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The 2021 Vertigo Collection + The Danger Zone Collection

Classified → Covert

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −274.79$

Invest at least 548.45$

Average return 273.66$

ROI −50.1%

Chance of profit 10%

With float: invest at least 548.45 $, profit at most −274.79 $

float premium: at least 301 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Sell on CSFloat: without them the profit is −81.72 $

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

Souvenir Five-SeveN | Fall Hazard

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0759

144.46 $

at 144.46

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir SG 553 | Hazard Pay (Factory New) — 210.00 $ +65.54 $ per item · on the market 4 · buy 0.0000–0.0620

souvenirSteam

×1

MP5-SD | Phosphor

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0759

7.41 $

at 7.41

if this one runs out, you can take

UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New) — 10.64 $ +3.23 $ per item · on the market 131 · buy 0.0000–0.0474
Desert Eagle | Mecha Industries (Factory New) — 29.90 $ +22.49 $ per item · on the market 187 · buy 0.0000–0.0569

Steam

×8

UMP-45 | Momentum

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0052

85.11 $

at 10.64

if this one runs out, you can take

MP5-SD | Phosphor (Factory New) — 12.65 $ +2.02 $ per item · on the market 41 · buy 0.0000–0.0083
Desert Eagle | Mecha Industries (Factory New) — 29.90 $ +19.26 $ per item · on the market 187 · buy 0.0000–0.0062

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 236.97 $ +36.69 (+15.5%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×2

Souvenir Five-SeveN | Fall Hazard

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0740

288.91 $

at 144.46

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir SG 553 | Hazard Pay (Factory New) — 210.00 $ +65.54 $ per item · on the market 4 · buy 0.0000–0.0602

souvenirSteam

×8

UMP-45 | Momentum

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0035

85.11 $

at 10.64

if this one runs out, you can take

MP5-SD | Phosphor (Factory New) — 12.65 $ +2.02 $ per item · on the market 41 · buy 0.0000–0.0056
Desert Eagle | Mecha Industries (Factory New) — 29.90 $ +19.26 $ per item · on the market 187 · buy 0.0000–0.0042

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 374.02 $ +0.79 (+0.2%)

What you get 3 outcomes

Profitable outcome 55%
Losing outcome 45%

in profit

AK-47 | Asiimov

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

341.90 $ 45.00%

rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

worst

AWP | Neo-Noir

Factory New

float up to 0.015384

54.86 $ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

best

M4A1-S | Imminent Danger

Factory New

float up to 0.024615

1 208.21 $ 10.00%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Vertigo Collection + The Danger Zone Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The 2021 Vertigo Collection Variant 3 The Graphic Design Collection instead of The 2021 Vertigo Collection Variant 4 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The 2021 Vertigo Collection Variant 5 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The 2021 Vertigo Collection Variant 6 The Overpass 2024 Collection instead of The 2021 Vertigo Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +6.84 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +26.54 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Vertigo Collection and The Danger Zone Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3326737 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Danger Zone Collection · profit 33.40$ · invest 243.66$
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

Souvenir MP5-SD | Oxide Oasis (Minimal Wear) instead of Souvenir Five-SeveN | Fall Hazard (Minimal Wear); MP5-SD | Phosphor (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075443 instead of 0.075958; UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New): float at most 0.004763 instead of 0.005213

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Vertigo Collection + The Danger Zone Collection

How to build i Ways to build 2 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 3 outcomes

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How to build