The 2021 Train Collection — craft

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

UMP-45 | Full Stop

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0749

150.07 ₽

at 150.07

if this one runs out, you can take

M4A1-S | Fizzy POP (Minimal Wear) — 198.92 ₽ +48.85 ₽ per item · on the market 273 · buy 0.0700–0.0711
Tec-9 | Safety Net (Minimal Wear) — 208.00 ₽ +57.93 ₽ per item · on the market 42 · buy 0.0700–0.0749
R8 Revolver | Blaze (Factory New) — 280.41 ₽ +130.34 ₽ per item · on the market 551 · buy 0.0000–0.0099

Steam

×1

MP9 | Dart

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0749

97.78 ₽

at 97.78

if this one runs out, you can take

UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear) — 122.32 ₽ +24.54 ₽ per item · on the market 124 · buy 0.0700–0.1072
MAG-7 | Firestarter (Minimal Wear) — 200.99 ₽ +103.21 ₽ per item · on the market 102 · buy 0.0700–0.1300
G3SG1 | Murky (Factory New) — 237.95 ₽ +140.17 ₽ per item · on the market 95 · buy 0.0000–0.0407

Steam

×8

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0749

978.56 ₽

at 122.32

if this one runs out, you can take

MAG-7 | Firestarter (Minimal Wear) — 200.99 ₽ +78.67 ₽ per item · on the market 102 · buy 0.0700–0.0821
G3SG1 | Murky (Factory New) — 237.95 ₽ +115.63 ₽ per item · on the market 95 · buy 0.0000–0.0128
MP9 | Dart (Factory New) — 251.91 ₽ +129.59 ₽ per item · on the market 126 · buy 0.0000–0.0237

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 226.41 ₽ +976.08 (+79.6%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −235 ₽

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×3

UMP-45 | Full Stop

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0770

450.21 ₽

at 150.07

if this one runs out, you can take

M4A1-S | Fizzy POP (Minimal Wear) — 198.92 ₽ +48.85 ₽ per item · on the market 273 · buy 0.0700–0.0732
Tec-9 | Safety Net (Minimal Wear) — 208.00 ₽ +57.93 ₽ per item · on the market 42 · buy 0.0700–0.0770
SSG 08 | Spring Twilly (Minimal Wear) — 213.59 ₽ +63.52 ₽ per item · on the market 79 · buy 0.0700–0.0706

Steam

×2

UMP-45 | Full Stop

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0061

522.20 ₽

at 261.10

if this one runs out, you can take

R8 Revolver | Blaze (Factory New) — 280.41 ₽ +19.31 ₽ per item · on the market 551 · buy 0.0000–0.0008
AUG | Amber Fade (Factory New) — 298.56 ₽ +37.46 ₽ per item · on the market 226 · buy 0.0000–0.0041
SSG 08 | Spring Twilly (Factory New) — 359.32 ₽ +98.22 ₽ per item · on the market 219 · buy 0.0000–0.0056

Steam

×5

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0770

611.60 ₽

at 122.32

if this one runs out, you can take

MAG-7 | Firestarter (Minimal Wear) — 200.99 ₽ +78.67 ₽ per item · on the market 102 · buy 0.0700–0.0852
G3SG1 | Murky (Factory New) — 237.95 ₽ +115.63 ₽ per item · on the market 95 · buy 0.0000–0.0147
MP9 | Dart (Factory New) — 251.91 ₽ +129.59 ₽ per item · on the market 126 · buy 0.0000–0.0270

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 584.01 ₽ +273.25 (+17.2%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×2

UMP-45 | Full Stop

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0761

300.14 ₽

at 150.07

if this one runs out, you can take

M4A1-S | Fizzy POP (Minimal Wear) — 198.92 ₽ +48.85 ₽ per item · on the market 273 · buy 0.0700–0.0723
Tec-9 | Safety Net (Minimal Wear) — 208.00 ₽ +57.93 ₽ per item · on the market 42 · buy 0.0700–0.0761
R8 Revolver | Blaze (Factory New) — 280.41 ₽ +130.34 ₽ per item · on the market 551 · buy 0.0000–0.0101

Steam

×8

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0761

978.56 ₽

at 122.32

if this one runs out, you can take

MAG-7 | Firestarter (Minimal Wear) — 200.99 ₽ +78.67 ₽ per item · on the market 102 · buy 0.0700–0.0839
G3SG1 | Murky (Factory New) — 237.95 ₽ +115.63 ₽ per item · on the market 95 · buy 0.0000–0.0139
MP9 | Dart (Factory New) — 251.91 ₽ +129.59 ₽ per item · on the market 126 · buy 0.0000–0.0256

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 278.70 ₽ +837.48 (+65.5%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×3

UMP-45 | Full Stop

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0752

450.21 ₽

at 150.07

if this one runs out, you can take

M4A1-S | Fizzy POP (Minimal Wear) — 198.92 ₽ +48.85 ₽ per item · on the market 273 · buy 0.0700–0.0715
Tec-9 | Safety Net (Minimal Wear) — 208.00 ₽ +57.93 ₽ per item · on the market 42 · buy 0.0700–0.0752
R8 Revolver | Blaze (Factory New) — 280.41 ₽ +130.34 ₽ per item · on the market 551 · buy 0.0000–0.0100

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Full Stop

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0046

261.10 ₽

at 261.10

if this one runs out, you can take

R8 Revolver | Blaze (Factory New) — 280.41 ₽ +19.31 ₽ per item · on the market 551 · buy 0.0000–0.0006
AUG | Amber Fade (Factory New) — 298.56 ₽ +37.46 ₽ per item · on the market 226 · buy 0.0000–0.0030
SSG 08 | Spring Twilly (Factory New) — 359.32 ₽ +98.22 ₽ per item · on the market 219 · buy 0.0000–0.0042

Steam

×6

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0752

733.92 ₽

at 122.32

if this one runs out, you can take

MAG-7 | Firestarter (Minimal Wear) — 200.99 ₽ +78.67 ₽ per item · on the market 102 · buy 0.0700–0.0826
G3SG1 | Murky (Factory New) — 237.95 ₽ +115.63 ₽ per item · on the market 95 · buy 0.0000–0.0131
MP9 | Dart (Factory New) — 251.91 ₽ +129.59 ₽ per item · on the market 126 · buy 0.0000–0.0242

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 445.23 ₽ +498.34 (+34.5%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×3

UMP-45 | Full Stop

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0742

450.21 ₽

at 150.07

if this one runs out, you can take

M4A1-S | Fizzy POP (Minimal Wear) — 198.92 ₽ +48.85 ₽ per item · on the market 273 · buy 0.0700–0.0705
Tec-9 | Safety Net (Minimal Wear) — 208.00 ₽ +57.93 ₽ per item · on the market 42 · buy 0.0700–0.0742
R8 Revolver | Blaze (Factory New) — 280.41 ₽ +130.34 ₽ per item · on the market 551 · buy 0.0000–0.0099

Steam

×6

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0742

733.92 ₽

at 122.32

if this one runs out, you can take

MAG-7 | Firestarter (Minimal Wear) — 200.99 ₽ +78.67 ₽ per item · on the market 102 · buy 0.0700–0.0811
G3SG1 | Murky (Factory New) — 237.95 ₽ +115.63 ₽ per item · on the market 95 · buy 0.0000–0.0123
MP9 | Dart (Factory New) — 251.91 ₽ +129.59 ₽ per item · on the market 126 · buy 0.0000–0.0226

Steam

×1

MAG-7 | Firestarter

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0742

200.99 ₽

at 200.99

if this one runs out, you can take

G3SG1 | Murky (Factory New) — 237.95 ₽ +36.96 ₽ per item · on the market 95 · buy 0.0000–0.0083
MP9 | Dart (Factory New) — 251.91 ₽ +50.92 ₽ per item · on the market 126 · buy 0.0000–0.0152
Five-SeveN | Urban Hazard (Factory New) — 278.71 ₽ +77.72 ₽ per item · on the market 321 · buy 0.0000–0.0083

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 385.12 ₽ +644.76 (+46.5%)

What you get 9 outcomes

Profitable outcome 49%
Losing outcome 47%
About break-even 4%

at a loss

Glock-18 | Grinder

Factory New

float up to 0.036099

751.17 ₽ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

best

M4A4 | Griffin

Factory New

float up to 0.055999

6 850.70 ₽ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

M4A1-S | Basilisk

Factory New

float up to 0.047599

2 497.93 ₽ 22.50%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Sawed-Off | Highwayman

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

428.67 ₽ 22.50%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

AWP | POP AWP

Factory New

float up to 0.030799

2 883.91 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

about break-even

CZ75-Auto | Syndicate

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

1 400.84 ₽ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

P2000 | Space Race

Factory New

float up to 0.041999

1 667.31 ₽ 2.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

about break-even

MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly

Factory New

float up to 0.040599

1 431.40 ₽ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

Nova | Red Quartz

Factory New

float up to 0.027999

814.49 ₽ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +527.70 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +771.77 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Train Collection and The Vanguard Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 7 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3327116 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 980.54₽ · invest 1 300.45₽
sells slowly rare inputs

Souvenir MP9 | Music Box (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Full Stop (Minimal Wear); MP9 | Dart (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074581 instead of 0.074941; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074581 instead of 0.074941
Craft 3353769 · The Overpass Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 932.52₽ · invest 1 417.98₽
sells slowly rare inputs

Souvenir XM1014 | VariCamo Blue (Field-Tested) instead of UMP-45 | Full Stop (Minimal Wear); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; MP9 | Dart (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074138 instead of 0.074941; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074138 instead of 0.074941
Craft 3357558 · The Vanguard Collection + The eSports 2013 Winter Collection · profit 917.93₽ · invest 1 233.73₽
sells slowly rare inputs

PP-Bizon | Water Sigil (Field-Tested) instead of UMP-45 | Full Stop (Minimal Wear); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; MP9 | Dart (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074138 instead of 0.074941; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074138 instead of 0.074941
Craft 3357531 · The Vanguard Collection + The Vertigo Collection · profit 915.31₽ · invest 1 253.22₽
sells slowly rare inputs

Souvenir P90 | Glacier Mesh (Field-Tested) instead of UMP-45 | Full Stop (Minimal Wear); MP9 | Dart (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074468 instead of 0.074941; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074468 instead of 0.074941
Craft 3357559 · The Vanguard Collection + The eSports 2013 Winter Collection · profit 912.96₽ · invest 1 279.10₽
sells slowly rare inputs

PP-Bizon | Water Sigil (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Full Stop (Minimal Wear); MP9 | Dart (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074154 instead of 0.074941; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074154 instead of 0.074941
Craft 3328080 · The 2021 Vertigo Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 896.19₽ · invest 1 485.86₽
sells slowly rare inputs

Souvenir Nova | Interlock (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Full Stop (Minimal Wear); MP9 | Dart (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074154 instead of 0.074941; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074154 instead of 0.074941
Craft 3331109 · The Arms Deal 2 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 885.88₽ · invest 1 314.05₽
sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

SCAR-20 | Crimson Web (Field-Tested) instead of UMP-45 | Full Stop (Minimal Wear); MP9 | Dart (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074468 instead of 0.074941; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074468 instead of 0.074941

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Train Collection + The Vanguard Collection

How to build

What you get 9 outcomes

Craft variants

More

The 2021 Train Collection + The Vanguard Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 9 outcomes

More

How to build