The 2021 Train Collection — craft

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

UMP-45 | Full Stop

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0753

1.86 $

at 1.86

if this one runs out, you can take

M4A1-S | Fizzy POP (Minimal Wear) — 2.47 $ +0.61 $ per item · on the market 273 · buy 0.0700–0.0716
Tec-9 | Safety Net (Minimal Wear) — 2.58 $ +0.72 $ per item · on the market 42 · buy 0.0700–0.0753
R8 Revolver | Blaze (Factory New) — 3.48 $ +1.62 $ per item · on the market 551 · buy 0.0000–0.0100

Steam

×6

XM1014 | Run Run Run

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0753

3.54 $

at 0.59

if this one runs out, you can take

UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear) — 0.85 $ +0.26 $ per item · on the market 512 · buy 0.0700–0.1009
FAMAS | 2A2F (Minimal Wear) — 1.06 $ +0.47 $ per item · on the market 631 · buy 0.0700–0.0868
Glock-18 | Green Line (Minimal Wear) — 1.21 $ +0.62 $ per item · on the market 956 · buy 0.0700–0.1009

Steam

×3

UMP-45 | Late Night Transit

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0753

2.55 $

at 0.85

if this one runs out, you can take

Glock-18 | Green Line (Minimal Wear) — 1.21 $ +0.36 $ per item · on the market 956 · buy 0.0700–0.0753
XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New) — 2.46 $ +1.61 $ per item · on the market 586 · buy 0.0000–0.0562
FAMAS | 2A2F (Factory New) — 3.91 $ +3.06 $ per item · on the market 267 · buy 0.0000–0.0648

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 7.95 $ +2.40 (+30.2%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −4 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×4

UMP-45 | Full Stop

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0755

7.46 $

at 1.86

if this one runs out, you can take

M4A1-S | Fizzy POP (Minimal Wear) — 2.47 $ +0.61 $ per item · on the market 273 · buy 0.0700–0.0718
Tec-9 | Safety Net (Minimal Wear) — 2.58 $ +0.72 $ per item · on the market 42 · buy 0.0700–0.0755
R8 Revolver | Blaze (Factory New) — 3.48 $ +1.62 $ per item · on the market 551 · buy 0.0000–0.0100

Steam

×6

UMP-45 | Late Night Transit

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0755

5.10 $

at 0.85

if this one runs out, you can take

Glock-18 | Green Line (Minimal Wear) — 1.21 $ +0.36 $ per item · on the market 956 · buy 0.0700–0.0755
XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New) — 2.46 $ +1.61 $ per item · on the market 586 · buy 0.0000–0.0564
FAMAS | 2A2F (Factory New) — 3.91 $ +3.06 $ per item · on the market 267 · buy 0.0000–0.0650

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 12.55 $ +0.25 (+2.0%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −2 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×3

UMP-45 | Full Stop

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0755

5.59 $

at 1.86

if this one runs out, you can take

M4A1-S | Fizzy POP (Minimal Wear) — 2.47 $ +0.61 $ per item · on the market 273 · buy 0.0700–0.0717
Tec-9 | Safety Net (Minimal Wear) — 2.58 $ +0.72 $ per item · on the market 42 · buy 0.0700–0.0755
R8 Revolver | Blaze (Factory New) — 3.48 $ +1.62 $ per item · on the market 551 · buy 0.0000–0.0100

Steam

×2

XM1014 | Run Run Run

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0755

1.18 $

at 0.59

if this one runs out, you can take

UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear) — 0.85 $ +0.26 $ per item · on the market 512 · buy 0.0700–0.1011
FAMAS | 2A2F (Minimal Wear) — 1.06 $ +0.47 $ per item · on the market 631 · buy 0.0700–0.0869
Glock-18 | Green Line (Minimal Wear) — 1.21 $ +0.62 $ per item · on the market 956 · buy 0.0700–0.1011

Steam

×5

UMP-45 | Late Night Transit

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0755

4.25 $

at 0.85

if this one runs out, you can take

Glock-18 | Green Line (Minimal Wear) — 1.21 $ +0.36 $ per item · on the market 956 · buy 0.0700–0.0755
XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New) — 2.46 $ +1.61 $ per item · on the market 586 · buy 0.0000–0.0563
FAMAS | 2A2F (Factory New) — 3.91 $ +3.06 $ per item · on the market 267 · buy 0.0000–0.0649

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 11.02 $ +0.97 (+8.8%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −1 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×2

UMP-45 | Full Stop

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0754

3.73 $

at 1.86

if this one runs out, you can take

M4A1-S | Fizzy POP (Minimal Wear) — 2.47 $ +0.61 $ per item · on the market 273 · buy 0.0700–0.0716
Tec-9 | Safety Net (Minimal Wear) — 2.58 $ +0.72 $ per item · on the market 42 · buy 0.0700–0.0754
R8 Revolver | Blaze (Factory New) — 3.48 $ +1.62 $ per item · on the market 551 · buy 0.0000–0.0100

Steam

×4

XM1014 | Run Run Run

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0754

2.36 $

at 0.59

if this one runs out, you can take

UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear) — 0.85 $ +0.26 $ per item · on the market 512 · buy 0.0700–0.1010
FAMAS | 2A2F (Minimal Wear) — 1.06 $ +0.47 $ per item · on the market 631 · buy 0.0700–0.0869
Glock-18 | Green Line (Minimal Wear) — 1.21 $ +0.62 $ per item · on the market 956 · buy 0.0700–0.1010

Steam

×4

UMP-45 | Late Night Transit

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0754

3.40 $

at 0.85

if this one runs out, you can take

Glock-18 | Green Line (Minimal Wear) — 1.21 $ +0.36 $ per item · on the market 956 · buy 0.0700–0.0754
XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New) — 2.46 $ +1.61 $ per item · on the market 586 · buy 0.0000–0.0563
FAMAS | 2A2F (Factory New) — 3.91 $ +3.06 $ per item · on the market 267 · buy 0.0000–0.0648

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 9.49 $ +1.69 (+17.8%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 70%
Losing outcome 30%

in profit

MAC-10 | Derailment

Factory New

float up to 0.067021

9.69 $ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Zeus x27 | Charged Up

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.095744

6.40 $ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

Tec-9 | Whiteout

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

16.83 $ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

best

AWP | POP AWP

Factory New

float up to 0.042127

35.82 $ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

CZ75-Auto | Syndicate

Factory New

float up to 0.067021

17.40 $ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

P2000 | Space Race

Factory New

float up to 0.057446

20.71 $ 2.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly

Factory New

float up to 0.055531

17.78 $ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

Nova | Red Quartz

Factory New

float up to 0.038297

10.12 $ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +0.94 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +1.88 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Train Collection and The Train 2025 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3327098 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 2.46$ · invest 8.87$
rare inputs

Souvenir MP9 | Music Box (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Full Stop (Minimal Wear); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074481 instead of 0.075369; UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074481 instead of 0.075369

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Train Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

How to build

What you get 8 outcomes

Craft variants

More

The 2021 Train Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

More

How to build