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Crafts · The Breakout Collection

prices updated 24.10 01:22 MSK

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The Breakout Collection + The Prisma Collection

StatTrak™ Classified → Covert

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float +22.98$

Invest at least 208.52$

Average return 231.50$

ROI +11.0%

Chance of profit 45%

With float: invest at least 208.52 $, profit at most +22.98 $

float premium: at least 121 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −85 $

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1629

19.04 $

at 19.04

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New) — 32.81 $ +13.77 $ per item · on the market 57 · buy 0.0000–0.0488
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Water Elemental (Minimal Wear) — 35.60 $ +16.56 $ per item · on the market 28 · buy 0.0700–0.1140

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ AUG | Momentum

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3839

6.11 $

at 6.11

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested) — 7.44 $ +1.33 $ per item · on the market 40 · buy 0.1500–0.3192
StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Skull Crusher (Well-Worn) — 11.09 $ +4.97 $ per item · on the market 11 · buy 0.3800–0.4433

Steam

×8

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1629

59.53 $

at 7.44

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Skull Crusher (Field-Tested) — 12.46 $ +5.01 $ per item · on the market 27 · buy 0.2500–0.2747
StatTrak™ AUG | Momentum (Minimal Wear) — 21.87 $ +14.43 $ per item · on the market 10 · buy 0.0700–0.0928

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 84.69 $ +146.82 (+173.4%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −98 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×2

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1736

38.09 $

at 19.04

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New) — 32.81 $ +13.77 $ per item · on the market 57 · buy 0.0000–0.0520
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Water Elemental (Minimal Wear) — 35.60 $ +16.56 $ per item · on the market 28 · buy 0.0700–0.1215

Steam

×8

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1736

59.53 $

at 7.44

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Skull Crusher (Field-Tested) — 12.46 $ +5.01 $ per item · on the market 27 · buy 0.2500–0.2862
StatTrak™ AUG | Momentum (Minimal Wear) — 21.87 $ +14.43 $ per item · on the market 10 · buy 0.0700–0.1126

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 97.62 $ +130.15 (+133.3%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −187 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×2

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1672

38.09 $

at 19.04

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New) — 32.81 $ +13.77 $ per item · on the market 57 · buy 0.0000–0.0501
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Water Elemental (Minimal Wear) — 35.60 $ +16.56 $ per item · on the market 28 · buy 0.0700–0.1170

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0760

127.02 $

at 25.40

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New) — 32.81 $ +7.41 $ per item · on the market 57 · buy 0.0000–0.0228
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Water Elemental (Factory New) — 66.23 $ +40.82 $ per item · on the market 23 · buy 0.0000–0.0532

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1672

22.32 $

at 7.44

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Skull Crusher (Field-Tested) — 12.46 $ +5.01 $ per item · on the market 27 · buy 0.2500–0.2794
StatTrak™ AUG | Momentum (Minimal Wear) — 21.87 $ +14.43 $ per item · on the market 10 · buy 0.0700–0.1007

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 187.43 $ +21.67 (+11.6%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −109 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×3

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1672

57.13 $

at 19.04

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New) — 32.81 $ +13.77 $ per item · on the market 57 · buy 0.0000–0.0501
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Water Elemental (Minimal Wear) — 35.60 $ +16.56 $ per item · on the market 28 · buy 0.0700–0.1170

Steam

×7

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1672

52.09 $

at 7.44

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Skull Crusher (Field-Tested) — 12.46 $ +5.01 $ per item · on the market 27 · buy 0.2500–0.2793
StatTrak™ AUG | Momentum (Minimal Wear) — 21.87 $ +14.43 $ per item · on the market 10 · buy 0.0700–0.1006

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 109.22 $ +114.81 (+105.1%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −168 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×3

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1642

57.13 $

at 19.04

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New) — 32.81 $ +13.77 $ per item · on the market 57 · buy 0.0000–0.0492
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Water Elemental (Minimal Wear) — 35.60 $ +16.56 $ per item · on the market 28 · buy 0.0700–0.1149

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0749

76.21 $

at 25.40

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New) — 32.81 $ +7.41 $ per item · on the market 57 · buy 0.0000–0.0224
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Water Elemental (Factory New) — 66.23 $ +40.82 $ per item · on the market 23 · buy 0.0000–0.0524

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1642

22.32 $

at 7.44

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Skull Crusher (Field-Tested) — 12.46 $ +5.01 $ per item · on the market 27 · buy 0.2500–0.2761
StatTrak™ AUG | Momentum (Minimal Wear) — 21.87 $ +14.43 $ per item · on the market 10 · buy 0.0700–0.0951

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Skull Crusher

Field-Tested

buy 0.2500–0.2580

12.46 $

at 12.46

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AUG | Momentum (Factory New) — 66.63 $ +54.18 $ per item · on the market 9 · buy 0.0500–0.0639
StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Minimal Wear) — 84.92 $ +72.46 $ per item · on the market 5 · buy 0.1400–0.1474

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 168.12 $ +44.71 (+26.6%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 55%
Losing outcome 45%

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Angry Mob

Factory New

float up to 0.061249

87.18 $ 45.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Emperor

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

453.86 $ 45.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Cyrex

Factory New

float up to 0.043749

220.03 $ 5.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ P90 | Asiimov

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.080499

235.13 $ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Breakout Collection + The Prisma Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Prisma Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Breakout Collection Variant 4 The Spectrum 2 Collection instead of The Prisma Collection Variant 5 The Shadow Collection instead of The Breakout Collection Variant 6 only The Prisma Collection

More

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +127.99 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +140.47 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Breakout Collection and The Prisma Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 9 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3354930 · The Prisma Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 158.68$ · invest 83.97$
profit on prices without salesat least −84 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ AUG | Bengal Tiger (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ AUG | Momentum (Well-Worn): float at most 0.384368 instead of 0.383950; StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164353 instead of 0.162981
Craft 3354633 · The Prisma Collection + The Revolver Case Collection · profit 157.00$ · invest 74.36$
profit on prices without salesat least −74 $ rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ P90 | Shapewood (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play (Field-Tested)
Craft 3354725 · The Prisma Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 151.34$ · invest 69.93$
profit on prices without salesat least −66 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ XM1014 | XOXO (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ AUG | Momentum (Well-Worn): float at most 0.383628 instead of 0.383950; StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161923 instead of 0.162981
Craft 3347197 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 150.87$ · invest 76.93$
profit on prices without salesat least −67 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ MP9 | Airlock (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play (Field-Tested)
Craft 3354838 · The Prisma Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 150.01$ · invest 79.03$
profit on prices without salesat least −79 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play (Field-Tested)
Craft 3354755 · The Prisma Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 149.61$ · invest 77.45$
profit on prices without salesat least −77 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | High Roller (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play (Field-Tested)
Craft 3354587 · The Prisma Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 148.30$ · invest 71.24$
profit on prices without salesat least −63 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play (Field-Tested)
Craft 3337865 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 146.69$ · invest 79.23$
profit on prices without salesat least −79 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ AUG | Fleet Flock (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play (Field-Tested)
Craft 3353829 · The Phoenix Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 144.68$ · invest 80.59$
profit on prices without salesat least −76 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ P90 | Trigon (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ AUG | Momentum (Well-Worn): float at most 0.384631 instead of 0.383950; StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165217 instead of 0.162981

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

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