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The Ascent Collection + The Kilowatt Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit · with float −0.86$

Invest 9.12$

Average return 8.26$

ROI −9.4%

Chance of profit 45%

With float: invest 9.12 $, profit −0.86 $

float premium: 0 $ (5.5%)

To build: easy

A more profitable set was dropped: +3.06 $ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

32% of lots fit ≈ enough for 16 contracts · easy (estimate)

×9

P90 | Reef Grief

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0568

7.97 $

at 0.89

if this one runs out, you can take

P2000 | Royal Baroque (Factory New) — 0.90 $ +0.02 $ per item · on the market 711 · buy 0.0000–0.0568
MP9 | Cobalt Paisley (Factory New) — 0.96 $ +0.08 $ per item · on the market 405 · buy 0.0000–0.0615
Desert Eagle | Mint Fan (Factory New) — 0.97 $ +0.08 $ per item · on the market 771 · buy 0.0000–0.0568

Steam

×1

Nova | Dark Sigil

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0568

0.27 $

at 0.27

if this one runs out, you can take

Tec-9 | Slag (Minimal Wear) — 0.15 $ cheaper by 0.12 $ · on the market 1 326 · buy 0.0700–0.0731
SSG 08 | Dezastre (Minimal Wear) — 0.16 $ cheaper by 0.11 $ · on the market 1 134 · buy 0.0700–0.0813
MAC-10 | Light Box (Minimal Wear) — 0.22 $ cheaper by 0.05 $ · on the market 1 541 · buy 0.0700–0.0813

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 8.24 $ +0.02 (+0.3%)

66% of lots fit ≈ enough for 124 contracts · easy (estimate)

×1

P90 | Reef Grief

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0641

0.89 $

at 0.89

if this one runs out, you can take

FAMAS | Yeti Camo (Minimal Wear) — 0.68 $ cheaper by 0.21 $ · on the market 852 · buy 0.0700–0.0748
P2000 | Royal Baroque (Factory New) — 0.90 $ +0.02 $ per item · on the market 711 · buy 0.0000–0.0641
MP9 | Cobalt Paisley (Factory New) — 0.96 $ +0.08 $ per item · on the market 405 · buy 0.0000–0.0694

Steam

×9

Nova | Dark Sigil

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0641

2.43 $

at 0.27

if this one runs out, you can take

XM1014 | Irezumi (Minimal Wear) — 0.13 $ cheaper by 0.14 $ · on the market 1 237 · buy 0.0700–0.0734
Tec-9 | Slag (Minimal Wear) — 0.15 $ cheaper by 0.12 $ · on the market 1 326 · buy 0.0700–0.0826
UMP-45 | Motorized (Minimal Wear) — 0.15 $ cheaper by 0.12 $ · on the market 1 419 · buy 0.0700–0.0735

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 3.32 $ −1.52 (−45.8%)

60% of lots fit ≈ enough for 131 contracts · easy (estimate)

×2

P90 | Reef Grief

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0631

1.77 $

at 0.89

if this one runs out, you can take

FAMAS | Yeti Camo (Minimal Wear) — 0.68 $ cheaper by 0.21 $ · on the market 852 · buy 0.0700–0.0736
P2000 | Royal Baroque (Factory New) — 0.90 $ +0.02 $ per item · on the market 711 · buy 0.0000–0.0631
MP9 | Cobalt Paisley (Factory New) — 0.96 $ +0.08 $ per item · on the market 405 · buy 0.0000–0.0683

Steam

×8

Nova | Dark Sigil

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0631

2.16 $

at 0.27

if this one runs out, you can take

XM1014 | Irezumi (Minimal Wear) — 0.13 $ cheaper by 0.14 $ · on the market 1 237 · buy 0.0700–0.0722
Tec-9 | Slag (Minimal Wear) — 0.15 $ cheaper by 0.12 $ · on the market 1 326 · buy 0.0700–0.0813
UMP-45 | Motorized (Minimal Wear) — 0.15 $ cheaper by 0.12 $ · on the market 1 419 · buy 0.0700–0.0724

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 3.93 $ −1.33 (−33.8%)

55% of lots fit ≈ enough for 85 contracts · easy (estimate)

×3

P90 | Reef Grief

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0621

2.66 $

at 0.89

if this one runs out, you can take

FAMAS | Yeti Camo (Minimal Wear) — 0.68 $ cheaper by 0.21 $ · on the market 852 · buy 0.0700–0.0724
P2000 | Royal Baroque (Factory New) — 0.90 $ +0.02 $ per item · on the market 711 · buy 0.0000–0.0621
MP9 | Cobalt Paisley (Factory New) — 0.96 $ +0.08 $ per item · on the market 405 · buy 0.0000–0.0673

Steam

×7

Nova | Dark Sigil

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0621

1.89 $

at 0.27

if this one runs out, you can take

XM1014 | Irezumi (Minimal Wear) — 0.13 $ cheaper by 0.14 $ · on the market 1 237 · buy 0.0700–0.0711
Tec-9 | Slag (Minimal Wear) — 0.15 $ cheaper by 0.12 $ · on the market 1 326 · buy 0.0700–0.0800
UMP-45 | Motorized (Minimal Wear) — 0.15 $ cheaper by 0.12 $ · on the market 1 419 · buy 0.0700–0.0712

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 4.55 $ −1.13 (−24.9%)

49% of lots fit ≈ enough for 57 contracts · easy (estimate)

×4

P90 | Reef Grief

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0611

3.54 $

at 0.89

if this one runs out, you can take

FAMAS | Yeti Camo (Minimal Wear) — 0.68 $ cheaper by 0.21 $ · on the market 852 · buy 0.0700–0.0713
P2000 | Royal Baroque (Factory New) — 0.90 $ +0.02 $ per item · on the market 711 · buy 0.0000–0.0611
MP9 | Cobalt Paisley (Factory New) — 0.96 $ +0.08 $ per item · on the market 405 · buy 0.0000–0.0662

Steam

×6

Nova | Dark Sigil

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0611

1.62 $

at 0.27

if this one runs out, you can take

XM1014 | Irezumi (Minimal Wear) — 0.13 $ cheaper by 0.14 $ · on the market 1 237 · buy 0.070000–0.070007
Tec-9 | Slag (Minimal Wear) — 0.15 $ cheaper by 0.12 $ · on the market 1 326 · buy 0.0700–0.0788
UMP-45 | Motorized (Minimal Wear) — 0.15 $ cheaper by 0.12 $ · on the market 1 419 · buy 0.0700–0.0701

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 5.16 $ −0.94 (−18.2%)

What you get 7 outcomes

Profitable outcome 45%
Losing outcome 55%

in profit

best

AK-47 | Midnight Laminate

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

15.51 $ 45.00%

Steam

at a loss

USP-S | Royal Guard

Factory New

float up to 0.055999

5.36 $ 45.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Five-SeveN | Hybrid

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.093333

0.79 $ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

Glock-18 | Block-18

Factory New

float up to 0.062708

1.70 $ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

M4A4 | Etch Lord

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.093333

0.98 $ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

MP7 | Just Smile

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.093333

0.95 $ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

Sawed-Off | Analog Input

Factory New

float up to 0.057760

1.27 $ 2.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Ascent Collection + The Kilowatt Collection

Variant 2 The Chroma 3 Collection instead of The Kilowatt Collection Variant 3 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Kilowatt Collection Variant 4 The Prisma 2 Collection instead of The Kilowatt Collection Variant 5 The Clutch Collection instead of The Kilowatt Collection Variant 6 The Fracture Collection instead of The Kilowatt Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −0.91 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −0.24 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Ascent Collection and The Kilowatt Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3331687 · The Ascent Collection + The Fracture Collection · profit 0.02$ · invest 8.26$
P250 | Cassette (Factory New) instead of Nova | Dark Sigil (Factory New); P90 | Reef Grief (Factory New): float at most 0.052499 instead of 0.056801
Craft 3331628 · The Ascent Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection · profit 0.02$ · invest 8.26$
SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New) instead of Nova | Dark Sigil (Factory New); P90 | Reef Grief (Factory New): float at most 0.055706 instead of 0.056801

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Ascent Collection + The Kilowatt Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 7 outcomes

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How to build