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Crafts · The Breakout Collection

prices updated 24.10 01:22 MSK

$≈

The Breakout Collection + The Prisma Collection

StatTrak™ Classified → Covert

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float +15.11$

Invest at least 217.27$

Average return 232.39$

ROI +7.0%

Chance of profit 50%

With float: invest at least 217.27 $, profit at most +15.11 $

float premium: at least 128 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −75 $

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1732

19.04 $

at 19.04

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New) — 32.81 $ +13.77 $ per item · on the market 57 · buy 0.0000–0.0519
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Water Elemental (Minimal Wear) — 35.60 $ +16.56 $ per item · on the market 28 · buy 0.0700–0.1213

Steam

×9

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1732

66.97 $

at 7.44

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Skull Crusher (Field-Tested) — 12.46 $ +5.01 $ per item · on the market 27 · buy 0.2500–0.2859
StatTrak™ AUG | Momentum (Minimal Wear) — 21.87 $ +14.43 $ per item · on the market 10 · buy 0.0700–0.1120

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 86.02 $ +146.37 (+170.2%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −75 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×2

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1671

38.09 $

at 19.04

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New) — 32.81 $ +13.77 $ per item · on the market 57 · buy 0.0000–0.0501
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Water Elemental (Minimal Wear) — 35.60 $ +16.56 $ per item · on the market 28 · buy 0.0700–0.1170

Steam

×8

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1671

59.53 $

at 7.44

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Skull Crusher (Field-Tested) — 12.46 $ +5.01 $ per item · on the market 27 · buy 0.2500–0.2793
StatTrak™ AUG | Momentum (Minimal Wear) — 21.87 $ +14.43 $ per item · on the market 10 · buy 0.0700–0.1006

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 97.62 $ +131.92 (+135.1%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −116 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1647

19.04 $

at 19.04

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New) — 32.81 $ +13.77 $ per item · on the market 57 · buy 0.0000–0.0494
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Water Elemental (Minimal Wear) — 35.60 $ +16.56 $ per item · on the market 28 · buy 0.0700–0.1153

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

152.42 $

at 25.40

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New) — 32.81 $ +7.41 $ per item · on the market 57 · buy 0.0000–0.0225
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Water Elemental (Factory New) — 66.23 $ +40.82 $ per item · on the market 23 · buy 0.0000–0.0525

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1647

22.32 $

at 7.44

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Skull Crusher (Field-Tested) — 12.46 $ +5.01 $ per item · on the market 27 · buy 0.2500–0.2766
StatTrak™ AUG | Momentum (Minimal Wear) — 21.87 $ +14.43 $ per item · on the market 10 · buy 0.0700–0.0960

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 193.79 $ +21.50 (+11.1%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −89 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×2

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1640

38.09 $

at 19.04

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New) — 32.81 $ +13.77 $ per item · on the market 57 · buy 0.0000–0.0492
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Water Elemental (Minimal Wear) — 35.60 $ +16.56 $ per item · on the market 28 · buy 0.0700–0.1148

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

50.81 $

at 25.40

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New) — 32.81 $ +7.41 $ per item · on the market 57 · buy 0.0000–0.0224
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Water Elemental (Factory New) — 66.23 $ +40.82 $ per item · on the market 23 · buy 0.0000–0.0524

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1640

44.65 $

at 7.44

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Skull Crusher (Field-Tested) — 12.46 $ +5.01 $ per item · on the market 27 · buy 0.2500–0.2759
StatTrak™ AUG | Momentum (Minimal Wear) — 21.87 $ +14.43 $ per item · on the market 10 · buy 0.0700–0.0948

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 133.54 $ +90.29 (+67.6%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −81 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×3

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1622

57.13 $

at 19.04

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New) — 32.81 $ +13.77 $ per item · on the market 57 · buy 0.0000–0.0486
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Water Elemental (Minimal Wear) — 35.60 $ +16.56 $ per item · on the market 28 · buy 0.0700–0.1135

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1622

44.65 $

at 7.44

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Skull Crusher (Field-Tested) — 12.46 $ +5.01 $ per item · on the market 27 · buy 0.2500–0.2739
StatTrak™ AUG | Momentum (Minimal Wear) — 21.87 $ +14.43 $ per item · on the market 10 · buy 0.0700–0.0914

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Skull Crusher

Field-Tested

buy 0.2500–0.2569

12.46 $

at 12.46

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AUG | Momentum (Factory New) — 66.63 $ +54.18 $ per item · on the market 9 · buy 0.0500–0.0619
StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Minimal Wear) — 84.92 $ +72.46 $ per item · on the market 5 · buy 0.1400–0.1464

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 114.24 $ +112.45 (+98.4%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 55%
Losing outcome 45%

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Angry Mob

Factory New

float up to 0.053260

87.18 $ 45.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Emperor

Factory New

float up to 0.060869

453.86 $ 45.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Cyrex

Factory New

float up to 0.038043

220.03 $ 5.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ P90 | Asiimov

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

255.46 $ 5.00%

rarely sells

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Breakout Collection + The Prisma Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Prisma Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Breakout Collection Variant 4 The Spectrum 2 Collection instead of The Prisma Collection Variant 5 The Shadow Collection instead of The Breakout Collection Variant 6 only The Prisma Collection

More

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +127.12 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +139.80 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Breakout Collection and The Prisma Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 18 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3350456 · The Horizon Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 160.85$ · invest 74.12$
profit on prices without salesat least −74 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Devourer (Well-Worn) instead of StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162399 instead of 0.173295
Craft 3335058 · The CS20 Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 153.91$ · invest 73.87$
profit on prices without salesat least −74 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ P90 | Nostalgia (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.172159 instead of 0.173295
Craft 3354182 · The Prisma 2 Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 152.03$ · invest 73.02$
profit on prices without salesat least −70 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Justice (Well-Worn) instead of StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165422 instead of 0.173295
Craft 3345523 · The Fracture Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 150.83$ · invest 72.14$
profit on prices without salesat least −72 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Entombed (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.170284 instead of 0.173295
Craft 3342758 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 150.79$ · invest 73.33$
profit on prices without salesat least −68 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.170031 instead of 0.173295
Craft 3339574 · The Clutch Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 150.17$ · invest 71.20$
profit on prices without salesat least −71 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ AUG | Stymphalian (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.168883 instead of 0.173295
Craft 3349082 · The Glove Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 149.93$ · invest 77.88$
profit on prices without salesat least −70 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ P90 | Shallow Grave (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.176265 instead of 0.173295
Craft 3347851 · The Gamma Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 149.76$ · invest 77.82$
profit on prices without salesat least −78 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ P2000 | Imperial Dragon (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.173938 instead of 0.173295
Craft 3336747 · The Chroma 2 Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 149.64$ · invest 79.33$
profit on prices without salesat least −79 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Djinn (Well-Worn) instead of StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.167743 instead of 0.173295
Craft 3343914 · The Falchion Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 148.60$ · invest 75.67$
profit on prices without salesat least −76 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Well-Worn) instead of StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.167743 instead of 0.173295
Craft 3335059 · The CS20 Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 148.52$ · invest 73.87$
profit on prices without salesat least −67 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ P90 | Nostalgia (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.172440 instead of 0.173295
Craft 3354701 · The Prisma Collection + The Shattered Web Collection · profit 148.33$ · invest 82.10$
profit on prices without salesat least −82 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Colony IV (Well-Worn) instead of StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.167743 instead of 0.173295
Craft 3344715 · The Fever Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 148.11$ · invest 72.19$
profit on prices without salesat least −64 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162402 instead of 0.173295
Craft 3340850 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 147.60$ · invest 74.33$
profit on prices without salesat least −68 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Momentum (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.170284 instead of 0.173295
Craft 3353028 · The Operation Riptide Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 147.24$ · invest 83.98$
profit on prices without salesat least −84 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Toybox (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162402 instead of 0.173295
Craft 3354183 · The Prisma 2 Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 146.53$ · invest 73.02$
profit on prices without salesat least −65 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Justice (Well-Worn) instead of StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.167743 instead of 0.173295
Craft 3339575 · The Clutch Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 146.32$ · invest 71.20$
profit on prices without salesat least −68 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ AUG | Stymphalian (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.173938 instead of 0.173295
Craft 3338677 · The Chroma Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 144.85$ · invest 87.95$
profit on prices without salesat least −88 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ P250 | Muertos (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.166835 instead of 0.173295

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

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