79 · buy 0.0700–0.0720

Steam

×5

R8 Revolver | Junk Yard

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0785

82.52 ₴

at 16.50

if this one runs out, you can take

SG 553 | Heavy Metal (Minimal Wear) — 18.52 ₴ +2.02 ₴ per item · on the market 313 · buy 0.0700–0.0785
CZ75-Auto | Circaetus (Minimal Wear) — 18.81 ₴ +2.30 ₴ per item · on the market 281 · buy 0.0700–0.0707
Nova | Windblown (Factory New) — 22.72 ₴ +6.21 ₴ per item · on the market 568 · buy 0.0000–0.0392

Steam

×3

Nova | Windblown

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0075

68.16 ₴

at 22.72

if this one runs out, you can take

UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New) — 23.06 ₴ +0.34 ₴ per item · on the market 618 · buy 0.0000–0.0075
M249 | O.S.I.P.R. (Factory New) — 29.28 ₴ +6.56 ₴ per item · on the market 321 · buy 0.0000–0.0105
CZ75-Auto | Circaetus (Factory New) — 48.30 ₴ +25.58 ₴ per item · on the market 219 · buy 0.0000–0.0135

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 320.09 ₴ +37.15 (+11.6%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −202 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×4

UMP-45 | Full Stop

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0759

338.83 ₴

at 84.71

if this one runs out, you can take

M4A1-S | Fizzy POP (Minimal Wear) — 112.28 ₴ +27.57 ₴ per item · on the market 273 · buy 0.0700–0.0721
Tec-9 | Safety Net (Minimal Wear) — 117.40 ₴ +32.70 ₴ per item · on the market 42 · buy 0.0700–0.0759
R8 Revolver | Blaze (Factory New) — 158.28 ₴ +73.57 ₴ per item · on the market 551 · buy 0.0000–0.0101

Steam

×2

R8 Revolver | Junk Yard

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0759

33.01 ₴

at 16.50

if this one runs out, you can take

SG 553 | Heavy Metal (Minimal Wear) — 18.52 ₴ +2.02 ₴ per item · on the market 313 · buy 0.0700–0.0759
Nova | Windblown (Factory New) — 22.72 ₴ +6.21 ₴ per item · on the market 568 · buy 0.0000–0.0379
UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New) — 23.06 ₴ +6.55 ₴ per item · on the market 618 · buy 0.0000–0.0379

Steam

×4

Nova | Windblown

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0052

90.88 ₴

at 22.72

if this one runs out, you can take

UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New) — 23.06 ₴ +0.34 ₴ per item · on the market 618 · buy 0.0000–0.0052
M249 | O.S.I.P.R. (Factory New) — 29.28 ₴ +6.56 ₴ per item · on the market 321 · buy 0.0000–0.0072
CZ75-Auto | Circaetus (Factory New) — 48.30 ₴ +25.58 ₴ per item · on the market 219 · buy 0.0000–0.0093

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 462.71 ₴ +6.41 (+1.4%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −132 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×3

UMP-45 | Full Stop

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0749

254.12 ₴

at 84.71

if this one runs out, you can take

M4A1-S | Fizzy POP (Minimal Wear) — 112.28 ₴ +27.57 ₴ per item · on the market 273 · buy 0.0700–0.0711
Tec-9 | Safety Net (Minimal Wear) — 117.40 ₴ +32.70 ₴ per item · on the market 42 · buy 0.0700–0.0749
R8 Revolver | Blaze (Factory New) — 158.28 ₴ +73.57 ₴ per item · on the market 551 · buy 0.0000–0.0099

Steam

×4

R8 Revolver | Junk Yard

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0749

66.02 ₴

at 16.50

if this one runs out, you can take

SG 553 | Heavy Metal (Minimal Wear) — 18.52 ₴ +2.02 ₴ per item · on the market 313 · buy 0.0700–0.0749
Nova | Windblown (Factory New) — 22.72 ₴ +6.21 ₴ per item · on the market 568 · buy 0.0000–0.0374
UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New) — 23.06 ₴ +6.55 ₴ per item · on the market 618 · buy 0.0000–0.0374

Steam

×3

Nova | Windblown

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0042

68.16 ₴

at 22.72

if this one runs out, you can take

UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New) — 23.06 ₴ +0.34 ₴ per item · on the market 618 · buy 0.0000–0.0042
M249 | O.S.I.P.R. (Factory New) — 29.28 ₴ +6.56 ₴ per item · on the market 321 · buy 0.0000–0.0060
CZ75-Auto | Circaetus (Factory New) — 48.30 ₴ +25.58 ₴ per item · on the market 219 · buy 0.0000–0.0077

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 388.29 ₴ +24.89 (+6.4%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 28%
Losing outcome 72%

in profit

AK-47 | Slate

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

725.07 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

Desert Eagle | Trigger Discipline

Factory New

float up to 0.067899

267.67 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

MAC-10 | Button Masher

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

166.66 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Negev | dev_texture

Factory New

float up to 0.045499

93.34 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

P250 | Cyber Shell

Factory New

float up to 0.059499

158.15 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

best

AWP | POP AWP

Factory New

float up to 0.030799

1 627.81 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

CZ75-Auto | Syndicate

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

790.70 ₴ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

P2000 | Space Race

Factory New

float up to 0.041999

941.10 ₴ 2.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly

Factory New

float up to 0.040599

807.95 ₴ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

Nova | Red Quartz

Factory New

float up to 0.027999

459.73 ₴ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Train Collection + The Snakebite Collection

Variant 2 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Snakebite Collection Variant 3 The Vanguard Collection instead of The 2021 Train Collection Variant 4 The Prisma Collection instead of The Snakebite Collection Variant 5 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Snakebite Collection Variant 6 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The 2021 Train Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +4.60 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +36.15 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Train Collection and The Snakebite Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Train Collection + The Snakebite Collection

How to build i Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 10 outcomes

More

How to build