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The Ascent Collection + The Harlequin Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit · with float −0.78$

Invest 9.65$

Average return 8.87$

ROI −8.1%

Chance of profit 45%

With float: invest 9.65 $, profit −0.78 $

float premium: 0 $ (5.2%)

To build: easy

A more profitable set was dropped: +3.12 $ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

32% of lots fit ≈ enough for 16 contracts · easy (estimate)

×9

P90 | Reef Grief

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0568

7.97 $

at 0.89

if this one runs out, you can take

P2000 | Royal Baroque (Factory New) — 0.90 $ +0.02 $ per item · on the market 711 · buy 0.0000–0.0568
MP9 | Cobalt Paisley (Factory New) — 0.96 $ +0.08 $ per item · on the market 405 · buy 0.0000–0.0615
Desert Eagle | Mint Fan (Factory New) — 0.97 $ +0.08 $ per item · on the market 771 · buy 0.0000–0.0568

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0568

0.82 $

at 0.82

if this one runs out, you can take

Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Factory New) — 0.87 $ +0.05 $ per item · on the market 406 · buy 0.0000–0.0535
Galil AR | Sky Mandala (Factory New) — 1.70 $ +0.88 $ per item · on the market 385 · buy 0.0000–0.0568
Five-SeveN | Fraise Crane (Factory New) — 2.63 $ +1.81 $ per item · on the market 564 · buy 0.0000–0.0527

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 8.79 $ +0.08 (+0.9%)

67% of lots fit ≈ enough for 43 contracts · easy (estimate)

×1

P90 | Reef Grief

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0642

0.89 $

at 0.89

if this one runs out, you can take

FAMAS | Yeti Camo (Minimal Wear) — 0.68 $ cheaper by 0.21 $ · on the market 852 · buy 0.0700–0.0749
P2000 | Royal Baroque (Factory New) — 0.90 $ +0.02 $ per item · on the market 711 · buy 0.0000–0.0642
MP9 | Cobalt Paisley (Factory New) — 0.96 $ +0.08 $ per item · on the market 405 · buy 0.0000–0.0696

Steam

×9

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0642

7.35 $

at 0.82

if this one runs out, you can take

Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Factory New) — 0.87 $ +0.05 $ per item · on the market 406 · buy 0.0000–0.0605
Galil AR | Sky Mandala (Factory New) — 1.70 $ +0.88 $ per item · on the market 385 · buy 0.0000–0.0642
Five-SeveN | Fraise Crane (Factory New) — 2.63 $ +1.81 $ per item · on the market 564 · buy 0.0000–0.0596

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 8.23 $ −0.96 (−11.6%)

61% of lots fit ≈ enough for 45 contracts · easy (estimate)

×2

P90 | Reef Grief

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0632

1.77 $

at 0.89

if this one runs out, you can take

FAMAS | Yeti Camo (Minimal Wear) — 0.68 $ cheaper by 0.21 $ · on the market 852 · buy 0.0700–0.0737
P2000 | Royal Baroque (Factory New) — 0.90 $ +0.02 $ per item · on the market 711 · buy 0.0000–0.0632
MP9 | Cobalt Paisley (Factory New) — 0.96 $ +0.08 $ per item · on the market 405 · buy 0.0000–0.0684

Steam

×8

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0632

6.53 $

at 0.82

if this one runs out, you can take

Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Factory New) — 0.87 $ +0.05 $ per item · on the market 406 · buy 0.0000–0.0596
Galil AR | Sky Mandala (Factory New) — 1.70 $ +0.88 $ per item · on the market 385 · buy 0.0000–0.0632
Five-SeveN | Fraise Crane (Factory New) — 2.63 $ +1.81 $ per item · on the market 564 · buy 0.0000–0.0587

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 8.30 $ −0.83 (−9.9%)

55% of lots fit ≈ enough for 48 contracts · easy (estimate)

×3

P90 | Reef Grief

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0622

2.66 $

at 0.89

if this one runs out, you can take

FAMAS | Yeti Camo (Minimal Wear) — 0.68 $ cheaper by 0.21 $ · on the market 852 · buy 0.0700–0.0725
P2000 | Royal Baroque (Factory New) — 0.90 $ +0.02 $ per item · on the market 711 · buy 0.0000–0.0622
MP9 | Cobalt Paisley (Factory New) — 0.96 $ +0.08 $ per item · on the market 405 · buy 0.0000–0.0674

Steam

×7

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0622

5.71 $

at 0.82

if this one runs out, you can take

Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Factory New) — 0.87 $ +0.05 $ per item · on the market 406 · buy 0.0000–0.0586
Galil AR | Sky Mandala (Factory New) — 1.70 $ +0.88 $ per item · on the market 385 · buy 0.0000–0.0622
Five-SeveN | Fraise Crane (Factory New) — 2.63 $ +1.81 $ per item · on the market 564 · buy 0.0000–0.0577

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 8.37 $ −0.70 (−8.3%)

49% of lots fit ≈ enough for 53 contracts · easy (estimate)

×4

P90 | Reef Grief

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0612

3.54 $

at 0.89

if this one runs out, you can take

FAMAS | Yeti Camo (Minimal Wear) — 0.68 $ cheaper by 0.21 $ · on the market 852 · buy 0.0700–0.0714
P2000 | Royal Baroque (Factory New) — 0.90 $ +0.02 $ per item · on the market 711 · buy 0.0000–0.0612
MP9 | Cobalt Paisley (Factory New) — 0.96 $ +0.08 $ per item · on the market 405 · buy 0.0000–0.0663

Steam

×6

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0612

4.90 $

at 0.82

if this one runs out, you can take

Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Factory New) — 0.87 $ +0.05 $ per item · on the market 406 · buy 0.0000–0.0577
Galil AR | Sky Mandala (Factory New) — 1.70 $ +0.88 $ per item · on the market 385 · buy 0.0000–0.0612
Five-SeveN | Fraise Crane (Factory New) — 2.63 $ +1.81 $ per item · on the market 564 · buy 0.0000–0.0568

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 8.44 $ −0.57 (−6.7%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 45%
Losing outcome 55%

in profit

best

AK-47 | Midnight Laminate

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

15.51 $ 45.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

USP-S | Royal Guard

Factory New

float up to 0.055999

5.36 $ 45.00%

Steam

at a loss

AWP | Exothermic

Factory New

float up to 0.065333

8.67 $ 5.00%

Steam

at a loss

USP-S | Sleeping Potion

Factory New

float up to 0.065333

7.61 $ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Ascent Collection + The Harlequin Collection

Variant 2 The Chroma 3 Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection Variant 3 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection Variant 4 The Prisma 2 Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection Variant 5 The Clutch Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection Variant 6 The Fracture Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −0.92 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −0.21 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Ascent Collection and The Harlequin Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3331562 · The Ascent Collection + The Chroma 2 Collection · profit 0.08$ · invest 8.33$
Negev | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); P90 | Reef Grief (Factory New): float at most 0.042150 instead of 0.056811

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Ascent Collection + The Harlequin Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

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How to build